87storms

I can’t see the Catoctin’s right now.

Incoming

Still incredibly cloudy in Frederick. Oh well, now I feel nudged to do more work.

Looks like it’s cloudier west of 95 on satellite. I’m assuming it thins out as milder air moves in.

lol, I enjoy the seasons, but the older I get the less enthused I am about stratus clouds.

The Atlantic cloud factory has shown slight weaknesses the last few minutes in Baker Park. Otherwise, it’s been cranking in ways only the mid-Atlantic can.

Today’s weather makes me not eager for winter.

Most of the pws’s surrounding me are showing 2”+ totals. Premium event here. Nice segue into the upcoming pattern.

At this point, it’s basically a funnel from the Atlantic to Frederick.

Looks like another batch might be getting reeled in by the Frederick precipitation vacuum.

Thunder

And the oranges are monsoon level lol. 2” might be in sight for some locations around here.

This band is cookin” right now

Overperformer here. I underestimated how well our windward side areas can do with an Atlantic coastal.

The last two showers here have been productive. Screen door is open...sounds like Fall out there.

Hardly anything here and might head out in a bit, but radar looks good for a shower or two even in the Frederick precipitation force shield.

After the sprinkle fest coming up, it looks like another beautiful stretch on tap.

Deer are all around the Frederick watershed as well. I’ve definitely almost hit a few of them. But honestly, there might have been more around my aunt and uncle’s place in Derwood back in the day. They were all over that part of Rock Creek.

That’s awesome. They’re around in Frederick as well, but haven’t seen one biking yet…though did see one scurry across Hamburg Rd a couple years ago. Might have been the one that had been recently released.

Today’s weather was a dime…possibly the nicest day of the year.

Yea, I didn't expect this weather today, but looks like a glitch compared to the upcoming pattern.

Standard deviation is just the average distance of each value in a dataset from the dataset’s mean. In a normal (or near normal) distribution (tied to the central limit theorem), then 1, 2, and 3 standard deviations from the mean cover ~68/95/99.7% of the data. So by nature >= 2-3 standard deviations away from the mean implies <= 5% chance of occurrence. And IQR is just the middle 50% of the ordered data. Replacing a dataset’s tails with anomalies will skew the mean and increase the standard deviation, but not affect the IQR (or even median). There’s nuances to all of this, but that’s the gist of it.

We’re pretty good at clouds here. Not as good as the upper Midwest and northeast, but pretty good. Whenever we get into these high pressure dominant patterns, I try to soak it up...especially in the winter.

A truly stunning amount of sunshine today. Majestic level weather.

I remember attending an outdoor (I think summer) wedding. It was uncomfortable lol. I’d much rather be moving around than sitting there shvitzing and acting like a mosquito magnet.