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CIK62

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Everything posted by CIK62

  1. The next 8 days are averaging 72degs., or just Normal. Month to date is +2.4[70.8]. Should be about +1.3[71.4] by the 18th. 72* here at 6am, skies less than perfectly blue. 74* by 9am. 74* still at Noon.(got to 75* in between) 76* by 3pm. 75* at 4pm. (about 4-5 degrees less than yesterday at this time, but I still got to 89* by about 7pm.) 68* by 9m.
  2. Wild T distributions in location and time. I was on beach during the afternoon and felt an almost chilly S=breeze around 2pm-3pm. JFK T was killed by this and I did not even reach 80* till 4pm and wound up with an 89* near 7pm! GFS still going with a hot period [19th-25th] with numerous runs having100's showing. Not getting that impression from other outputs. The last 10 days of the month look Normal or better on the analogs. 500mb heights are 5820m but it shows this level dropping sharply south during the July 04th period----dropping down to S. Carolina in a sharp trough.
  3. The next 8 days are averaging 72degs., or about 1deg. AN. Month to date is +2.0[70.1]. Should be about +1.6[71.1] by the 17th. 65* here at 6am, clear. 69* by 9am, 70* by 9:30am. 76* by Noon. Did not even reach 80* till 4pm with S wind. Was on beach all afternoon. 84* at 5pm.
  4. THE INSANE 18Z GFS (from yesterdays run, I just spotted it) is GIVING NOTICE FOR 5 STRAIGHT 100-DEGREE DAYS STARTING THE 19TH. May have been going for a sixth straight day----Gee! we will never know---that is where the run ended. Now the heatwave is hundreds to miles to the north of us, near Hudson Bay. Another period like near May 27 up there? Gotta print this one out and solve the toilet paper shortage. Eight days ago it showed heavy duty 90's for June 08---13.
  5. The next 8 days are averaging 73degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +2.3[70.3]. Should be about +2.1[71.7] by the 16th. 63* at 6am, clear. 71* by 11am. 72* by Noon. Back to 70* at 1pm. 78* by 4pm. Back to 72* at 5pm.
  6. The next 8 days are averaging 73degs., or about 2degs. AN. 65* here at 6am, and clear. 66* by 9am. 71* by Noon. 75* by 3pm. 79* by 5pm. NEWARK 91. CENTRAL PARK 86. Even I got to 89* here, yesterday.
  7. Went to beach for first time today, here in CI. Read my thermometer remotely from beach and it was 83* at 3pm, but dark clouds to my north and northeast. So I checked Central Park it was in the mid-70's with rain, at that time. Newark's quest for 90* ended at 3:07pm. In the LR, it is possible Tampa, Florida could get its first BN Month out of the last 27 or so I believe. They are slightly positive now. Eastern half of US looks BN till June 20 or so. ODD WIND ALERT JUST ISSUED: New York City is experiencing intermittent wind gusts in excess of 40 MPH. Strong winds can cause flying debris, turn unsecured objects into projectiles, & cause power outages. Preparedness Actions: Before an Outage - Charge cell phones - Gather supplies - Turn refrigerator/freezers to a colder setting During an Outage - Stay clear of downed power lines - Turn off all appliances - Keep refrigerator/freezer doors closed to prevent food spoilage - Do not use generators indoors - If you have a disability/access needs, or use Life Sustaining Equipment (LSE) and need immediate assistance, dial 911. For the latest weather info: www.weather.gov/okx/. I reached 89* here about 5:30pm.
  8. The next 8 days are averaging 71degs., or about 1deg. AN. 70* here at 6am(FOG<0.3miles) 71* by 9am and visibility >7 miles. 78* by Noon. All three major ENS outputs are indicating today as the warmest day for the next two weeks.
  9. Getting scraped by some cell to my south. Rain only so far. Two cells or more to go yet, however. Most flood statements were south of us anyway and they may be right.
  10. The next 8 days are averaging 71degs., or just Normal. 65* here at 6am., overcast, streets wet. 69* here at 9am. 75* by Noon. 79* by 2pm. 72* by 4:30pm (Raining) The EURO ENS has just one 80-Degree Day (this Sat.-82*), during the next two weeks. The next period to watch is around June 18, for a heat breakout.
