cbmclean

Just about to say the same.

So its been over 1000 years!!

This is amping up way too early, I wanted this to hold off until Thursday.

The NAM still insists I got snow on 1/18.

I suspect that IF the storms amps at all, a NW trend is inevitable, because the cold press almost always ends up being overmodeled. Sure, suppressed/OTS is definitely still an option, but as of now I think this is an ideal presentation for Triangle east, with the storm still there but hanging out just off the coast.

Wind is howling tonight.

This is a beginner weenie mistake for Gemini (one that I have made many many times)...If there is moisture, the cold press almost by definition will not be as strong.

It nailed the low QPF here but I saw some discussion that it badly underestimated QPF in the MA. What makes me a casual weenie is I am too lazy to look back and find out.

It needs to tick E (and preferably SE) for a while to give E NC any hope.

The sad fact is that me being in the bullseye 6 days out means I am likely already out of the game.

What exactly did Mr. U say?

Sleet in Wilson.

Not nearly suppressed enough.

I've always dreamed if experiencing that.

I'm done with the GFS this year.