cbmclean

We all knew that was coming. The only positive take away is that it also has an east coast storm. I keep hearing the EPS is overdoing the SER consistently for months, so it's not ridiculous to hope this could trend better on the Euro Op

That's like saying the Atacama is in a drought.

In true Dr. No fashion.

I wouldn't worry about it.

We're pretty bad at winter maulings. We're better at mewlings.

I believe GEPS outscore GEFS. I wonder why we pay as much attention to the GEFS as we do.

"Watching digital snowfall pile up?". Not in this forum sir.

Oh, I missed the obvious on that one. I thought it was more esoteric like SWFE or FROPA.

GEFS has notably more AK ridging, than EPS. Would love to see a more +PNA.

What is "cola"?

Are we so back yet?

Thanks CAPE. Not germane to this thread but when Googling I came across a Wikipedia article on the Ridiculously Resilient Ridge which was our friend in 2013-2014 and 2014-2015. Of general interest so I link to it here. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ridiculously_Resilient_Ridge

Yes, but what I did not understand is that the blockage is not a simple consequence of the existence of the the geopotential height anomalies, but rather some additional factor which causes the patter to remain stationary.

I'm philosophically opposed to parsing operational at D10+ but I am curious; I would describe this as a +PNA but also a +EPO: there's still a huge area of low heights in AK. Would that be accurate?

So what you're saying is it's not the pattern of the geopotential height anomalies that cause the block, but the fact that the anomalies are stationary? That tells me that I know even less than I thought I did.