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It's Always Sunny

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Everything posted by It's Always Sunny

  1. It's Always Sunny
    Cap over DFW is due to break soon. 12Z HRRR (last one I checked) was too early breaking the cap but 18Z NAM has it broken by 21Z. Those height falls around 850-700mb approaching from the west should break it open.
  2. It's Always Sunny
    I'm surprised they didn't extend the moderate west that cap is modeled to be gone by 18Z. Once they start firing up around 18-19Z it won't be long until those are warned.
  3. It's Always Sunny
    I think it's possible the mdt extends west into Dallas.
  4. It's Always Sunny
    Updated SPC image
  5. It's Always Sunny
    Dallas officially in the enhanced. Here we go...
  6. It's Always Sunny
    That was just before I moved here I knew it was sometime around then, and it was snow/sleet, not freezing rain. Those two pictures in that link are hilarious. Typical TX weather lol.
  7. It's Always Sunny
    The low level cold will be locked in but it is whether we have the moisture to allow for some frozen precipitation to materialize. Like cheese said it's been some time since we've had something like this here. We're due lol. Last notable winter precipitation event in DFW area was February 2015 I believe with the FZRA.
  8. It's Always Sunny
    I agree it's one of those events where dynamics will win out, increase those ratios and give that area more than advertised. We'll see will surely be fun to watch tomorrow.
  9. It's Always Sunny
    14.5" in Lowell. That was a great winter for me
  10. It's Always Sunny
    That was a La Nina year too when sirens went off for a productive winter.
  11. It's Always Sunny
    Anything under 24" is called "futile" by some snow weenies lol. I would assume there were some winters that received nearly nothing. I wonder if they used the term, "global warming" back then.
  12. It's Always Sunny
    Other than a couple mini events in January Boston had nada. Blue Hill did good with that October nor'easter...got 6" of paste. I remember having to walk a mile up to the observatory that morning due to downed trees lol. Blue Hill actually set a monthly snowfall record of 8.5" for that October.
  13. It's Always Sunny
    Yikes!
  14. It's Always Sunny
    Bit of a west tick puts Dallas in the 15% risk now:
  15. It's Always Sunny
    Analogs suggest a lower MS Valley outbreak as of right now.
  16. It's Always Sunny
    Models trended slightly east overnight which doesn't surprise me. DFW was on the western fringe to begin with but still plenty of time for models to change:
  17. It's Always Sunny
    Given the pattern this month could see a couple slight risk days here in N TX and parts of the SE as well.
  18. It's Always Sunny
    For the most part. Like I mentioned earlier I think some of that dry air could integrate some FZRA/FZDZ to areas north of ORH as we head into tonight and overnight.
  19. It's Always Sunny
    Dry air in water vapor starting to punch through mid-levels in parts of CT, MA, VT & NH could see some stations flip from SNPL to FZRA or even FZDZ.
  20. It's Always Sunny
    January 5th and 6th have slight potential if that s/w over TX doesn't dig so far south because it currently doesn't phase with that other s/w coming out of Alberta until it's on the east coast which is too late. I think it's still possible phasing happens sooner, and further north to allow for a potential winter event for New England.
  21. It's Always Sunny
    Probably for the panhandle everywhere else will be rain.
  22. It's Always Sunny
    Climate change.
  23. It's Always Sunny
    What are you expecting at PWM? Based on what I was looking at tonight, well, this morning now I guess lol, I was thinking 4-6" mainly this afternoon.
  24. It's Always Sunny
    NAM appeared to be verifying the best in regards to the location of the warm nose when I got into work but I haven't checked to see what it was showing yesterday.
  25. It's Always Sunny
    What were ya'll expecting I haven't looked at models for New England until I got into work this evening. I thought SNE was generally looking at a 1-3" scenario with a mixed bag of precipitation. Everyone seems pretty let down.
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