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cbmclean

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Everything posted by cbmclean

  1. Even better is the experimental 12.5 month forecast for Oct-Nov-Dec 2020. The good cheer never ends.
  2. Amazing how warm 1925 was; must have been awful in those pre-AC days looking forward to Fall relief and getting a face full of high summer. Also, amazing how soupy last year was at Asheville.
  3. One thing has me perturbed. A few days ago it looked as if the front was going to stall and we would get several days of elevated rain chances. Now it's going to barrel through in one day. If I miss out on Tuesday, it's dry for another week. I'll be anxious all day.
  4. Don't look over in the MA forum. They have a thread already cancelling this upcoming winter.
  5. Baby steps. From the RAH forecast discussion. Some notable trends have unfolded in the guidance over the past day or so, namely a trend toward a more unsettled weather pattern for especially the first half of the long term, which would in effect limit the excessive heat potential that we are expecting for the mid- week period.
  6. Also, neglected to post this earlier. Here is a hailstone from the beginning of the storm on last Friday. I think this one is a due to several stones melting and refreezing together.
  7. Had some torrential windy rain in Wilson.
  8. I was just about to post the same thing. Keep hope alive.
  9. All right, looks like it's about time to lower the blinds, turn out the lights and wrap this one up.
  10. Ah, southern Wake screwjob. Cold Rain will be happy.
  11. Subfreezing 850's down to Mexico, but of course cold rain form eastern NC.
  12. MA folks worried about suppression as shown on GEFS. Often a good sign for us.
  13. PSU on MA forum mentions that top analog for coming pattern is March 1960. Nothing exciting happened around here then did it?
  14. Well, the wording of his statement "I take full responsibility for my actions ..." kind of suggests to me that he did something bad to someone else. I could mention the first thing that comes to mind, but it would be baseless speculation. Man, I am bummed I grew up with him.
  15. I am seriously bummed out by this. I wonder what the heck happened.
  16. It amuses me that even with biblical snow in Alabama, it still shows a harsh Wake County gradient. Cold Rain would approve.
  17. The NAO is known to be streaky on a decadal scale, so I am hoping that some the warmth of this past decade might be natural variation. That being said I expect regular snowfall (ie a nice one every three years or so) in the non-mountainous areas of NC/SC to cease in the next decade or two.
  18. Well, if you have to have only one model on your side, I would prefer it to be the euro.
  19. I threw mine in last weekend. There are actually some encouraging signs for the MJO progression for the second half of February, but I suspect that it is too late for us. MA and NE could get score though.
  20. The difference, though, is that Patriots actually had an impact on the outcome of that game. There is nothing that I can do to affect the weather one way or another.
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