  11. The next 8 days are averaging 72.5degs , or about 3degs. AN. 69* here at 6am., hazy blue. 74* by 9am. 80* by Noon. Down to 77* at 1pm. 75* at 1:30pm. 74* at 2pm. 73* at 3pm. 72* at 3:15pm. 76* at 4pm. 68* by 8am. 72* by 10am.
  12. Lightning missed CI by 40 miles to the south. Near Toms River and below. This line must have been moving 45-55mph. itself, so it could have added to any northwest gust and reached that 90mph shown above. It petered out in just 45 mins, reds to yellow bow echo, that is.
  13. The nearest lightning to us now is in State College, 200 miles east. Would take till 6pm to get here and could be weakening by then. Some pop up clouds might give a spritz as early as Noon.
  14. The next 8 days are averaging 75degs., or about 5degs. AN. GFS OP has 91* for Sat., the ENS 82*. Any precipitation from the tropical system will not be here for a week. Sun., Mon., Tues. coming up might be nice, meanwhile. 64* here at 6am, mostly clear. 68* by 9am. 70* by 10:30am. 74* by Noon. 78* by 1pm. 70* by 2pm.
  15. As usual the GFS OP is higher for the average High T during the next 16 days at about 84*, and the ENS is at 78*.
  16. The next 8 days are averaging 72degs., or 3degs. AN. 59* here at 6am. 64* by 9am. 66* by Noon. 71* by 3pm.
  17. MAY ended at -2.1[60.3]. The first 8 days of June are averaging 73degs., or 4degs. AN. TS troubles somewhere between Houston-Tampa near June 08? Our precipitation totals move up too, due to this, maybe. 53* here at 6am. 57* by 9am. 60* by 11am. 63* at Noon. 66* by 2am. 71* by 4pm.
  18. The last day of May is averaging 63degs., or 4degs. BN. Month to date is -2.1[60.2.]. May will end at -2.1[60.3]. The first half of June is averaging about 70.5degs. or just about Normal. 58* here at 6am. 64* by Noon.
  19. The last 2 days of May are averaging 71degs., or 4degs. AN. Month to date is -2.4[59.7]. May should end at -2.0[60.4]. 68* here at 6am., hazy blue sky. 71* by 9am. 73* by Noon. 77* by 3pm. 82* by 4pm. The LR has become dry with near Normal T's. Two GFS runs in a row w/o a 90-Degree showing up.
  20. The last 3 days of May are averaging 68degs., or 1deg AN. Month to date is -2.8[59.2]. May should end at -2.3[60.1]. 64* here at 6am, clammy look, but visibility about 7 miles. 68* by Noon.
  21. The last 4 days of May are averaging 69degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is -3.0[58.8]. May should end at -2.3[60.1]. GFS OP says heatwave starts June 8. The ENS is much lower out that far, but AN. At any rate, by June 15 we enter what I always call the 80/80 period-----80 days of normal highs of at least 80 degrees. Latest GFS OP finally goes all the way. Predicts first 100-Degree Day (101 on June 10th.). 62* here at 6am-(FOG<0.1mile). 66* by 11am and visibility 5 miles.
  22. The last 5 days of May are averaging 68.5degs., or 1.5degs. AN. Month to date is -3.3[58.4]. May should end at -2.3[60.1]. 58* here at 6am-FOG<0.10mile. 59* at 6:30am-ditto. 60* at 7am-some improvement. 64* by Noon, broken sky. 66* by 2pm, broken sky.
  23. Yikes! 88* in Albany at 3pm., and I have 66* with Fog that rolled in at 2:30pm---blocking out the clear blue sky.
  24. The last 6 days are averaging 68.5degs., or about 2degs. AN. Month to date is -3.5[58.0]. May should end near -2.2[60.2]. GFS OP continues with its barrage of 90's (shown since mid-May in each run) during the first 11 days of June and cuts it 69/86, just like mid July. ENS does not go past 80* for the same period. 59* here at 6am(FOG<0.1 miles) 61* at 7am and variable Fog<1.0 mile. 62* at 8am and visibility almost 5 miles. 64* at 9am, haze, clouds. Still 64* by Noon.
  25. The last 7 days of May are averaging 68degs., or 1,5degs. AN. Month to to date is -3.6[57.8]. May should end at -2.3[60.1]. 57* here at 6am. 58* at 7am. 64* by 11am. 66* ---64* ( Noon TO 2pm.) 59*-62* variable Fog between 8-11pm.
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