CIK62

The last 8 days of May are averaging 68degs., or 1.5degs. AN. Month to date is -3.5[57.7]. May should end at -2.1[60.3]. EURO/EPS still not liking even the 80's over the next 15 days. GFS OP has shown the 90's somewhere in its runs for the last 3 weeks! 54* here at 6am. 53* at 6:30am. 55* at 7am. 57* by 10:00am. 60* at 11:00am. 63* at Noon. 64* at 1pm. 59* by 9pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 68degs., or about 1.5degs. AN. Month to date is -3.5[57.6]. Should be -2.0[60.3] by the 31st. 60* here at 6am.(FOG <0.1mile) 62* by 9am(Fog >2miles) 10:30am-back to 60* and little visibility. 65* by 1pm, visibility >5miles. 59* by 8pm. 58* at 9pm. Was only 68* here yesterday, with City at 77*

The next 8 days are averaging 68.5degs., or 2.5degs. AN for a change. Month to date is -3.8[57.2]. Should be -2.1[60.2] by the 30th. The average of the GFS OP/ENS. for the last 10 days of May is 70/65 or 67.5. With this, May ends at -2.0[60.4]. Neither the EURO OP or GFS ENS even hit 80 for the period. The GFS says damn the easterly flow. Maybe it will be accurate for inland areas. 57* here at 6am. 60* at 8am. 62* at 9am. 66* by Noon. 68* by 2pm. 65* by 4pm. 62* by10pm. (Fog 0.5mi. for past several hours)

Did anyone see/hear a military jet flying low and fast at about 8:02pm? Passed right over me, but I saw nothing by the time I got to the window.

The next 8 days are averaging 64degs., or 1.5degs. BN. Month to date is -3.6[57.2]. Should be about -3.0[59.2] by the 29th. The last 11 days of May are averaging 63(GFS ENS) and 68(GFS OP), which average out sbout Normal. If so, May would end at -2.3[60.1]. 50* here at 6am. 55* by 9am. 56* at 10;30am. back to 55* at Noon. 64* around 6pm. 56* by 9pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 62.5degs., or 3degs. BN. Month to date is -3.5[57.2]. Should be near -3.4[58.8] by the 28th. The GFS OP for the rest of May is averaging about 67degs., or near 2degs. AN. If so, May should end near -1.5[60.9]. The ENS is averaging 62degs. for the rest of the month however. 52* here at 6am. 57* by 9am. 59* by Noon. 60* by 2pm. 62* by 4:30pm. 59* by 6pm. 53* by 9pm. 52* at 10pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 60.5degs., or 4.5degs. BN. Month to date is -3.5[57.0]. Should be about -3.8[58.1] by the 27th. 56* here at 6am. 61* by 9am. 65* by 11am. 67* by Noon. 68* by 12:30pm. 66* at 1pm. 65* at 2pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 61.5degs., or 3.5degs. BN. Month to date is -3.7[56.7]. Should be about -3.6[58.3] by the 26th. BN 2mT's, despite AN 500mb, 850mb parameters throughout 8 days-----due to those E/NE 10m winds. 56* here at 6am. 60* by 9am. 65* by Noon. 68* by 2pm. 69* by 6pm. 62* by 9pm.

I believe that the GFS in July 2018, starting around late June, showed a ridiculous stretch of 100's for the Holiday Weekend-----including breaking the all-time record of 106*----twice!!. Already a 97* was predicted for May 18-20 back around May 10. I think every year, 100* exists in the modeling, but never happens in the real world. I do not know where the predictions from each run are held. Some government unit that does re-analysis might have this data available in some format, that may not be easily readable.

The next 8 days are averaging 60degs., or about 4degs. BN. Month to date is -3.8[56.4]. Should be about -3.9[57.6] by the 25th. 57* here at 6am. 60* by 9:30am. T is variable here between 57*-61* by Noon. 63* tops at 5pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 63.5degs., or about 0.5deg. BN. Month to date is -4.5[55.6]. Should be about -3.1[58.4]by the 24th. The EURO went from 5.8" to just 0.3" for the next 10 days. The ENS was cut by 2/3rds., and is more like the GFS at 2". A 06Z GFS Jackpot here on Tues AM:??? 66* here at 6am. Still 66* at 9am. 71* by Noon. 72* by 1pm. 75* by 4pm. 63* by 8pm.

MORE 'DALTON MINIMUM TALK": https://nypost.com/2020/05/14/the-sun-has-entered-a-lockdown-period-which-could-cause-freezing-weather-famine/

The next 8 days are averaging 62degs., or 2degs. BN. Month to date is -5.5[54.5]. Should be about -4.2[57.2] by the 23rd. The average of the GFS OP/ENS for the remainder of the month is about 63degs., or about 1.5degs. BN. If so, May would end at -3.3[59.1]. It would miss the Top Ten by a whole degree. 60* here at 6am. 62* here at 8am. 65* by 9am. 70* by 10:30am. 71* by Noon, sea breeze not helping here. 73* at 1pm. 79* by 4pm.>>>(84*---NYC, 85*---Newark----JFK is 71*, down from 76* at 1pm.) 82* at 5pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 61.5degs., or about 2degs. BN. Month to date is -5.6[54.3]. Should be about -4.2[57.0] by the 22nd. 52* here at 6am. 54* at 7am. 57* by 9am. 63* by 4:30am. (sea breeze kept T variable all day)

The next 8 days are averaging 59.5degs., or 3.5degs. BN. Month to date is -5.3[54.4]. Should be -4.6[56.4] by the 21st. 43* here at 6am. Reached 64* at 4:00pm. Back to 54* at 5:00pm!

