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cbmclean

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Everything posted by cbmclean

  1. cbmclean
    Just about to say the same.
  2. cbmclean
    So its been over 1000 years!!
  3. cbmclean
    This is amping up way too early, I wanted this to hold off until Thursday.
  4. cbmclean
    The NAM still insists I got snow on 1/18.
  5. cbmclean
    I suspect that IF the storms amps at all, a NW trend is inevitable, because the cold press almost always ends up being overmodeled. Sure, suppressed/OTS is definitely still an option, but as of now I think this is an ideal presentation for Triangle east, with the storm still there but hanging out just off the coast.
  6. cbmclean
    Wind is howling tonight.
  7. cbmclean
    This is a beginner weenie mistake for Gemini (one that I have made many many times)...If there is moisture, the cold press almost by definition will not be as strong.
  8. cbmclean
    It nailed the low QPF here but I saw some discussion that it badly underestimated QPF in the MA. What makes me a casual weenie is I am too lazy to look back and find out.
  9. cbmclean
    It needs to tick E (and preferably SE) for a while to give E NC any hope.
  10. cbmclean
    The sad fact is that me being in the bullseye 6 days out means I am likely already out of the game.
  11. cbmclean
    What exactly did Mr. U say?
  12. cbmclean
    Sleet in Wilson.
  13. cbmclean
    Not nearly suppressed enough.
  14. cbmclean
    I've always dreamed if experiencing that.
  15. cbmclean
    I'm done with the GFS this year.
  16. cbmclean
    Was she alive in 2000? It can happen, once every century or so.
  17. cbmclean
    Like shit.
  18. cbmclean
    We need it suppressed to Venezuela. Is it in Venezuela? If not, I'm not getting my hopes up
  19. cbmclean
    Don't get pulled back in!! It's just trying to play with you.
  20. cbmclean
    I want to see suppression until 48 hours before and then watch it trend NW to me. That's how I scored last year.
  21. cbmclean
    We talked about wanting to see egg on Eric Webb's face, well he's doing the backstroke in an omelet swimming pool right now. The annoying thing he is not even acknowledging it. He's just carrying on commenting about the ice storm as if he didn't confidently predict there was no way this was going north and implying that NE snow weenies are stupid, dishonest, or both (unless he issued a mea culpa post that I missed).
  22. cbmclean
    Exactly, that is what we are rooting for in NC: the north vort to go ahead of the Baja. If they come out fast together then the storm is amped. If they come out slowly together, the storm will be amped AND the cold air will be retreating.
  23. cbmclean
    Clearly a lot of the guidance wants to pull in the Baja low. I am hoping that modelling is just as wrong as those that were scooting the cold air in Sunday in time for snow. But hope is not a substitute for analysis. I am intrigued by Eric Webb's posts about the SW energy coming out to soon. I hope he is as arrogantly right about that as he was on Sunday.
  24. cbmclean
    MA enjoying the CMC, which sucks for NC and South.
  25. cbmclean
    Everybody wishcasts to some degree...everybody. One must just try to minimize it.
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