Mailman

Still three days away... .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... KEY MESSAGES: - Weekend severe weather potential and flooding potential. - A brief cooldown Monday, with a warmup into mid-week. ------------------------------------------------------------------- There is increasing confidence in the next disturbance passing through this weekend. The most likely timing remains, Saturday for the warm front, with a strong pressure gradient Saturday afternoon with enhanced low level flow in the warm sector. This will need to continue to be monitored for severe development, with ensemble plumes fairly confident on buoyancy, but unsure on just how much. This might suggest a primary threat of damaging winds. The main cold front is most likely to pass late Saturday into early Sunday. Rainfall amounts are quite variable, between 0.5 and 1.5 inches between the 25th and 75th percentile. Marginal flooding conditions are also possible as the cold front slowly moves through. Synoptic winds are also forecast at 20 to 30 mph (25th to 75th percentile). Behind the cold front, a brief cool down to near-normal is expected with moderate confidence, followed by a warm-up back above normal by mid-week.

GFS out of nowhere.

Didn't know thunderstorms were on the menu for today.

Try to cheer you folks up...

Yeah.. it was coming down at a good clip here about 10 minutes ago.

Couple inches out there. Not bad.

Can report light snow here, as well.

Ended up with 5.5". Can't complain.

I was at 4.5" about an hour ago.

I'd say close to 3" here.

Trends aren't out friends.

Ah yeah.