The next 8 days are averaging 61degs., or 2degs. BN. Month to date is -4.8[54.7]. Should be about -3.6[57.4] by the 20th. The next 17 days are averaging between 60 and 67, or averaging the the GFS ENS and OP, 63.5---just Normal. So we should be near -1.9[60.1] by the 29th. 44* here at 6am. 50* by 11am. 60* by 5:00pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 59degs., or about 2.5degs. BN. Month to date is -4.5[55.0]. Should be about -3.6[56.8] by the 19th. GFS OP is averaging 67degs., or +3.5degs. for the next 17days, and the GFS ENS is averaging 60degs. or -3.5degs. 51* here at 6am. 55* by 11am. 61* by 4:30pm. 52* by 8:00pm. 49* by 10:30pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 58.5degs., or about 3.5degs. BN. Month to date is -3.9[55.3]. Should be -3.7[56.8] by the 18th. GFS OP has a 95deg. Heatwave for Memorial Day Weekend and no rain. ENS is just 75 or so, but also fairly dry. Possible tropical system that breaks away from coast by Cape Hatteras just before Holiday sets stage. Another sub-40 morning: NEW YORK CENTRAL PARK, NY ( 89') LAT=40.77N LON= 73.98W STA TMP DP RH WD WS G PRS ALT PCPN CLOUD LEVELS HGT TYP VIS WX NYC 2am 41 21 44 240 11 18 186 3011 LO CLR HI ??? 10 3am 40 22 48 230 9 182 3009 LO CLR HI ??? 10 4am 40 23 50 000 6 178 3008 LO CLR HI ??? 10 5am 39 22 50 000 6 17 175 3007 LO CLR HI ??? 10 6am 39 22 50 000 6 179 3008 LO CLR HI ??? 10 7am 40 22 48 220 7 188 3011 LO CLR HI ??? 10 NYC 6 temps: high= 41 at 2am low= 39 at 5am mean= 39.8 precip= 0.00 40* here at 6am.{technically 39.5* at 5:30am.} 49* already by 10am. 54* by Noon 56* at 12:30pm. 62* by 4pm. 64* at 6am.

Friend told me he had a snow shower at Ave. U/ East 30's area at 4:45pm for 10 mins. Surface T here in CI is 46* at 5pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 55.5degs., or about 6.0degs. BN. Month to date is -2.0[57.1]. Should be about -4.3[56.4] by the 17th. 35* here at 6am.! (Was 44* at Midnight and 36* at 1am) Still 35* at 8am. 40* by 11:15am. 44* by 1pm. 43* by 10pm. NEW YORK CENTRAL PARK, NY ( 89') LAT=40.77N LON= 73.98W STA TMP DP RH WD WS G PRS ALT PCPN CLOUD LEVELS HGT TYP VIS WX NYC 3am 36 28 72 000 5 20 047 2969 70 BKN 85 OVC 10 4am 36 24 61 000 6 18 058 2973 85 OVC 10 5am 35 21 56 000 6 16 068 2976 TR LO CLR HI ??? 10 6am 34 20 56 290 11 20 080 2979 44 SCT HI ??? 10 7am 34 19 54 290 7 25 088 2981 LO CLR HI ??? 10 8am 35 18 49 290 8 21 096 2984 TR 46 SCT HI ??? 10 NYC 6 temps: high= 36 at 3am low= 34 at 6am mean= 35.0 precip= TRACE

The next 8 days are averaging 52degs., or 9.5degs. BN. Month to date is -0.4[58.6]. Should be about -6.4[55.1] by the 16th. The GFS ENS for the next 17 days is averaging 52.5degs., or 10degs. BN. Yesterday's 90* for the 16th., is now 68* on the OP, and the 90* has slipped 6 days. OP really much warmer than the ENS starting the 20th. 50* here at 6am. 53* by Noon. 45* by 10pm.

Yikes! Only the GEM has no measurable Snow Sat. AM. Don't know about the UK Met. GFS has 1" to 3". This will have to fall heavily and will be real wet stuff as the 0C reaches only down to the 950mb. Level, briefly. May actually be lower than this next Tues., AM. Could we go from the earliest last measurable snowfall Jan. 18, to the latest in the City?

The next 8 days are averaging 52.5degs., or about 8.5degs. BN. Month to date is +0.2[59.0]. Should be -4.8[55.3] by the 15th. The next 17 days on the GFS ENS are averaging 53.5degs., or about 9degs. BN. You have a nice choice on the 16th, 68* (ENS)or 90*(OP). ENS has run much lower overall than OP for days now. 48* here at 6am. 50* by 8am. 55* by 10am. 60* by 1pm. 66* by 3:30pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 51.5degs., or about 9.5degs. BN. Month to date is +2.5[61.1]. Should be about -4.9[55.2] by the 14th. The next 17 days on the GFS ENS are averaging an astonishing 50degs., or about 12degs. BN! This would leave us at about -9.0[52.4] by the 23rd. 14/20 members have a Trace of Snow on Sat. AM. 52* here at 6am. 54* by 9am. 53* at 10am.

The next 8 days are averaging 52degs., or about 8.5degs. BN. Month to date is +4.2[62.8]. Should be about -4.4[55.6] by the 13th. 48* here at 6am. 47* at 7am. 56* by 1pm. 65* by 6pm.