jm1220
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About jm1220

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KFRG
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Location:
Huntington Station, NY
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Use ignore and act like adults. There’s no obligation to respond back to garbage/insults. Use the report button. Life happens and mods don’t monitor this place every second. When it gets absurd here and I’m around I delete posts but I’m not here much during the boring as hell weather periods we have more and more of. Life takes priority over babysitting adults acting like 5 year olds.
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Major flooding expected at Point Lookout, Freeport and Lindenhurst Sun overnight especially.
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Long weekend ruiner for most. It's a complex interaction with the shortwave to the north which is throwing models for these fits, but generally seems to be settling into a nuisance event that hopefully replenishes the water table to some degree. Back bays and NJ coast will see moderate flooding in some places due to the easterly fetch, but beyond that an inch of rain and some gusts to 40 isn't notable at all.
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Turning into just a nasty nuisance for most of the long weekend for many.
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I would consider less than an inch of rain and some gusts maybe over 40 a dud here too.
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Guess we keep watering. Would be nice to give the sprinklers a break.
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Yep. Guess we watch tonight and hope for a better trend. Sloppy/late phase as we all know, eastern New England gets the real storm and we hope for a few wraparound table scraps. Since much of LI is back in a drought as of yesterday, whatever we can get is badly needed.
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Looks like a possible Jan 2022/Jan 2015 late bloomer scenario developing. Late bloomer coastal that clobbers New England definitely a possibility-by tomorrow AM we should see the models finally converge on an outcome. I'm just hoping we get a decent soaking for the grass and reservoirs.
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Tis the season to build up the subscribers before winter!
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36 here.
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As we should all know now with these it’s a very fickle evolution and small details will cause big changes in outcome. Looks pretty likely though we have a developing strong offshore low and easterly wind that causes beach erosion/flooding.
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We have to watch for where any deform axis sets up west of the low, and any strong easterly flow would favor eastern slopes for heavier rains. Biggest concern of course is the strong easterly flow winds pounding the beaches over 2+ days and flooding in the back bays.
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Looks like about 0.3” in general east of the city, a few spots with a little more. Another disappointment/bust.
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And it makes intuitive sense that more Siberian snow creates a contrast with the warm W PAC near Japan and enhances the Pacific jet. The warm mid latitudes may be altering the Hadley Cell which some have pointed out. So to me it makes sense how these factors work together to ruin our pattern where I live for snow. I don’t like it but the planet and its feedbacks don’t care what I want. Guess I can buy a cabin in ME for the winter where there are still plenty of very snowy winters left to look forward to.
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Yep, outside of a lucky spot or two 0.30” or less east of the city.
