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Everything posted by CIK62
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The next 8 days are averaging 47.5degs., or about 2degs. AN. Month to date is +7.5[48.5]. Should be about +6.2[48.3]by the 30th. 41* here at 6am---was 39* during the overnight period. 40* Rain at 7am. For today's possible snow: EURO up to 1", CMC a Trace, GFS 0", NAM 0".
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The next 8 days are averaging 48.5* or 3degs. AN. Month to date is +8.1[49.0]. Should be +6.7[48.8] by the 30th. The first week of April is averaging about +2[51]. The 18Z GFS run is back up to +7[56]. 38* at 6am. 37* at 7am. 36* by 9am. 44* by 1pm. 39* by 9pm.
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The GFS case for at least seeing some snow in the air around here(nw of City). Just a narrow zone of the atmosphere supports it, for maybe an early 6 hour period, Monday morning:
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The next 8 days are averaging 49degs. or 4degs. AN. (used 68/38 for today) Month to date is +8.1[48.8]. Should be about +6.9[49.0] by the 29th. The first 6 days of April are about +5[54]. 45* here at 7am. 44* at 8am. 43* at 9am. 50* by 3pm. Somehow my thermometer was affected by the sun, even though rays never get near it-----I had 57* at 5pm.
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The first 5 days of April are burning now at +10[59], so many more days like today to score.
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The next 8 days are averaging 49degs., or about 4degs. AN. Month to date is +7.8[48.1]. Should be about +6.5[48.3] by the 28th. The first 5 days of April look to continue the AN just like March, at +6[55]. At one time it looked like a cold start there. GFS/EURO up to 1", CMC 5" Snow on the 23rd. Good Luck. 48* here at 7am. FOG <0.10 mile. 53* by Noon, clouds 58* at 1pm. T fell back to 54* by 3pm, then headed directly for 72* by about 5pm. Drifted up to 73* around 8pm. So the GFS had this spike pretty close a full 15 days in advance. Unfortunately it show every possible T in between. Ad-Free Secondary Group 2,947 posts Location:ConeyIsland Report post Posted March 5 FLASH! 12Z GFS shows first 80-Degree Day for the 19th!. Still has some snow near the 12th-13th. It has 14 of the next 17 days up to at least 50. The average T for the period 52*[44/59] .
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The next 8 days are averaging 47.5degs. or about 3degs. AN. Month to date is +7.8[48.2]. Should be +6.2[48.0] by 27th. 46* here at 7am. Was 45* overnight. 44* at 8am. 56* by 2pm. The last 13 days of March are averaging (06Z, GFS) 51.5[43/60] with No Snow. March could end at +7.1[49.6] or 4th. Place. EURO has 6" of Snow on the 24th. This should put the virtual snow totals past 100". lol.
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The next 8 days are averaging 47degs., or about 4degs. AN. Month to date is +8.0[48.2]. Should be +6.7[47.8] by the 26th. The last 14 days of March are averaging (06Z, GFS) 49*[40/58]. If so, March would end at +6.0[48.5].----5th. Place. 44* here at 7am. 46* by 9am. 48*-49* between 1pm-3pm. CHECK OUT THIS LATE RUN INSANITY---EVEN CRAZIER THAN WHAT IT HAD FOR APRIL 01. 336 Wed 04/01 12Z 53 ° 36 ° 34 ° NW 18 NW 47 WNW 34 0.01 0.00 540 544 -21 ° 2 ° -4 ° 1004 71 % 1 ° 348 Thu 04/02 00Z 33 ° 24 ° 22 ° NW 20 NW 43 NW 47 0.00 0.00 502 511 -38 ° -18 ° -12 ° 1010 69 % -20 ° 360 Thu 04/02 12Z 19 ° 16 ° 15 ° NW 18 NW 36 NW 40 0.00 0.00 498 503 -37 ° -22 ° -16 ° 1006 98 % -24 ° 372 Fri 04/03 00Z 25 ° 22 ° 22 ° NNW 7 NNW 16 NW 25 0.03 0.00 507 505 -34 ° -16 ° -11 ° 998 100 % -19 ° 384 Fri 04/03 12Z 20 ° 15 ° 13 ° N 13 N 25 N 27 0.00 0.00 502 505 -34 ° -22 ° -16 ° 1003 76 % -23 ° Max Temp Min Temp 850 Temp Max 850 Temp Min 500 Height Max 500 Height Min Thickness Max Thickness Min 62 °F 15 °F 14 °C -22 °C 568 503 565 498
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The next 8 days are averaging 46degs., or about 2degs. AN. Month to date is +8.2[48.3]. Should be about +6.2[47.5] by the 25th. The last 15 days of March are averaging (06Z,GFS)47.2[41/53]. March should end near +5.2[47.7]. April 01 has increased by 41 degrees! from yesterday's run. Hope this model is not involved in any way with making a CV19 vaccine. lol 43* here at 7am. 50* by Noon. Made it to 57* around 5:30pm. 53* at 8am.
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The next 8 days are averaging 47degs., or about 4degs. AN. Month to date is +8.9[48.9]. Should be +7.2[48.0] by the 24th. The last 16 days of March are averaging (06Z, GFS)47.1degs.[41/54]. March should end at +5.5[48.0]. For the record, it claims on April 01 the T will not reach 32*-----an AF'sJ----it says 33* REALLY. 36* at 7am. 43* by Noon.
