87storms

For the most part, yes... .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... High pressure will keep the region dry Thursday into Thursday evening. Some increasing clouds with a developing southerly flow will evolve as the high moves offshore. A low pressure system moving east across the Ohio Valley Thursday night into Friday will spread some rain across the region Thursday night through Friday night. High temperatures Thursday will be near average reaching the middle to upper 40s. Thursday night`s lows will be about 10 degrees warmer than Wednesday night`s lows due to the increased southerly flow and cloud cover and rain. Friday`s highs could be 10 degrees warmer than Thursday`s highs. The exact track of the low pressure system will determine amounts of rainfall and if cold air ahead of the low will be given a chance to have a mixed bag of precipitation.

Yea, I'm kinda open to some milder days for a bit. Not sure how much I want another 3-4" snowfall, which is about the most I've seen from each storm. Mby has had a bunch of minor events and some entertaining squalls, but at this point I think I want a 6-10"+ event. Actually, the most I've seen here since I moved here in 2021 is about 6" in Jan '22.

Looks like some sneaky wind might be accompanying the thaw at times this week.

Like the Commanders, we had a good run. Time to focus on next year’s Modoki?

They’re a machine

The chiefs won by 3. Might as well have been 21. They turn it up when they feel like. Philly is legit, though. A ton of playmakers. Could be a fun sb

Not the best looking indices in the near-term (still learning this part of the hobby)... https://www.weather.gov/fgz/Teleconnections The mid- to late-Feb winter renewal seems rational.

We're definitely pretty good at 5 inches of snow on the grass and an inch on pavement through mid-March.

La Nina might be waking up. It was a good run, though. That said, I do kinda buy the sneaky late season snow idea.

The chiefs are like the Jordan Bulls. They win when they want to win and coast when they want to coast.

It's a miracle that they're only down by 2 scores. Way too many turnovers, but give the Eagles credit...they're mostly "play-making" turnovers.

I need to learn that Jayden is legit and that the Commanders are not the Wizards.

Definitely need a couple pieces each on O, D and ST. Fun season but they’ve won a bit too much on luck and it’s catching up. Time to level up in the offseason

lol at going for 2. They fell into the a yard closer fallacy. Thanks refs

McLaurin is cold. HOF caliber talent

Commanders are weathering the storm.

January thaw has arrived.

Think this one might come down to Barkley.

It's going to ramp up once that SER gets going. Sun angle season should help, too.

Most important game in Commanders history since last week. Think this one might come down to kicking.

Spring training, March Madness, and cherry blossoms. That is all.

Chance is right...monthly anomaly "averages" can be misleading. All it takes is one timely storm to overcome a less than ideal average height pattern and, of course, untimely shortwaves can ruin a good one. The challenge is that upcoming patterns are unlikely to turn out the way we want, so comparing something that might happen to something that already did, will add even more overthinking. I can see why looking at the large scale features (MJO, NAO, etc.) and placing bets on that would be a better game to play than just hoping for a proposed H5 pattern to deliver (since that's still a moving target beyond 7-10 days). I'm brainstorming...mostly just taking a break from doing my weekly status report lol.

Thick frost alert

Will need to see how things shake out on the models by the weekend.

Thought I’d get a break from tracking, but now the gfs is showing a 1040+ hp and a bowling ball ejecting east.