cbmclean

Thanks Yoda (by the way, I was really impressed by the way you lifted that X-wing out of the swamp back on Dagobah).

Well the Banter thread is devoted to side chatter, but I just can't figure out how to quote a post from the main thread in the Banter thread.

Sometimes someone posts something in the main thread that I want to joke about but obviously do not want to clutter it up. Isn't there a way to respond to a post from one thread but in a different thread?

What is the definition of "skill" in this technical context?

Hey, what's wrong with that thought? Seriously though I'm not going to be a rude guest in another forum and try to advocate for my backyard. I dream of a big one where we all get slammed. I think it happened back in the great 1899 cold outbreak. That should score high on Maestrobjwa's WDI.

I have seen several posts recently showing damning evidence of notable cold bias for the east on NCEP products (can't remember if it was GFS or GEFS, or maybe both). At this point, do you see any reason not to conclude that the GFS op if on on its own little fantasy tangent and can be safely discounted?

Yes, it is actually very helpful. I really appreciate your taking the time to pass along this knowledge. It will be a shame if our nice west-based block is wasted by blocking in Pacific poop.

Well that is what confuses me. The chart mentioned that it is defined at 500 hp as opposed to the older 1000 HP.hp. So are you just saying that the index, at whatever level it is taken, only gives a very rudimentary approximation of the state of blocking?

Sorry for the ignorance on my part, but the blocking that you are referring to, I am not seeing anything showing up on the NAO forecast, and I was under the impression that it was the teleconnection most reflective of the kind of blocking we (eastern CONUS) like to see. I did note a predicted nice little negative event on the AO, but I thoght taht teh AO reflected the strength (or lack thereof) of the polar jet stream. Is it also conencted to "blocking"?

CPC NAO outlooks range from "hmm" to "ugh" with a mean of "meh".

It may be unscientific, but if the Pac puke is inevitable, I kind of feel like I just want it to go ahead and get it over with so we can move on. The bad thing is, there is no guarantee that we move on.

As a SE forum guy, I will gladly take cold rain next week it opens the door to the TPV Christmas week.

Zero chance they are the same people. #politics Could just be a clever ploy to throw us all off.

Hmm, has anyone ever seen PSU and Bob together at the same place at the same time?

Is there an NCEP analog to the HRDPS?

Back on Saturday, Jonathan posted a plot of the NAO since August. I present it together with the AO. Nothing even remotely suspicious about the date of themost recent 0 crossing is there?

Nope nothing suspicious in the date that the NAO/AO flipped to + m,n

Well, pac puke looms over all. Man that bums me out. Expected start: Dec 16 Expected end: ???

I remember the spike of concern a week or so ago. This seems more severe as it has BobChill spooked. If PSU joins, I start looking for a cliff.

Seems like just yesterday thongs were looking up. Now we have the visage of the dreaded Pac puke looming over us.

Who is Tom?

I've experienced an 80 F Christmas. That aspect was not fun.

So while 11 out of 21 members have average or below average vortex strength at the 12/23, but the 10 positive outweigh the -/neutral members? Is that a valid conclusion? Oh, and I thought the EPS had 50 members plus control?

Ah that's the Ji we know and love.

If anyone is interested in the two cents of a random out-of-forum visitor, I would say that this is the best regional forum on the board, at least that I have visited. My home SE forum means well, but we don't have the same model chops as you guys. NYC and Philly are ok, I guess, haven't spent much time there. NE is...troubled. Out west is barely populated. Specifically for PSU, even your "unproductive" melt-down posts are useful for the uneducated, like me. There are so many negative nancies, who only dwell on the bad, combined with superweenies, who only hug the good, combined with bipolars who shift back and forth violently between ecstasy and despair. When a respected, level-headed, intellectually honest personage such as PSU or Bob melts down it s a valuable signal that the prognosis is truly bad.