cbmclean

How about a Saskatchewan Scooter?

We're in the midst of the most disgusting multi-year snow drought in recorded history. We're like a lifeboat full of starving shipwreck survivors and in the distance we see what looks like an island with a Golden Corral on it. There's only so much restraint you can expect. But I do worry. Things look good now, but it could all fall apart. Heck it doesn't even have to fall apart; it could just be one of those good patterns where the timing is off and the potential gets wasted. It's happened before and it will happen again. We have so much emotionally invested in this now the potential for disappointment is yuuuuuge.

I'm setting up my lawn chair and my umbrella in a choice location on Panic Beach. The modeling can only go down from here.

What indicates a split flow in that H5 plot? I just see a Baja-to North Pole ridge which I would have though would block the STJ...

Is that your old avatar?

2023 was not a happy winter

He went "rouge"? He's red in the face?

The GEFS still looked pretty to my eyes...

The whole 0Z GFS was a comedy of "cold dry/ warm wet" with stiff cold shots interspersed with torches as our beloved Baja trough makes a reappearance. Let us hope it does another 180 degree turn at 6Z.

I thought that 2000 was a one-shot year?

Its nice to see it back away from the western trough. I don't think Chuck will be impressed by the puny blocking signal, though. ETA: Puny to him anway.

We're doomed?

Could be worse. It has a nice, piquant aftertaste.

You mean watching a guys heart get pulled out isn't kid friendly?

Oh fuuuuuuuuuuuudge.

Gremlins was one of the drivers from the creation of the PG-13 rating.

Excuse me sir, This is the Panic Room, no positive news here.

Hold on guys, panics are ugly things...(looks in long range thread)...,oh crap

I'm not really on the ledge I'm just letting my negativity hang out in the Panic thread. I'm careful not to clutter up the main thread. To answer your question, if the ridge ahead of the trough can find somewhere to go without messing up the 50/50, we'd be in a good place.

18z GFS is first chink in the epic pattern? This is how it always seems to start. One operational shows some bizarre crap at the end and we all laugh it off as an op at range...

Modelerd pattern beginning to look epic...that is usually the sign that the collapse is coming soon. Will it be a slow bleed, or a cankick/rug pull?

Trough axis shifting West, to be less off the shore. Not bad

I got this cool shot of PSU going to check the mail while looking down at the snowless lowlands.

@WEATHER53 approves.

Like you wouldn't just cancel your vacation if that was looking probable. Surely everyone in your family would understand.