cbmclean

Pouring here now. Up to 2.31" for the day. 4.33" since last Wednesday.

You guys know I lurk here in the winter thought I'd share this with you. Fayetteville (KFAY) broke its all time low maximum by 10 °F. Today's high was 65 °F. Previous low max was 75 °F back in 1927. So crushed a 93 year old record by 10 °F. Nothing too exciting. And yes, we have been asking where these anomalies were in January.

Fayetteville broke its all time low maximum by 10 °F!!. Today's high was 65 °F. Previous low max was 75 °F back in 1927.

Finally had a below-normal month. https://twitter.com/NWSRaleigh/status/1267593225025359872/photo/1

Monthly total of 8.27". 5/6 0.02" 5/8 0.02" 5/17 2.39" 5/19 1.45" 5/20 0.47" 5/21 0.93" 5/22 0.11" 5/27 0.69" 5/28 0.71" 5/29 0.88" 5/30 0.59"

1.40" of glorious rain so far today. 55 F.

34.5 this morning. I'll have to remember this weather in late September when it's 95 F with 70 F dewpoints

Nice storm came through here. Had one of the longest continuous rumbles of thunder I have ever heard (I am presuming it was just from lighting strikes so close together the sound overlapped) windy, black clouds. Picked up 0.50".

Aw man, I was just about to christen this one "Bob Chill II".

Got down to 22.8 °F last night. I will say that the brief yet repeated cool snaps in February seem to have gone a long way to keeping the more annoying bugs in check, and also slowed the grass a good bit. They are still way ahead of schedule, but less disgustingly so.

Well, with the close of Met winter I will say that it could have been much much much worse. The 4" of snow and the repeated (if brief) cool snaps really helped me to make piece with this winter. On to spring.

You hear that sound, it's the sound of inevitability.

Oh it's completely rational, in just funnin'ya

LONG LONG LONG term but I'll just leave this here. Somebody make sure that Maestrobjwa doesn't see this. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf

I blame PSU personally. If he hadn't have made that infamous post back in late December, this never would have happened.

As much as I love snow, cold and the outdoors, I would like to get into skiing. But there are several factors against me 1. I hate looking like an idiot. 2. I hate getting in other people's way. 3. I really hating looking like an idiot and getting in other people's way and paying a small fortune to do it. 4. My wife despises cold. So I would need a to find a place with facilities dedicated to teaching adults who have absolutely no knowledge/experience. I'm sure they exist but it is probably 10x more expensive than even the already expensive normal places. And even if I could find an affordable one, I wouldn't be able to go because the boss would just laugh at my suggestion.

Warning: the person who runs this site that I am linking to appears to be dedicated to AGW skepticism/denial. I post it because it has some interesting discussion of the hypothesis that I have alluded to previously about reduced latitudinal temp gradients causing more blocking. Apparently the hypothesis is being questioned by new studies. http://joannenova.com.au/2020/02/global-confusion-turns-out-global-warming-doesnt-cause-wandering-jet-stream-extreme-weather/ Just ignore the constant carping at the "stupidity" of climate scientists.

Wow, I hadn't heard anything about this. But apparently the Summit station in Greenland may have hit an all time record low this winter. I guess the fruits of our friend the PV.

The sequel to the BobChill storm is the PSU rainstorm.

I will gladly take some extra snow, but I am really rooting for our comrades in the MA to score something.

Things are getting out of hand. I just saw reports on the news that the +AO was sighted mugging little old ladies in Philly and stealing ice out of people's freezers.

I found it: Global Wind Oscillation.

Just started learning about GLAAM. What is GWO?

I'm also really curious what driving force the seasonal dynamic models were seeing to make their +AO/NAO predictions. On a larger note, a few years ago I saw some speculation that AGW would lead to a weaker polar jet thus more -NAO/AO episodes. The idea was that the strength of the polar jet is strongly affected by the latitudinal temperature gradient. As that gradient goes down with polar warming, the mean strength of the polar jet would also go down. It made sense to me. But obviously it didn't work out that way this year. Perhaps there is another forcing which is overwhelming it (maritime continent warm pool perhaps) or maybe it was just pure random chance. But the fact that the seasonal models picked up on it implies there is a non-random forcing element involved.

You know, it is very frustrating that the second half of December was mostly negative, but it was completely ruined by the AK vortex.