I became familiar with him pooping in the tropical thread. Don't think I remember seeing him around here before. I find it difficult to understand the psychology of habitually showing up on message boards just to annoy people. I mean multiple years.
Right before Xmas that year there was a major storm in the NC coastal plain. 13 inches on Cape Hatteras. 15 inches in Wilmington. Only had about 4 inches at my area in Cumberland County but it was still nice. I have a distinct memory of playing in the snow and sleet on Christmas Eve. Oddly enough I have no memory of the subsequent Xmas. I also have no memory of the pattern flip in January but I am told it was epic in a bad way.
Will need the PNA to be less hostile to get the direct shot of cold. Of course Some -PNA may be useful in fighting off the cold/dry tendency of big -EPOs for you MA guys/gals. Not so much for us SE weenies.
I'm driving up to Fredericksburg the 12th - 14th for business. I expect you guys to show some hospitality for a SE forum visitor with a little bit of the ole white powder.
Difference between GFS op and GEFS lately set me looking for some info about ensembles in gneral. Some interesting info here.
https://library.wmo.int/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=12962#.Y4uYXnbMKUk
Insert standard "Trust the warmest model" joke that's not really a joke.
Normally I would ignore long range op compared to ens, but maybe the higher resolution of the op is allowing it to "see" the super persistent PNA more accurately.