Indystorm

I'm on the nw side of Fortville and am amazed at how localized that report must have been. Possible downburst? All is calm here.

Just a few small branches down here with briefly heavy rain. My concern is for Cape Girardeau Mo and far southern IL with low and mid level helicity of 350-450 in that area per SPC site and tor warned cells in the region.l

Gust front hitting Fortville now. Hope emergency management has everything secure at the ongoing Hancock county fair in Greenfield.

Will be watching and waiting.

Apex of bow with the first line is targeting Brown County, Columbus, and Seymour areas.

That first line moving ne in central IN has a record of significant tree damage with it per NWS.

Svr storms with the WF aiming ne now from sw IN. I think this will be round one. Round two and more worrisome to me like Janet/Janet posted are the storms near St. Louis, southern Il and west KY moving ne that are more cellular rather than in a line. 80/70 here

Perhaps for you up until now, but if that heat dome establishes itself and ridge rider Mesoscale convective complexes develop you may be sitting pretty in your location.

NAM is indeed untrustworthy at this run. I do wonder how long it will take for the instability gradient to move ne from its present position and we get back into the soupy air mass.

This has been an interesting twin mesoscale convective system to watch today. I wonder if a new one will form tonight over the Dakotas or MN and dive se once again and if it will take a different or similar trajectory. By the look of the day two convective outlook from SPC I would imagine it would cover pretty much the same territory.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 647 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS... NORTHWESTERN SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS... SOUTHERN MACON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 730 PM CDT. * AT 646 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER MOWEAQUA, OR 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF TAYLORVILLE, MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES, ROOFS, AND VEHICLES. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... MOWEAQUA AROUND 655 PM CDT.

Wondering how long the cap will hold over the metroplex

Brown county state park to be closed through Sunday. Big disappointment for campers and those who had reservations at the lodge and cabins. Silt and mud that flowed into the water supply source at Ogle Lake in the park has compromised the park's water treatment facility. Additional t storms in the current forecast as well.

Expected storm tops to 65,000 feet. Whoa!

Lots of multi cell clusters in southern and central IL and IN and western KY at present. Only a few are severe, particularly in the watch area. Heavy rain and an occasional strong gust seem to be the greatest threats. Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex will be where the action is today when the cap breaks.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 400 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 210 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Arkansas Southern Illinois Southwest Indiana Western Kentucky Southeast Missouri Northwest Tennessee * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of storms including multicells/linear segments and perhaps a couple of supercells (as shear continues to increase through late afternoon/early evening) will pose a severe risk across the region. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles south of Poplar Bluff MO to 20 miles south southeast of Owensboro KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

Wed. system seems to be moving north a bit more than the SPC I-70 east corridor movement forecast in this morning's outlook. Could have greater svr implications for southern IL and IN later on today.

Aah....ring of fire mesoscale convective season.

Brown county state park still closed for Wed. and Thursday. Apparently they get their water from Ogle Lake and the water treatment plant was damaged due to the flooding at that location.

WTHR TV reporting that Brown County State Park is closed today and Tuesday due to flooding concerns and safety. There is a lack of usable water supply due to flooding and storms per park website.

Don't doubt it at all. I drove home this early afternoon from downtown Indy to my home ne of town in torrential rain. It eased up a bit and then started heavily once again this evening. Now watching the storms by you in Peoria expected to get here by morning. Yard to the east of me is an ocean.

This was a more active evening for southern and central IN than I had originally anticipated.

From earlier this evening in IN. (IND) 0051 1 SSE RUSHVILLE RUSH IN 3960 8544 SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE REPORTED IN SOUTHERN RUSHVILLE WITH CONFIRMED TOUCHDOWN. (IND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 857 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 INC139-160115- /O.CON.KIND.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-190616T0115Z/ RUSH IN- 857 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN RUSH COUNTY... AT 857 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER RUSHVILLE, OR 15 MILES WEST OF CONNERSVILLE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. DAMAGE REPORTED SOUTH OF RUSHVILLE. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... GLENWOOD AROUND 910 PM EDT.

And just south of me. I have torrential rain falling at my location.