jm1220

Before the leaves pop on the trees you can see lots of huge diurnal swings like these. Hope we all enjoyed today and yesterday before the onshore gunk onslaught.

This winter gets a D. Snowfall atrocious once again but the colder outcome keeps it from an F.

Waters are still around 40 degrees in the area. Any east wind will be killer for any warmth and probably shroud us in low cloud gunk.

Up to 66. Gorgeous.

Probably have a few more freezes at least where I am but for southern Nassau County and the city they might be done. Crocuses blossoming here.

19.3” here on the season. Thanks for doing this!

We get any kind of breeze from the NE or E and warmth go bye bye.

Wow, looks like right around Exit 63. Very pronounced on radar.

When the Pacific becomes less hostile, our snow outcomes will improve. If New Orleans and Pensacola can still get 9” snowstorms, I’m not worried yet about it becoming too warm overall here. The overall warming is definitely a factor in marginal events to load the dice toward more rain, for example SWFEs where another degree cooler at the surface and mid levels would’ve given 1-2” more snow, but I think it makes more of an impact through these semipermanent marine heatwaves that are affecting the jet stream patterns and storm tracks.

28” is well below normal there, it’s more like Central Park average. Their recent 49” 1991-2020 average is significantly inflated from their crazy winters like 2014-15 but even with their longer term low to mid-40s average it’s pretty significantly below normal. But they got snow from SWFEs that happen in almost all Nina winters where we just had the one decent event. All in all should’ve been so much better given the cold. Glad it’s over.

Something needs to offset the huge warm SST area east of Japan which is likely what’s supercharging the Pacific jet. We had that last winter in a strong El Niño and it still influenced the pattern too much.

Bulbs are breaking through here too but otherwise not much activity. Should be full bloom next week with temps hopefully over 60.

Good, let’s bank what we can now. A lot will be running off though since the ground is partly frozen still.

3/22/18 was my favorite March storm but that’s probably a once in few decade setup the way that month turned out.

Strong SSE flow into the Poconos/Catskills, could be some fairly heavy amounts there which is great for reservoirs.

Story of this whole wretched winter, some wave or kicker etc ruins the setup because the Pacific is atrociously hostile and won’t allow anything to amplify in the right place.

Yep. The 60s in sun on Sat felt wonderful. Kick this disappointment of a winter to the curb. It’ll be known for useless cold and endless failed opportunities. Like you said until the Pacific reorients into a less hostile state east of Japan we have a high risk of it happening again next winter regardless of it officially turning Nina or Nino.

In Long Beach where I was living at the time there were floating snow/ice chunks once the high tide came in. The 25" of snow they had NW of the city would've been better but that and the Dec 1992 monster which flooded Long Beach the worst until Sandy are the first two weather events I really remember in detail.

It’s amazing how you keep signing up for more and more punishment. 2 days ago winter was over and you were bumping skeptical posts saying they were right.

Sure as hell not today. 14 currently.

Say it ain’t so. 60 yesterday felt great, ready for much more of that.

Hopefully we can finally do away with the suppressive PV and put us into some good westerlies. The crushing PV will mean lousy back door front days especially if it sets up over Newfoundland.

I have a couple of sad icy/melt patches left in my backyard. They should be gone today.

Still is.

I have just over 19” for the season here so for me it’s accurate.