jm1220
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About jm1220

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KFRG
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Location:
Huntington Station, NY
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We lost a decent amount today and some south facing hills started showing bare ground. But a long way to go for most.
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It did well in December when sniffing out the clipper threats and with the miss a week and a half ago.
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Did your kid cry this time when he saw it? He should. Great opportunity to bond over weenie tears.
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Big melt day today. Probably upper 40s for highs. This time of year without clouds we usually overshoot expected highs with the sun getting stronger every day and no leaves on the trees.
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March 2018 would like a word. The problem with this is we’re relying on a very fragile setup that could easily fall apart at this lead time and cold air is lacking. We need a dynamic system to create the cold air essentially and a favorable track.
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Even if we get a good track we have to deal with marginal cold at best. Of course we might finally get the storm but now the cold is gone.
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If it happens awesome. 138 hours left.
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The Little Metfan storm?
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Feb is typically our snowiest month but so far and as far as we can see it’s a strikeout. Maybe something will happen by the end of the month but it’s not promising right now. I don’t think this winter is a failure by any means like the last few but if we strike out on snow from here it’ll be average or a little better in general because of the cold. But that’s my opinion.
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I have a bad feeling the frigid waters will come back and bite us all through April and May as we sit in mid 40s and gunk/drizzle. It'll take sustained warmth to turn that around.
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Jones Beach water temp today is 33. That would explain an actual seabreeze today on the barrier islands. Sheesh. Mid to upper 30s in northern Nassau, around 32 in Long Beach.
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We’re the most difficult metro area in the Megalopolis to forecast in the winter by far. Every storm type can nail us or totally shaft us. The storm types that frequently nail Boston and it’s clear 3-4 days out can slam us, scrape or screw us. Same for the big Miller As that hit DC/Baltimore.
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They’ve been performing quite well this winter, gotta say. They did well with the December clipper threats too.
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Well- at least we won’t be envying Norfolk getting another 12” blizzard.
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There’s 1.5 to almost 2” liquid equivalent in the snow on the ground here. I agree we need a lot more but it’s not powder that’s for sure.
