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mackerel_sky

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Everything posted by mackerel_sky

  1. In situ wedging. Precip evaporating forms kind of it’s own high pressure, locks in cold, with high already gone
  2. I’d be willing to bet it closer to reality than the NAM!
  3. The Dec 2002 event, self limited about 1/4 of all pine trees in GSP area
  4. It’s trending worse than I thought, I’m shocked! NC people saying they were in the game yesterday, oops!
  5. How accurate is the CMC? Isn’t it one that usually paints worse case scenarios for CAD? Could the models be getting better handle on things because the shortwaves are being sampled now?
  6. The strat warming event will save us! Just look at the dive towards negative mid December
  7. Very, very marginal temps. Not good when 32/33 degrees is what is shown verbatim, fine line for liquid/frozen
  8. Next!!! Trending worse and worse, if you want to see frozen precip
  9. Yep, this run was way warmer, by tomorrow, it’s Roxboro special!
  10. Temps look iffy, even in N.C., unless there are very low DPs and those are temps above, before precip arrives?
  11. Euro temps seem off? With that look, it should be quite a bit colder, IMO
  12. At 7-10 days away, they never giveth, only false hopes
  13. 95% chance it ends up a rain event, outside mountains and S of 40
  14. I think the December’02 ice storm , was picked up 7+ days out, it’s not impossible
  15. That gets me almost as excited as when JB goes all in on cold and snow! Which I think he just did a few days back!
  16. Based on models! I don’t see any cold snaps, I mean I get down to 28 one day out of the next 15 . I mean if you’re here to track normal temps and occasional rains , by all means, go for it!
  17. December ain’t looking great, unless you like golf ! The mood flakes Asheville sees Monday, may be it until Jan/Feb! Happy holidays!
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