jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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About an inch here. Was a meh-vent here as expected. Here comes the cold, can definitely feel it already.
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Yep, Montauk might get an advisory event. Exciting from there into eastern New England. Meh here but better than zero.
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Snowing decently here, nice coating on most surfaces.
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Look outside. The best will clearly be NE of here which has been clear for 48 hours but it’ll freshen up the snowpack for a couple days.
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Light snow, dusting on the car and unsalted ground.
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It's a nowcast situation but it's the kind of system where pretty consistently you want to be in eastern New England/Boston area. If banding consolidates there it probably means lots of subsidence garbage here.
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I’d give it a solid B at this point. I’m closing on my seasonal average, another 5” to go probably. If I’m lucky, 2” overnight into tomorrow to freshen up the ice glacier on the ground. Cold Dec and Jan, and Feb probably below average. I rank snow over cold so I can’t get to an A but a B certainly. If we see a snowy end to Feb and Mar, it goes to an A-. A goes to winters with over 50” snow IMO.
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We’re still at the stage where there’s a signal that there should be a storm around Presidents Day weekend. Specifics several days at least away from being determined.
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It’ll be a nowcast situation I think, we’ll have to see how the moisture regenerates east of the mountains. Hopefully we get a couple inches to freshen up the snowpack.
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I’m ready for it to warm up for sure especially if there’s no significant snow threat. Sick of looking at darkening ice piles lol.
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13 here. Popular number the last couple mornings. Hoping for an inch or two with the upcoming snow but models seem to be shifting east with it more.
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16 already. Tonight should be in the single digits here.
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The black ice is getting really bad too with the daily snowmelt and immediate refreeze after sunset.
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Nice little refresher hopefully.
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Will probably make backdoor front season worse.
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Jones Beach water temp down to 35.4 degrees. That’s pretty damn cold, coldest normally gets down to 38-39. And it’ll keep getting colder because of this weekend.
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13 this morning.
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It’s more of an inverted trough setup and we have to see where it sets up.
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You want the snow to pile up-obviously you want snow. You want the snow to stay around-you want sleet.
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Yep, the snow melt we’ve had is largely from the sun at a slightly higher angle every day.
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Trucks were still moving the snow piles around this AM in the parking lots. Like I said this snow would have a disproportionate impact because of the sleet driven into it making it a lot denser.
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A SWFE is an event that is dominated by mid level southwest flow over colder surface air, so an overrunning event. It can transfer to the coast early enough where the mid level lows develop south of us and the winds turn around to easterly or northerly at those levels at which point it’s not a SWFE anymore but those are rare these days. They used to happen in the 2000s and before, some examples are the 12/20/95 and 12/6/03 storms. But we usually have storms now that redevelop too late so we keep southwest flow at the mid levels due to the mid level lows tracking west of us. That causes changes to sleet/rain/dryslot here. Further north in New England they have more time for the low to transfer to the coast and the cold air is deeper with confluence closer by so they stay snow longer or entirely.
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Time for a refresher for the black ice piles in the parking lots.
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Yep I can see why the Polar Bear Plunge on Sunday was postponed in Long Beach. It’ll be absolutely frigid. I’m sure people will still show up though.
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I was talking verbatim. It does look consistently like there’s some kind of storm setup for around Presidents Day weekend on the long range modeling.