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The next 8 days are averaging 47degs., or about 5degs. AN. Month to date is +9.2[49.0]. Should be +7.7[48.4] by the 23rd. The last 17 days of March are averaging (06Z, GFS) 46.4degs.[40/53], or +1.5deg. If so, then March would end at +5.0[47.5]--8th. Place. 44* here at 6am. 47* by Noon. Topped at 54* near 4:30pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 45degs., or about 2degs. AN. Month to date is +9.3[48.9]. Should be about +6.6[47.4] by the 22nd. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z, GFS) 48degs.[41/55] or about 3 or 4 degrees AN. March should end up near 5th. Place at this rate---48.4, pending the 31st. and how this 17-day period verfies. Going in the right direction?: 44* here at 7am. 50* by 1pm. 52* at 2pm. 53* at 2:30pm. 55* at 3pm. Reached 58* near 5pm.
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Made it to 71 by 5pm here. CSFv2 shows a deep freeze for April and May. Troughs so deep, we will spend all summer long digging out from under them. Meanwhile the CANSIPS is Blazing Saddles for the next 12 months everywhere. U Can WYA with them both. Re: bluewave's post below, I pointed out: Posted March 5 FLASH! 12Z GFS shows first 80-Degree Day for the 19th!. Still has some snow near the 12th-13th. It has 14 of the next 17 days up to at least 50. The average T for the period 52*[44/59] .
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The next 8 days are averaging 46.5degs., or about 4.5degs. AN. Month to date is +8.7[48.2]. Should be about +7.0[47.5] by the 21st. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z, GFS) 50*[42/58], or about 5degs. AN. EURO Weeklies are 6 straight weeks AN. CANSIPS has 12 straight months of intensifying heat everywhere. Well, maybe the Heat will get the coronavirus before either it or the heat gets us. 48* here at 7am with FOG---<0.1mile, rainy. 49* by 10am, same FOG, no rain. 55* by Noon, fog almost gone. 60* by 2pm with sun/clouds. 65* at 3pm, sun, breezy. 68* at 3:30pm. 71* by 5pm. 60* by 9pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 47.5degs., or about 6 or 7 degs. AN. Month to date is +9.0[48.4]. Should be +7.0[48.0] by the 20th. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z, GFS) 46.5degs.[40/53], or about 2degs. AN. A colder run, but snow less anyway. 47* here at 7am.
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The next 8 days are averaging 48degs., or about 5 or 6 degrees AN. Month to date is +9.0[48.2]. Should be about +7.0[48.1] by the 19th. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z, GFS) 49.5* [say 44/56] or about 6 or 7 degrees AN. 46* here at 6am. 45* by 8am. 51* by 11am. 54* by Noon. Got to 56* near 4pm, but high was back at midnight, 59*.
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Anyone seeing a flood light scanning the sky, possibly emanating from mid-town Manhattan. I am looking north from Coney Island. For at least the last hour. Just a pale white cast on the clouds.
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The next 8 days are averaging 48.5degs., or about 5 or 6 degrees AN. Month to date is +7.8[46.9]. Should be about +7.0[47.6] by the 18th. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z, GFS) 51.5degs.[45/58], about 8degs. AN. No snow. 52* here at 7am. 54* by 10am. 57* by 11am. 60* by 1pm. Basically stayed between 60*----62* all afternoon till at least now, 9pm.
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Relative to Normal, the negative T departure should get deeper and deeper going into May-----starting the last week of March. Look for super cell activity and hail, rather than blizzards and snow. Long wait for summer perhaps, spring we already have had this year. EURO WEEKLIES AND THE CVSv2 are opposites. Nothing but AN for the EURO during the next 5-weeks. The next 15 days at least look a little more wavy than yesterday's flat liner:
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The next 8 days are averging 49.5degs., or about 7degs. AN. Month to date is +6.4[45.4]. Should be about +6.7[47.5] by the 17th. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z,GFS) 48degs., say [41/54], or about 5degs. AN. No snow. 44* here at 7am. 47* by 10am. 50* at 11am. 55* at Noon. 60* at 1:30pm. 67* at 3:30pm. Been 68* variously during 4pm and now, 6pm. 64* by 9pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 49.5degs., or about 7degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z,GFS) 45.5*[39/52] or about 2 or 3 degrees AN. Some snow near the 22nd. is indicated. With THK flat lining, we will simply get closer to Normal during the next 16 days, without a real change: 36* at 7am(really 6am with the clocks changing). 41* by 10am. 48* by Noon. 53* by 3pm. 55* at 4pm. 57* at 5pm.
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Now the GFS is going for March 22 for a few inches. It forget about the HECS it had near the 12th. Ironically this would be a repeat of the 1998 non-performance between Jan. 18 and that date, in the snow department. At least all that toilet paper that is being hoarded could be used for something-----printout paper for these crazed outputs----then for the intended use.
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The next 8 days are averaging 48.5degs., or about 7degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z, GFS)49degs.[42/56], or about 6 to 7 degrees AN. No snow showing. How boring can it get: 37* here at 6am. 41* by Noon. 47* by 3pm.
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The Astronomical Winter {Dec. 22-Mar. 22, inclusive) has good chance to finish at about +6.1. Anyone know where on the All-Time list this would place it? Thanks. Also, there have been just 14 BN days and let us say we get 3 more. Is that a record for the period?
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The next 8 days are averaging 49degs., or about 8degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z, GFS) about 50*[43/56] or some 7degs. AN. There is no longer any snow showing. Due to the super abilities of the GFS the 81* on the 19th., became 36* and now 68*------keep up the good work boys. lol Really for days 6-10 you should average two consecutive days. So for day 8, use the average of day 7,8 and apply it to both days as a forecast. For days 11-15 use three days, one before and one after any apply the average to all three days. 42* here at 6am. 47* by 9am. 48* at 10am. 44* by 1pm. 42* by 3pm. 39* by 11pm.