cbmclean
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Everything posted by cbmclean
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Just scroll past them.
- 1,295 replies
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- wishcasting
- almost winter
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Haven't we played that game multiple times the last few years? The cold gets trapped in the west and can't make it over the mountains while we toast. The eastern CONUS loses either way. I enjoyed the Christmas cold shot last year for what it was. I definitely enjoyed it more than the 2015 torch.
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I'm loving this ----EPO eye candy, but is it reasonable to be concerned that maybe this is too much of a good thing, especially so early in the NH cold season? Will the air of the source region have even had time to really chill in the polar night? If it discharges before it's had time to "marinate", will we just be left with a marginal early seaon cold outbreak and a depleted source region? Of course this is all just a hypothetical concern assuming the modeling even comes close to verifying.
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Shhh, don't let Webb hear that...
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I'm too lazy to look at the numbers but last December actually wasn't that warm as averages go. I think it was a actually a bit BN here at RDU. But of course most of that was due to the epic Xmas week cold snap. Every time systems came through the SER flexed and the east coast had a classic warm wet/cold dry. My one bar is NOT being ~80 F on Xmas day like in 2015 at my parents house.. I'm legitimately concerned.
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And last year at least he was right. Every. Single. Time. I find it hard to hate on him until he is actually incorrect for once. He's actually from very near my hometown in central/SE North Carolina. Not sure why he has the feud with the East Coast snow weenies but his joy at their suffering is unseemly.
- 1,295 replies
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- 1
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- wishcasting
- almost winter
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Got 2.62" from Ophelia. 3.24" for the week. A good rehydration.
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A thin line of storms but very slow movement yielded 0.93". Hoping for some more tomorrow.
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Virtually no movement on the radar. One of those days where a cell has to form on top of you or you get nothing.
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0.29" today, for 1.96" over the last three days. The garden and grass needed that.
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1.42" from the storms today. Much needed.
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A disappointing 0.26" in the bucket from the squall line. The line was too thin and moving too fast. Hopefully we can get some more later this week.
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Don't normally get too excited about morning rain because it is often light and usually interferes with better convection later in the day. But this morning delivered a solid 1.16", my first inch-plus day in a while.
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Got 0.87 from the line. Respectable given the fact that the line seemed to be weakening after passing the triangle (some of that may have just been radar artifact) and how speedily the line was moving. Ended up with 1.48" from the active spell. Not horrible but wish I could have had a bit more given the abundant moisture throughout the column, the lack of longwave ridging but also plenty of heat to create instability, as well as the constant stream of shortwaves. This upcoming week looks dry as of now.
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I know the feeling. Have had five separate instances of rain over the last four days but only netted 0.61". Grateful to have it but still hoping for a good inch plus soaker. Maybe today is my day.
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2023 Mountains Spring/Summer Thread
cbmclean replied to Tyler Penland's topic in Southeastern States
Coastal plain lurker here: do you mountain folks ever put salt on your watermelon, or is that something my grandad made up? -
How much did you end up with?
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I believe we want a moderate east-based Nino.
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Just one of those spells where MBY can't buy a good soaking. Cells popping up all around me today but only scrounged 0.008". Looking at the radar right now the cells have almost no movement. If one happens to form over top of you it's great, but otherwise forget it.
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Serious training going on in Harnett County right now. Be interesting to see what rain measurements they have down there.
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Picked up a token 0.14" from a cell that blew up right as it passed by house. Only 0.38" so far this month. Things not too dry yet...
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We're having a comically cold, wet Memorial Day weekend down here in NC. Apparently the Eastern trough that was missing all winter woke up and is trying to make up for lost time.
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Ended up yesterday with 1.28" from two separate rounds of storms; one in the afternoon and one in the evening.
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Didn't get as much as the Raleigh folks but managed a healthy 0.86". Enough to keep the annual spring drought at bay another week.
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This is the song that will play when the incoming El Nino turns out to be super.
