jm1220

Cleared all the asphalt dug up by the plow? That's the storm where I was in Long Beach and had 2.5" snow/sleet mix. The Polar Bear plunge was fun and freezing but definitely plenty more when I got back home. I'm convinced after this winter the south shore is the worst snow pit in the Lower 48 other than Miami and coastal California. Maybe next winter will crush them too. I knew we had to pay for the bonanzas from 2000-18 but this is rough.

Wait til you find out what happened in Pensacola, Little Rock and New Orleans with other storms this winter. Most likely Norfolk ends up with more than Central Park this winter. That may have happened once in 1979-80 which was a Nino winter with a strong subtropical jet, not a Nina.

Just have to laugh.

There was sooner or later going to be a stretch that nailed New England, Montreal, etc. Once the SWFE train starts in a Nina winter they get hammered. I can't think of the last time a pattern like this was good at our latitude, maybe 93-94 which is a once per century type winter and also would be warmer today. We need some kind of help from the southern stream for much of our snow, northern stream dominated patterns vary between bad and horrendous for snow south of I-84 and the fast Pacific jet makes it even worse. Plenty of dry windy cold though. February was/has been decent but could've been so much better.

Looking at the GFS/Euro setup for the possible event it looks entirely northern stream driven with a primary going too far north as a result. There's a high and cold air to the north initially but any confluence is rushed out to the NE so it gets scoured out at our latitude and the low tracks too far north. It ends up as some kind of SWFE/clipper hybrid which is great for the places SWFEs are usually good for. It will change 10 times over but the same fast northern stream driven pattern will likely be crap here like it has been-cold/dry to warming whenever a storm comes in back to cold/dry.

So probably a SWFE/cutter that would be good for upstate NY and New England again, messy sleet to rain here. Got it. I’m on my tippy toes in anticipation. And also-more than a week out.

Maybe we can catch up to Norfolk!! One can dream!

About 0.7-0.8”. Still light snow but should be about over. So that gets me a little over 19” for the season.

Big flakes now too.

Wow, really coming down. Nice band in W Suffolk, maybe it’ll pivot in to Nassau. Hopefully can get an inch, maybe the 1.4” needed to get to 20” for the season.

Coming down at a good clip here.

Flurrying.

Maybe today can be our last sub-32 high. One can hope.

RAP has about an inch and we’re seeing snow break out in E PA. Not expecting much but we’ll see. I need 1.4” to get to 20” on the season which takes it out of the bottom of the gutter snow wise.

Looks like 10-11” of snow in the Norfolk/VA Beach area.