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Everything posted by CIK62
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JB says 100mph wind gusts on LI. Snow for Tues night? It first appeared two weeks ago for around the 16th., then disappeared and reappeared on some runs. What a March we could have had.
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The next 8 days are averaging 51.5degs., or 2degs. BN. Month to date is +2.0[51.7]. Should be about +0.3[51.5] by the 20th. 46* here at 6am. 52* by 9am. 56* by 5pm. 61* at 6pm! The next 17 days are averaging 54.5 or about 0.50 BN. Should be slightly AN by the 29th with this. EURO has 3" and 30mph, GFS/CMC have about 1.5" and the GFS has 40mph for tomorrow. These are the peak average winds, not the Gusts. Add about 10mph for JFK. 1 Mon 04/13 03Z 58 ° 59 ° 57 ° 48 ° SSW 16 SSW 45 SW 36 0.00 0.00 554 570 -16 ° 8 ° 10 ° 1020 100 % 5 ° 24 Mon 04/13 06Z 56 ° 59 ° 56 ° 49 ° S 16 SSW 47 SSW 51 0.02 0.00 555 569 -14 ° 7 ° 10 ° 1017 100 % 2 ° 27 Mon 04/13 09Z 56 ° 57 ° 56 ° 51 ° S 20 S 49 SSW 51 0.04 0.00 557 568 -13 ° 8 ° 9 ° 1013 100 % 7 ° 30 Mon 04/13 12Z 55 ° 57 ° 55 ° 52 ° SSE 27 S 65 S 72 0.29 0.00 559 567 -11 ° 8 ° 10 ° 1009 100 % 7 ° 33 Mon 04/13 15Z 58 ° 58 ° 55 ° 53 ° S 31 S 74 SSW 83 0.56 0.00 562 565 -12 ° 10 ° 12 ° 1004 100 % 9 ° 36 Mon 04/13 18Z 62 ° 62 ° 55 ° 55 ° S 34 SSW 76 SSW 87 0.11 0.00 561 560 -12 ° 10 ° 14 ° 999 100 % 10 ° 39 Mon 04/13 21Z 67 ° 67 ° 62 ° 48 ° SW 25 WSW 58 WSW 67 0.24 0.04 560 560 -14 ° 9 ° 16 ° 1000 84 % 5 ° 42 Tue 04/14 00Z 61 ° 68 ° 60 ° 44 ° WSW 20 WSW 49 WSW 56 0.00 0.00 556 562 -16 ° 5 ° 11 ° 1007 60 % 1 ° 45 Remember my nCV19 post weeks ago warning of those tent hospitals being blown away in these type of events?
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The next 8 days are averaging 51degs., or 1deg. BN. Month to date is +2.7[52.2]. Should be +1.1[51.8] by the 20th. The next 17 days are averaging 0.0[55.0](48/62). This would put us at +1.0 by the 28th. MONDAY AM WIND POTENTIAL: Mon 04/13 09Z 55 ° 57 ° 55 ° 50 ° S 18 S 49 SSW 56 0.05 0.00 556 568 -13 ° 5 ° 8 ° 1014 100 % 5 ° 54 Mon 04/13 12Z 54 ° 57 ° 54 ° 51 ° S 22 S 56 S 67 0.41 0.00 558 567 -11 ° 7 ° 9 ° 1010 100 % 7 ° 57 Mon 04/13 15Z 57 ° 57 ° 54 ° 53 ° S 31 S 74 SSW 85 0.52 0.00 561 565 -11 ° 9 ° 11 ° 1004 100 % 9 ° 60 Mon 04/13 18Z 60 ° 60 ° 54 ° 55 ° S 31 SSW 76 SSW 89 0.24 0.00 563 562 -11 ° 10 ° 13 ° 999 100 % 10 ° 63 Mon 04/13 21Z 69 ° 69 ° 60 ° 54 ° SSW 22 SW 58 SW 67 0.10 0.04 562 561 -14 ° 12 ° 18 ° 1000 75 % 8 ° 66 Tue 04/14 00Z 62 ° 71 ° 60 ° 45 ° W 20 WSW 54 WSW 63 0.00 0.01 558 562 -15 ° 9 ° 13 ° 1005 64 % 2 ° 69 Tue 04/14 03Z 57 ° 62 ° 57 ° 40 ° W 20 W 45 WSW 49 0.00 0.00 553 561 -16 ° 4 ° 8 ° 1010 0 % -5 ° 39* here at 6am. 40* by 8am. 41* at 9am. 43* at 10am. 47* by Noon. 50* by 2pm. 57* by 6pm. 51* by 11pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 51degs., or just Normal. Month to date is +3.8[53.2]. Should be about +2.0[52.2] by the 18th. The next 17 days are averaging -5.0[50.0](43/57). It should be about -1.0 by the 27th. 40* here at 6am. 41* at 7am. 43* at 9am.
