cbmclean
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Everything posted by cbmclean
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If Chuck says a +PNA might be coming, I'm ready to listen.
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I'm driving up to Fredericksburg the 12th - 14th for business. I expect you guys to show some hospitality for a SE forum visitor with a little bit of the ole white powder.
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Difference between GFS op and GEFS lately set me looking for some info about ensembles in gneral. Some interesting info here. https://library.wmo.int/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=12962#.Y4uYXnbMKUk
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Isn't the Buffalo-to-Bermuda express a standard track? Its how Bermuda gets most of their blizzards.
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Insert standard "Trust the warmest model" joke that's not really a joke. Normally I would ignore long range op compared to ens, but maybe the higher resolution of the op is allowing it to "see" the super persistent PNA more accurately.
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Which model(s)?
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I give that one the SE Visitor Seal of Approval(tm)
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You changing your picture would be like my dad getting a nose ring; it would undermine the very foundations of my reality.
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I don't know anything about it one way or another, but I am curious why you believe that FIFA would want this? They think its more exciting?
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I think you had a debate AGAINST that guy that said the EPO/AO/NAO combo was physically impossible, so I think that is what CAPE is referring to.
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Thanks as always.
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Anyone have a translation for "k=1 CHI"?
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I'm not sure if that's encouraging or scary.
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Asking as someone trying to make a significant effort to understand: isn't that a nasty -PNA signal though?
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Someone recently made the claim that the EPS has a bias towards killing MJO waves. Is that a known thing?
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2 weeks is ok, would rather not be 4. That takes us to right before Xmas.
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The long range does not look awful at this time. That is all.
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I lurk and learn. What info are we able to gather from 50 hPa? I'm familiar with the 10 hPa stratospheric charts, but not with 50 hPa.
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Eric Webb was calling this guy out on Twitter today. Pointing out that this is showing the SPV instead of the TPV, so of much less interest,
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Exactly 3.00 yesterday from Ian. Mostly light winds.
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I just mentally deduct 4-5 degrees from their high on warm sunny days. The gave full-on UHI in effect.
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2022 Atlantic hurricane season whining/banter
cbmclean replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Yes. And it took decades of patient effort and billions of dollars/euros to get that good. Predicting weather is just inherently difficult. -
Picked up 0.64" yesterday afternoon in a nice downpour after just missing the morning stuff. Then got 1.81" overnight for an excellent 2.45" total in less than 24 hours. 4.31" for the month.
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Maybe the SAL will block so much sunlight that it will cause massive cooling along the eastern CONUS.
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0.41" today. Disappointed in this weekend. Was hoping to get a good soaking. Total of 5.25" for the month. Not too bad compared to May and June.
