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cbmclean

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Everything posted by cbmclean

  1. cbmclean
    Or even a light downpour.
  2. cbmclean
    Simply beautiful snow in Wilson. 26.2 °F at my PWS. I'm at work trying to restrain the urge to look out the window every 5 seconds.
  3. cbmclean
    *Insert Homer Simpson doughnut face*
  4. cbmclean
    Flurries in Wilson.
  5. cbmclean
    Light snow in Wilson. I wasn't expecting it to start until after lunch.
  6. cbmclean
    Nice article!
  7. cbmclean
    Good I don't want to be dodging birdshot.
  8. cbmclean
    The 12K NAM sucks, I mean it stinks as a model. But it does one thing exceptionally well: it sniffs out a warm nose like a freaking terminator. Based on this and based on the long-joked-about-but-still accurate-maxim, "trust the least snowy model" combined with the maxim that the warm-nose always overperforms: I "officially" predict that the 12K NAM will "win" and RDU south will have little or no snow. I hope I bust horribly and I get a snowball to the face tomorrow.
  9. cbmclean
    I suspect they are expecting a last minute NW trend. Which does often happen.
  10. cbmclean
    Exactly, that's why Im hugging the 3K NAM!!
  11. cbmclean
    Darn it.
  12. cbmclean
    Yeah but how bad are the thermals?
  13. cbmclean
    It appears we are stuck on a knife's edge between cold enough for mostly snow but too dry vs juicier but too warm aloft for snow.
  14. cbmclean
    Having flashbacks to January 2017.
  15. cbmclean
    Better regional performance at short lead times is literally the NAM's entire purpose for existing, so if it can't beat the globals in that regard, time to put it out to pasture.
  16. cbmclean
    How in the world? I thought central NC's biggest problem is the cold press crushing the moisture?
  17. cbmclean
    On behalf of Wilson, I give this run my stamp of approval.
  18. cbmclean
    SE weenies have to get up with the sun to tend the soybean seedlings.
  19. cbmclean
    Except the NAM...
  20. cbmclean
    I was just going to say the same thing; this could trend to a FROPA. For my sake, hopefully not.
  21. cbmclean
    Nothing to serious in Wilson; max of 26.2 mph on my PWS. Just got breezier again though.
  22. cbmclean
    Interesting. Very little improvement between 2010 and 2020 and even a slight decrease past ~100. Are we running up against a wall in NWP capability until we gett he next big breakthrough? Perhaps AI?
  23. cbmclean
    By the time this storm is done trending it'll be a flurry off Cape Hatteras.
  24. cbmclean
    Nasty gradient in Wilson County.
  25. cbmclean
    I just mean that the CMC shows a sweet spot for many, but further weakening is definitely on the table. Don't want too much of a good thing.
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