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The next 8 days are averaging 52degs., or just about Normal. 50* at 6am. 60* with Thunder/Rain at 2pm. 55* at @2:10pm. The next 17 days are averaging about 52.5(45/60), or about 2degs. BN.
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The next 8 days are averaging 53degs., or about 2degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging -4.0[49.5](43/56). We could be -1.7 by the 25th. with this. 55* here at 6am, street wet. 56* at 8am. 63* at 3pm. 66* at 4pm. 67* at 4:30pm. 52* by 8pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 52.5degs., or about 2degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging about -2.0[50.0](43/56}. 54* here at 6am. 53* at 7am. 57* by 10am. 61* by 2pm, but 56* at 3pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 53degs., or about 3degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging about 52degs.(48/59), or about 1deg. BN. 52* here at 6am. 54* by 10am. 58* by 1pm. 60* at 2pm. 64* by 4pm. 65* around 4:30pm. Down to 53* then back up to 58* by 9pm. 60* at 10pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 54degs., or about 4degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging 52.5degs.(46/59), or just about Normal. 48* here at 6am. 56* by 2pm. 58* at 3pm. 54* at 4pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 54degs., or about 4degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging 53degs.(46/60), or just Normal. 48* here at 7am., mean looking clouds, drizzle. 55* by Noon. Peaked at 56* at 12:30pm and varied down to 51* at 6pm. 48* by 10pm. 49* at 11am.
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The next 8 days are averaging 54degs., or about 4degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging just about Normal, [53.0](46/60). 46* here at 7am. 50* by 11am.
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The next 8 days are averaging 53degs., or about 4degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging 52degs.(46/59), or just about Normal. 40* here at 6am. 39* at 6:30pm. 42* and breezy by 9am. 49* by Noon. 57* by 4pm. 58* at 4:30pm. 55* by 7:00pm
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March ended at +5.5[48.0]. The first 8 days of April are averaging 53degs., or 4degs. AN. The first 17 days of April are averaging 49degs.(45/54), or 2degs. BN.! Even shows (06Z,GFS) some Snow on the night of the 16th-17th.!!. Remember 16 days ago this very corresponding run, predicted a High T for today of 33, 24 hours later it had raised it to 74. Put $2.00 on Betsy's Bib in the Fifth. 41* here at 6am. 40* at 6:30am. 45* by 11am. 47* at Noon. 52* by 3pm. 56* by 6pm.
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Here is a scary thought: With all the makeshift outdoor tent hospitals going up throughout the country and in the City itself are they: 1. Heated for Winter and Air-conditioned for this summer? 2. Can they withstand a quick, unexpected straight-line squall line wind of 70mph? 3. If a hurricane is coming which will wipe these canvas and vinyl villages from the face of the earth and destroy all the equipment and people within-----where exactly are they going to be evacuated to? I once approved two tents for a wedding celebration to be held in Brooklyn Bridge Park in the mid 1990's. The job was filed in May for the party to be held in August. One tent was for the caterer and one for the congregation. They both collapsed during a weekend thunderstorm swarm. No fatalities, but 20 were injured. A lot of food into the river. How about an earthquake in the interim. At any rate, it should be obvious from a month of press conferences that we are BEING FED DEATH--PABLUM STYLE. THE NEXT TEASPOON OF PABLUM WILL BE THAT THE CURVES YOU WERE SHOWN TODAY ARE ONLY FOR WAVE-1. WAVE-2 WILL BE WORSE AND START IN SEPTEMBER.
