Toro99

GRR doing its Braveheart thing as usual.....

Probably a bit early, but calling this a massive bust for Southwest Michigan. I have about 5 inches measured, starting at about 2 PM, and now we’re dry slotted. We’ve been under a warning since 10 AM. Not a meteorologist, but just looking at the radar presentation throughout this event so far, it looks like a splotchy disorganized mess, and it has never gotten his act together. If you want to see how the storm was forecasted, look north of Toronto on radar currently, that’s how it was supposed to be here all day and through the night. I know it’s a bit cliché, but I have to believe the southern convection stole a lot of moisture and led to the splotchy precipitation throughout the event so far.

Had that the last hour or so, flake size starting to improve and stick a bit just to your SW. Dry air finally saturating, I trust this is just getting going for SW MI

Not sure, but seemed like an over performer here in West Michigan in general. All schools cancelled today, 2nd round really produced here in Jamestown (se Ottawa county). I’ve easily got 4-6 on my deck railing/grill, and most of that was after a brief bit of rain early afternoon. Models seemed to catch on to SE/flatter evolution which helped keep the rain/snow line further south. Beautiful out right now.

Posting 384hr maps should be banned, or suspended for a month. Maybe suspend for the number of hours on the posted map

Models (at times) are irrelevant post Otis. One of the many lessons learned the hard way.

Lake Mead ftw

Gapped, guaranteed

Probably the most gorgeous snowfall we’ve had in as long as I can remember here in Hudsonville, southwest of Grand Rapids. Incredible flake stacking, what an over performer! Over a foot and counting on an elevated deck, and I’ve never seen 10 inches stack on a 1 inch wide deck railing! I am making a mental note of the storm, to remind myself that not every storm underperforms. Should help with my psychological state moving forward.

Trends die hard

Jaded board = no thread courage

Don't ever remember seeing a plume spread like this (GRR) at the start of the event: 0" - 17.5", with everything in-between

Seriously, borderline theatrical. Chat gpt writing AFDs

Omg, the overnight GRR write up is worth a read

The number of rain events forecast by the Euro and GFS in the extended range is utterly flabbergasting for this time of year. So disappointing, when a lot of us were counting on February to be our month. Did I just type the word flabbergasting? Good grief, that’s how bad it is