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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. You’re gonna love that decision. Coating already on the grass near the base of the Watershed.
  2. Starting to rip at 500’ elevation (taking a detour home from dt Frederick).
  3. Probably a 25/75 snow rain mix right now and that might be generous.
  4. Ouch lol. Hrrrr flip flops like sandals, though. .
  5. Definitely gonna need to be rate dependent. Temps are marginal at best leading in. Daytime snow is still a win.
  6. Majestic win. Lol @ the Commanders in the NFC Championship. Wizards, your move.
  7. Why are we assuming the Eagles already won tomorrow? My buddy just texted me the same thing lol.
  8. Yea, it's an obvious hole. Been an issue for most of the season.
  9. Commanders kicking is miserable.
  10. Commanders speed is underrated and showing on turf.
  11. The Commanders are anti-FG. Maybe they're onto something ala Warriors and their pace and space.
  12. If the RGEM is right, then I'm going to ask the Frederick city government to start building snow machines.
  13. Yea, it ain't the model...I don't really even look at it anymore lol.
  14. @MillvilleWx alluded to the potential for a band to develop closer to the coast as well as in the higher elevations N&W. I think that's what we're seeing in the models with the dual banding sig. I agree with PSU...there's absolutely no way to know exactly where those bands will set up.
  15. It's not. In general, all these short-range models are good for (IMO) is to show that a band will likely exist somewhere.
  16. And all we do is snow now.
  17. Looks kinda lame tbh lol. One of these days it would be cool to get a mecs up this way.
  18. Numbers are fun, but the confusion matrix in ML has taught me just how misleading they can be. To me, a 2-4/3-6 event is a success if the grass is covered. Small branches on the ground can stick up, but I only accept it on small quantities. And that’s my version of not knowing what that means.
  19. Oh, trust me, same lol. But keeping expectations in check.
  20. Kind of a weak surface low and it's gonna be zipping as the cold air moves in. I've been getting February 2, 2010 vibes with this one. Nice little event, but not a very high ceiling given the entire setup.
  21. Frederick seems to do pretty decent with these "rare" southern storms due to the combo of upslope and valley CAD. NS dominant storms are a little more sus as I get that downslope component. I think NPZ lives in an area where those effects are amplified. What makes that Clarksburg to Damascus area in Moco (and along that line) underrated for snow is they're usually not too far north or south and have topography working for them. I think they actually average a little more snow than downtown Frederick.
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