Jump to content

AfewUniversesBelowNormal

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,753

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by AfewUniversesBelowNormal

  1. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    The subsurface configuration suggests it's a late blooming peak, January or February, Matches 1953,1987,2015 the best.
  2. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Good sign.
  3. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    JMA is always first to shift.
  4. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    3 of GFS ensembles snow up to PA line. https://imgur.com/a/tlD0JYm
  5. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    The NAM is actually pretty interesting. The storm could be two parts, the second being a stall/blizzard.
  6. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    I still think we will cut into this a good bit; 1) El Nino has shown nothing of the like since July. 2) There is a healthy +subsurface wave happening now, which is 90% correlated to +PNA at the same time (I've never seen opposite verification of the extent occur).
  7. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Just awesome
  8. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    well.. 3 pieces are phasing. It probably gets into the 970s
  9. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    You've got one heck of a storm on the 18z NAM.
  10. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    ! looks like a triple phaser
  11. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    The tracking gets old lol It's a 12-24" storm somewhere. (More if it wasn't +EPO)
  12. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    In 2003 was the wettest year and 2002 was the last drought..
  13. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Anyway, check out these SSTs
  14. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Yeah, I see seasonal models shift with every little swing. It's weird to see them go weaker in the last few weeks with the El Nino dominating and still peaking.
  15. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    I think the 5 year streak of +NAO feedsback to El Nino bias going forward.
  16. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    If you animate arctic ice on NASA, it looks like we are below the long term trend. I would expect a severe melt in the next 1-2 Summers (like September kind of showed)
  17. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Always amazed at developing El Nino conditions exact correlation with global temperature (greater than land area)
  18. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    There basically can't be anymore atmosphere depletion without serious recognition. Either that or there's observable event.
  19. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Global warming probably reverses soon.
  20. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Negative Neutral would be my call -0.1 or something.
  21. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Nothing but positive 500mb in the Arctic for the next 15 days. It's stagnant though, this is weird to me because it seems to be from no ice (no atmosphere).
  22. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    I doubt anything that measures sea ice depth/mass would have reversed after 2016.
  23. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    I think it's starting to shift away from El Nino.. PDO is getting super negative and subsurface is not rewarming back west.
  24. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Do you really think 7th right now? It's kind of a fancy number by the way. What are the clouds like where you are?
  25. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    As far as sensible weather goes, this year can't be anything but number 1.
×
×
  • Create New...