jm1220

Barrier islands probably won’t even get over 60. S winds will cool it down immediately and probably stiff 25 mph wind. Still too early to write off the backdoor front, they can rally back quickly. Takes a heck of a lot to keep the cold water impacts away this time of year. Hopefully the N shore and most of the city can have a few nice hours of warmth before the sea breeze front.

These back door setups usually end up with the front making it further SW than hoped/modeled much of the time at this range. The wedge is not to be underestimated. I’d love the Euro to be right but have seen the inevitable creep SW too often.

It’s another world up here sometimes vs the barrier islands. Actually most of the time in spring. Often there are 20 degree differences between here and Captree. I don’t miss living through that whatsoever in Long Beach. Many absolutely raw and nasty afternoons this time of year.

Maritime gunk season. We can’t get sustained westerly flow this time of year for anything.

Classic warm up for most of LI after the cold front comes through. Winds shifted to W and temp shot up over 60.

How’s your snowstorm day off going?

Maybe 0.2” here. This was essentially nothing for LI.

Easy to pick out on a temp map where the low level gunk is lingering vs clearing. Stuck in the 40s here but NE CT well into the 60s.

I think the heavy banding on 3/21 was supposed to hit 50 miles north but got squashed south at the last minute. A toned down 4/1/97 type event here.

Where I live now there was probably 18”. Incredible storm for W Suffolk.

I think it’s pretty damn clear now we need a favorable Pacific to even be in the ball game for a snowy winter.

It won’t happen. Hopefully we can get westerly wind sunny days and fewer socked in easterly wind days. We could definitely use the rain so whatever comes on Friday is welcome.

45/cloudy gunk. Yay!

Hope it's right but other models have the dry sucky swath through most of this subforum. Eastern Suffolk looks like a better spot, a wave looks to develop on the front and enhance rainfall.

Yep. Utter disaster east of the city, blizzard warning for a few inches that was gone by the end of the storm. The mounds of sleet in the city were impressive though.