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mackerel_sky

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Everything posted by mackerel_sky

  1. mackerel_sky
    That’s kind of what happened with the December storm, the confluence got stronger on modeling as we got closer, most models had a 1035 or so for that storm, and cold was marginal. Most are modeling this one as a 1040/41, maybe this will trend colder!?
  2. mackerel_sky
    Yeah, next week into the weekend, looks torchy and sunny!!
  3. mackerel_sky
    Right where we want it! So we can utter JB’s and DT’s favorite phrase: it’s gonna come North”!
  4. mackerel_sky
    How do we want it to happen , to get more cold and snow?
  5. mackerel_sky
    The GFSv3 crushes NC/SC, what could go wrong!?
  6. mackerel_sky
    It was supposed to go on till the 20th of Jan or something, before the GFSv3 officially takes over
  7. mackerel_sky
    There will be a good hard freeze in April ( teens) just to kill off all the leaves and flowers that got a head start in January!
  8. mackerel_sky
    I love looking 15 days ahead for cold and it never gets closer!
  9. mackerel_sky
    It’s amazing that we can’t get a stable cold pattern, for even a week! We can lock in torch for two months, at the drop of a hat
  10. mackerel_sky
    Europe looks good and cold! That’s a given every year! The biggest cold pocket in the world, is not in or around North America!
  11. mackerel_sky
    It doesn’t matter if there is a SE ridge or not, 40s-60s aren’t going to get you wintry precip, and that’s about all we get as far as cold goes, the next 2 weeks plus
  12. mackerel_sky
    The indices forecasts have looke good since early Dec, I’ve got 300 sleet pellets out of “ the most amazing pattern seen in years”!? Smfh
  13. mackerel_sky
    Yeah, it’ll be clear by January 1st, this winter will suck like the last 5 or so. Unicorn SSW and perfect looking long range patterns, are going by the wayside. Somebody start the 2019 hurricane thread! Put this craptastic to bed
  14. mackerel_sky
    Too much variability in model runs , because of the major pattern changes. People can’t get excited about 1 run that shows snow, and 6 hours later it shows 60s! And we are holding our breath hoping the unicorn SSW will help us have a blockbuster winter
  15. mackerel_sky
    LOL @ CFS
  16. mackerel_sky
    Just seems like the new norm to be a week or so away from Christmas and searching 10, 15,20 , days ahead to look for the big chill and pattern change!? It’s almost like clockwork! We have the magical unicorn ready to pull out of our butts ( SSW) to make the cold and snowy pattern set up, but that’s far from a certainty! I look forward to the snowman pics from Iran and Egypt in the upcoming weeks, as the split goes the wrong way for us!
  17. mackerel_sky
    I can confirm, that’s pretty accurate
  18. mackerel_sky
    2m Ground temps rising in the wedge , with snow / sleet cover, is how you lose at ULL! We suck at snow in the Upstate, S of 85
  19. mackerel_sky
    Uber the winter storm warning until Tuesday!? Guess they issue those for rain now!?
  20. mackerel_sky
    So really, on this next “ round” tonight and tomorrow, what are the thermals like? 850s? Is it going to be either rain/snow?
  21. mackerel_sky
    Yeah , it’s going to be treacherous with all that upper level low that will hammer us tonight!
  22. mackerel_sky
    Guys my precip totals look like there going down! Grit , what’s it looking like for me, a little concerned up here???- Big Frosty 14” guys , barely pulled that one out!- Big Frosty Every winter storm! SMDH your like the DC of NC!
  23. mackerel_sky
    Treat the GFSv3 like the DGEX from now on!
  24. mackerel_sky
    I’ve come to accept my 2” of sleet ! I’ll take pics!
  25. mackerel_sky
    He’s an 85 N hugger, for sure!
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