
cbmclean
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Everything posted by cbmclean
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Honest question from one trying to learn. What makes this a bad antecedent pattern? To my unlearned eye I see a +PNA. The EPO domain is complicated but certainly no pig Alaska vortex. I see what looks like the TPV in Norther Quebec. (On the other hand I do see it looks like a +AO.) What is the mechanism for this being bad? Note I am not challenging that this IS bad, just trying to understand what makes it so.
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Honest question, but isn't the migration of the core of the low to the Aleutians what we want to see? That seems like that is what it is doing.
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Their stats guy determined if they get to December 5th with less than 10' of snow, their winter is going to suck.
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I haven't been looking at them in detail the last several days; would you say the transition is continuing to move up in time, or is it always at day 15?
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I'm still not sure if I am ready to live in a world where @Ji is the optimist trying to talk people off the cliff.
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Ouch, that hurt.
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So there is only one question: was the can kicked today, or did it hold serve? Seems like it held serve...so far.
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I'll give the GFS op this: it's been entertaining lately.
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Poll question: would you trade a Ravens super bowl for a January 2015 redux?
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What about @psuhoffman? I was worried for him, when hurts was in the blue tent. Side note, I really never realized how good McCaffery is. Still wondering why the Panthers traded him.
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All playoff systems are flawed in the sense that deserving teams are sometimes left out. The solution to that is to just invite everyone to the playoff. But of course that makes the regular season worth dog-shyte. The criticality of the regular season was one of the things I always loved about College football. Compare with the yawn-inducing college basketball season or the 6-month exhibition that is the NBA regular season. Don't worry though, next year we go to 12 teams. Soon it will be 16, then maybe 32.
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I remember being teased by both the Ops and the ensembles multiple times but I think we usually disregarded the top at range, and rightfully so. I know we want that particular op to be right.
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For sure, the 4-6 loop been progged for some while. I'll just be happier when I see it in the rear-view mirror.
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It was foretold that some of us wouldn't make it. At this rate none of us might make it past Dec 2nd.
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That said, I do distinctly remember a period just after New Years last winter where a big GOA low set up for a week or so and everybody was commenting on how Nino-like it looked. But after a week or so it was gone and we went back to the Nina-fail. Maybe this is just the payback for that escapade.
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Yeah, but that's the canonical Nino eastern CONUS Nino torch, with the big low off the waters near AK. What's being progged is the canonical strong Nina Pacific Warm Blob which has haunted us for the past several years. They both fail for us, but for different reasons. PSUs point is that if the Nina-esque forcing starts shunting aside the Nino forcing, we're not just in for a bad December.
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First signs of concern from @CAPE. The signal is degrading?
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As a SE weenie, I once had snow melt so fast it subtracted from previous snow totals.
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I wouldn't think the LR radiation would be the culprit. It would go through the dry air with little heating, whether the air is moving or not. I would think the factor of moving air would be its ability to carry away the heat being transferred by convection. Sort of like wind-chill for the earth
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My new death metal band will be named Perfect Track Rainstorm
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I've heard he chills easily because he doesn't have much skin on those bones.
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I'm beginning to think @Jebman might be an optimist; ban him from the the Panic Room!!
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If you're that picky about your snow, you're behind the eight ball going in.
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Mais c'est deja fini.
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L'hiver est mort.