cbmclean

A gut punch. It appears that the dynamics were not enough to overcome the stubborn cloud cover over the NE quadrant of NC. An anemic 0.19" for the day. Glad I got the 0.33" yesterday so I at least break 0.50" for the week.

Seeing pinks on radar returns north of Wadesboro out west. Meanwhile I'm at 0.09" for the day.

It's all about the dynamics. Get the right dynamics and you can pop whoppers in a wedge. Not sure if this system is going to have the umph we need, but it is certainly more dynamic than anything we have seen this month.

Just judging by upstream radar, things look good, but we know how upstream cells can vanish mysteriously once hitting the Raleigh shield.

Radar blossoming in NC sandhills and southern coastal plain. Heavy returns moving through Scotland and Hoke counties right now. Hopefully a sign of things to come further north. I was well on my way to climbing out of the short-term drought altogether but then stumbled into a sneaky dry three week period. It has been extra frustrating as the atmosphere has been loaded with moisture, and not just at the low levels, but outside of the piedmont trough and the Seabreeze, most of the state seems to have been completely devoid of dynamics or lift.

Rain!! Only 0.33" but more than doubled my total for the month. Hopefully just an appetizer before a feast tomorrow.

This definitely tracks with OTG truth here. I am at 0.28" for the month. According to the RAH AFD, Raleigh east is in the crosshairs for tomorrow, we shall see. Just warning you guys ahead of time if it's a dud for me, I will whine a bit.

And of course the line of storms is collapsing on cue. Not that it would have amounted to much, with it being a thin line and fast moving, but the quadrant of the RAH CWA from Raleigh, east to me, and north, cannot get jack doodly to fire for the past week. Yeah, there is no mesoscale focus and we're too far east for the piedmont trough cells to hit us and we're too far north for the sea breeze front. But with so much heat and moisture leading to instability, you'd think cells wouldn't just shrivel up and die every time.

One of the twitter mets I follow mentioned this would be a hit-or-miss pattern with erratic rainfall, and he was right. Widespread rain was moving NNE from the SE NC coast and just dying as it moved inland just ignoring orographic lift. Not sure how there can be such high PW and multiple lift sources and so little rain in the coastal plain.

It's not my week. Sunday the axis of convection was too far west. Yesterday it was too far east. Today it was back west. Did manage 0.28" in three separate events today so not a total shut out. Things look hit or miss for the rest of the week.

A crescent of heavy rain essentially stationary in southern Wilson, through Wayne, Johnston and Harnett counties. Going to be some prodigious totals there. Still 0.0" for me MTD.

Slightly annoying as yesterday the moisture axis was 50 miles too far west and today it looks to be 50 miles too far east. We had a good July but not as spectacular as the Raleigh area and I'd like to keep the momentum going. NAM 3K suggests Tuesday and Wednesday may be better for me.

That should make it the wettest in RDU (as opposed to Raleigh NWS) history correct?

Ended up with 0.66" last night plus plenty of thunder and lightning. Will end up with 9.41" for the month.

Any idea what is the all-time wettest month?

Rain, thunder, lightning, the works.

The first MCS appears to be holding together more than forecast, which could very well kill the chance for any severe in NC today. Frankly all I want is some more rain.

Assuming that's it for the week, I have received 30% of my year-to-date rainfall this past week. It's been a dry year.

0.54" today, giving event total of 4.96". 6.67" for the week!

That's just sad.

Ended up with 1.57" from today's rain. Looks like a good chance for more tonight.

A surprise 1.35" overnight/this morning. Closing in on 6" for the week. Can I get a two category improvement in one week?

Ended up with 2.85" today. Finally passed 20" for the year. Would love to get some more tomorrow. We're making significant inroads against the drought, hopefully we can keep it up.

"Only" 2.70 so far in Wilson. Looking at the radar, looks unlikely I make it to 3.00", which would be a bit of a disappointment. Still great though. At 4.39" for the week and 6.47" for the month

Solid hit today. 1.56". Could have had more except for some untimely swerves. 3.77" MTD.