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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. looks like another band forming and headed towards mby.
  2. This is overperforming like some of our recent rainers. Double digits are in play if these rates continue for a couple more hours.
  3. That was a top shelf snow shower. Lightened a bit the last few minutes but it had to have dropped a quick inch.
  4. Cloud deck should be lowering again per wv loop. Think it’s go time for the next round.
  5. yea, i've already called it a storm lol, though a couple more inches would make me call this a round. very good storm for this area and it's only jan 13.
  6. well hopefully everyone can get in on the action. it's pretty clear at this point there's re-enhancement going on of the precip, but rates n/w of 95 are tbd. dendrites have reappeared imby, but it's not moderate which will probably be needed to get to those 2-3" totals.
  7. yea, i could be wishcasting a bit, but we've had a couple of rainers overperform as well. 3" would be pretty legit, though. i would take that and call it a storm.
  8. you can see the squeeze play going on and i think we're in a pretty decent spot for it. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_US/animwv.html
  9. just got back from a nice little hike through cabin john. outstanding scenery. 5.5" was about the average. round 2 or 3 or whatever it is at this point looks very appealing at the moment. not sure how far north and west is goes, but can't underestimate a mild atlantic. should be interesting to see how much moisture can get thrown back here.
  10. looks pretty awesome outside. will need to get out measure and take a stroll/pics soon.
  11. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_US/animwv.html the upper level energy that originally looked like it would become a pancake is still spinning its way towards our area. still have that piece to move through, which should add enough lift to allow some backbuilding of the precip. just how far north and west of 95 it occurs is a wildcard.
  12. nope. ull energy still needs to move through.
  13. some of that upper level energy enters the area in the next couple hours, so that should be when the precip fills back in.
  14. Just saw the sun peak through which would normally suck during a snowstorm but it was still snowing which made it look pretty cool. Clearly there’s some atmospheric reshuffling going on as the coastal takes over so hopefully it throws back enough moisture for the ull portion as the day progresses.
  15. Now would be a good time for the precip to begin backbuilding. Dc to bmore should be ok, but cutting it a bit close for N/W of that corridor. Latest hrrr implies similar so it’ll be interesting to see how well that area fills in as the upper energy moves through.
  16. i know, i just played basketball outside in shorts and a tshirt. took me a while to sweep the 2.5" of snow off the court, but i got it done.
  17. gfs actually looks a little better than the rgem for dc through tomorrow. 0.5" is a bit further north towards frederick/bmore whereas rgem keeps it a bit closer to the city. either way, another few inches looks like a good bet.
  18. gfs doesn't have much precip after sundown tomorrow. i think tomorrow morning into early afternoon is our window for the best rates.
  19. Gfs looks good thru midday tomorrow for dc. Maybe a little better than 18z.
  20. the mets can correct me if i'm wrong, but i think hrrr is radar infused data as well. i would imagine it's better used for short term radar trends (e.g., derechos).
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