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cbmclean

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Everything posted by cbmclean

  1. cbmclean
    HRRR slowly moistening the dry slot slightly this evening. (Comparing 16z to 17z).
  2. cbmclean
    Which site do you use for radar?
  3. cbmclean
    Not sure anyone can deny at this point there will be a relative minimum in the center of NC. The question is will there be a complete collapse of the coastal so virtually 0 qpf gets thrown into the entire NE quadrant of NC. That's a complete shocker for me and I'm going to have to see proof if anybody comes out after the fact and says they saw it coming.
  4. cbmclean
    The regionals are much more aggressive with the coastal and as a result have much more QPF from Raleigh East. All we can do now is hope the CAMs are completely lost in that regard.
  5. cbmclean
    What we're seeing on the CAMs isn't a dry slot so much as a complete failure of the coastal to do, well anything. Not sure what is going on there.
  6. cbmclean
    WTF, the 3k NAM just cancelled the coastal altogether.
  7. cbmclean
    Alright...occlude now dang it!!
  8. cbmclean
    Um...sharp cutoff to the SW there.
  9. cbmclean
    Roxboro should be at 103.2%.
  10. cbmclean
    Hawaii sometimes gets snow on the top of Mauna loa.
  11. cbmclean
    RDU 10 th percentile is 1 inch, 90 th percentile is 11 inches. Median is between 5 and 6.
  12. cbmclean
    That's through 7pm, so still more to go I believe.
  13. cbmclean
    Just about to say the same.
  14. cbmclean
    So its been over 1000 years!!
  15. cbmclean
    This is amping up way too early, I wanted this to hold off until Thursday.
  16. cbmclean
    The NAM still insists I got snow on 1/18.
  17. cbmclean
    I suspect that IF the storms amps at all, a NW trend is inevitable, because the cold press almost always ends up being overmodeled. Sure, suppressed/OTS is definitely still an option, but as of now I think this is an ideal presentation for Triangle east, with the storm still there but hanging out just off the coast.
  18. cbmclean
    Wind is howling tonight.
  19. cbmclean
    This is a beginner weenie mistake for Gemini (one that I have made many many times)...If there is moisture, the cold press almost by definition will not be as strong.
  20. cbmclean
    It nailed the low QPF here but I saw some discussion that it badly underestimated QPF in the MA. What makes me a casual weenie is I am too lazy to look back and find out.
  21. cbmclean
    It needs to tick E (and preferably SE) for a while to give E NC any hope.
  22. cbmclean
    The sad fact is that me being in the bullseye 6 days out means I am likely already out of the game.
  23. cbmclean
    What exactly did Mr. U say?
  24. cbmclean
    Sleet in Wilson.
  25. cbmclean
    Not nearly suppressed enough.
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