So hypothetically, what would it take to get that arctic air pointed at us instead of just battering helplessly against the mountains. Where should the HP be?
After you have had your fill, can you please give it a push to the east? The cold seems to be hung up on the mountains. See if you can unsnag it please.
In depressing news, here is a graph I made of the long sad story of the 2m temp at 1 pm for one particular gridpoint in central NC according to the GEFS for the days Feb 14 - 16. A tale of opportunities missed.
That would be disappointing, concert in Brownsville TX than at RDU. But the models seem to be completely unable to pin the PV down. I wouldn't say we are out of the running yet.
18Z GEFS was also a bummer. A ~6 F jump in average temperature at 1 pm from the 18Z yesterday in central NC . The big cold was completely lost. So I am assuming that the PV must be in the west this run.
That PV is driving me insane.
The disaster continues unabated in the SE thread as the bodies of those who already jumped are cushioning the fall for the rest of us so we can't even self -reap.
So we have Stormtracker as an administrator and Mappy as a moderator. I also think we have one admin and one mod in my home SE thread. So is this site organized so that there is one of each for each regional form? You'd think I'd know this after hanging out here so long.