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cbmclean

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Everything posted by cbmclean

  1. They can go either way...there is no rule. If dec and Jan were always cold...we would be cheering for a Nina every year Well even when cold the tendency for a trough west/ridge east makes Ninas especially prone to cold dry/warm wet syndrome.
  2. Is it normal to have that much variability at 384? That's like a random number generator; every possible permutation of temperature anomaly. We all know p28 will verify
  3. That was a overatted weak nino right? Well, we all had high hopes, so I guess in that sense it was over-rated. That was the year I learned to hate the MJO.
  4. Certainly, my point was if it isn't an oscillation we have no reason to expect it to "change states" at some future point.
  5. Was curious about how the PDO might interact with the AMO, so reading about the AMO on Wikipedia yesterday. Apparently there is no consensus that it even exists. Some think it's just noise.
  6. I have actually been hearing internet forums are dying all over. Note sure why. Maybe we should set up a group Twitter feed.
  7. SPV doing some interesting contortions on the GFS suite in the long range. No signs of collapse yet to my eyes.
  8. As long as the sacrifice does not cause additional CO2 emissions.
  9. Northeast snow weenies were wish-casting and apparently got angry when he called them on it. But since then he has been going out of his way to revel in their misery. not a classy move in my opinion.
  10. 2020's will be negative. That's right, they will SUBTRACT snow from previous decades.
  11. Can't post pics at work, but look at 00z GEPS at 318 hrs. Looks like decent 500 MB presentation But temp anomalies are disappointing.
  12. Was just going to post, that, but you saved me the trouble.
  13. I personally think P32 looks extra realistic.
  14. That was probably the same January 2-3 even I mentioned that did well at RDU. I had almost completely forgotten about that storm and my memories of 2001 -2002 were negative based on the overall warmth.
  15. As you can see from my profile I live in Wilson which is just 45 minutes or so west of Greeneville. Our snow climatology could best be described as: "We see flakes 2 out of 3 years, and that ain't bad!". Oddly enough I haven't been fully shut-out (no flakes at all) since I have been here. Closet I came was in 2011-12 but I did see a few sleet pellets' that year. I'm afraid this year might be the year.
  16. Well actually you are correct in that sense. RDU got a big snow on Jan 2 - 3. But that was all she wrote that winter. It was super warm otherwise. Here is a map from Eric Webber's historical website.
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