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The last day of March is averaging 45degs., or 2degs. BN. Month to date is +5.8[48.1]. March should end at +5.5[48.0]. The first week of April is averaging 50degs., or 1.5degs. AN. The first 16 days of April are averaging +6.0[57.0](50/64) Precipitation is during Week 2 only. With this kind of a start for April, the following references should be noted, as with the previous 3 months: Mean 53.0. #1 57.9 ........... #10 55.0 46* at 6am. 45* by 9am 48* by 5pm.
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PEOPLE AT CONEY ISLAND PRACTICING SOCIAL DISTANCING BACK IN THE EARLY 1940'S:
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The last 2 days of March are averaging 49degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +6.0[48.2]. March should end at +5.8[48.3]. The first 15 days of April are averaging +2.0[53.0](46/60). Week 3 looks cold near the 21st., and Week 4 looks Normal. 47* here at 6am. 46* by 8am. 45* at 9am.
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The last 3 days of March are averaging 52degs., or 5degs. AN. Month to date is +6.3[48.3]. March should end near +6.2[48.7]. The first 14 days of April are averaging -1.0[50](44/56). 47* here at 7am, Rain, Fog--2miles. 50* at 2pm.
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The last 4 days of March are averaging 55degs., or 8degs. AN. Month to date is +6.4[48.2] March should end at +6.6[49.1]----4th. Place. The first 13 days of April are averaging about +0.5[50.5]{44/57). 53* here at 7am. 52* for most of the AM with drizzle, 51* by Noon. 52* and heavy rain at 7pm.
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The last 5 days of March are averaging 54degs., or 7degs. AN. Month to date is +6.1[47.8]. March should end near +6.3[48.8]. The first 12 days of April are averaging -2.5[47.5](42/53) with little precipitation till the 10th. Could be cold enough for Snow by then it indicates. 50* here at 7am. 60* by Noon. 61* at 1pm 62* at 2pm. 66* at 3pm. 68* by 5pm. 64* at 6am. 59* by 8pm.
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The last 6 days of March are averaging 52degs., or 5.5degs. AN. Month to date is +6.3[47.7]. March should end at +6.1[48.6]. The first 11 days of April are averaging -2.0[48.0] with only one precipitation event near the 8th. This is uncharacteristically low, since the precipitation probability charts show a 41% chance of precipitation on any given day around the April 01 date---highest of the year----lowest is Oct. 15 at 23%. 40* here at 7am. 46* by 10am. 52* by 2pm. 55* at 3pm. 54* at 4pm. 49* by 4:30pm.
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The last 7 days of March are averaging 49.5degs., or about 4degs. AN. Month to date is +6.6[48.0]. March should end at +5.9[48.4]. The first 10 days of April are now averaging -4[46]. 44* here at 7am. 49*-50* during Noon-3pm. 46* at 6pm. 42* by Midnite.
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The GEFS is 10 degrees colder during the first 9 days of April, than the OP. 45 vs. 55. How will it be resolved?
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Just two years ago this pattern produced 5.5" of Snow here:
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The last 8 days of March are averaging 47.5degs., or 1.5degs. AN. Month to date is +6.9[48.1]. March should end at +5.5[48.0]. The first 9 days of April are averaging +4.0[53.5] despite a neutral AO regime. (37* at 4am.) 39* here 6am. 38* at 7am. 44* by 10am. 47* by Noon. 59* by 5pm.!, 56^by 6pm.