CIK62

The last 2 days of June are averaging 76degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is +2.4[73.6]. June should end at +2.4[73.8]. The first 10 days of July are averaging 83 or +7 with today's run. 72* here at 6am, hazy blue. 79* by Noon. 80* at 1pm with cumulus west. 87* by 4pm, still more sun than clouds.

Coney Island finally lost the sun at 4pm, T at 81, high so far. The Morristown storm which could reach me is dying out based on the number of lightning strokes. White Plains appears to be at the center of the action now, 4:20pm. Finally some heavy showers here at 7:00pm-7:15pm, but mostly north of me. As a side note, the GFS during the 7 day period July 07-13 has an average high T of 98!!! in store for us. I warned two days ago the surface wind seemed more westerly starting the 7th. The GFS has had manic T's in almost all its runs, showing at least one 100-Degree Day each day on one or more runs since about June 04. Any 100 it has shown in the last 7.5 years of course was wrong. 2012 has our last 100 degree day.

The last 3 days of June are averaging 78degs , or 3degs. AN. Month to date is +2.4[73.4]. June should end at +2.5[73.9]. The first 10 days of July are down again*-to an average of 81 or +5(still a record pace if it held for a month) *Was 86, 83 now 81. 74* here at 6am, hazy blue. 80* by Noon with encroaching cumulus to the west.

The last 4 days of June are averaging 78degs., or 3.5degs. AN. Month to date is +2.4[73.3]. June should end at +2.5[73.9]. First 10 days of July are averaging 83.5, or +7.5. Yesterday it was +10.0. Warning> JFK struggles with 80 till July 7-so E. winds a problem? 72* here at 6am, hazy blue. 73* by 7am and more cloud cover----drizzle arriving by 9am?

The last 5 days of June are averaging 77.5degs., or 3degs. AN. Month to date is +2.3[73.1]. June should end at +2.4[73.8]. First 10 days of July are averaging 86degs., or 10degs. AN---on the GFS. 70* here at 6am, some cirrus. 76* by Noon, cumulus around.

The last 6 days of June are averaging 78degs., or 3.5degs. AN. Month to date is +2.2[72.8]. June should end at +2.4[73.8]. 73* here at 6am, thin overcast, some blue. 75* by 9am. 77* by Noon. 79* by 3pm but it clouded up and cool breeze dropped it to 76* at 3:30pm. GFS back to the usual antics: 14 90-Degree Days incoming and you can shoot your fireworks off in 100 degree heat, July 4th. itself.

The last 7 days of June are averaging 77degs. , or 2.5degs. AN. Month to date is +2.0[72.5]. June should end at +2.2[73.6]. 75* here at 6am., moderate overcast-kept the heat in. 78* by 10am, less cloud cover. 79* by Noon, %RH way down in the last 6hrs. to 55%. 85* by 4pm, 42%RH---west wind kept my T in the running after lagging so all the other recent days. Remembering last Oct. 02 on the beach with 93* locally too and those westward moving dust devils that forced me from the beach a little earlier than I wanted.

The last 8 days of June are averaging 77.5degs., or 3.5degs. AN. Month to date is +1.8[72.2]. June should end at +2.2[73.6]. 73* at 6am, mostly clear. 75* by 10am. 74*! at 11am. 74* at Noon. 77* by 5pm. GFS is lower by 30 degrees for the start of July than just a few runs ago. As in JWB's reported last utterances "Useless, Useless".

Was on the beach from 1pm-4pm here in CI and T maxed out at just 78* during that time frame. A moist S wind was the culprit ( or the good guy, if you don't like that heat ). I expect it to make 80* shortly, now 79* at 5:30pm. Reached 81* at 7pm, for the high.

The next 8 days are averaging 77.5degs., or 3.5degs. AN. Month to data is +1.5[71.7]. Should be +2.1[73.3] by the 30th. 71* here at 6am, clear. 79* at Noon, cumulus west.

The next 8 days are averaging 79degs., or 5degs. AN. Month to date is +1.3[71.4]. Should be +2.3[73.6] by the 29th. 70* here at 6am, haze. 72* by 10am, innocent cumulus. 76* by 3pm. 78* by 5pm. GFS OP has 14 straight 90's starting Tues., but just one '100' this run, July 4th. itself. Finally the ENS shows a 90 (on the 29th.). My prediction is that at least 5 90-Days will have occurred by July 05th. Impossible to say when clouds or rain will interfere with the T on any given day.

The next 8 days are averaging 75degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +1.1[71.1]. Should be +1.4[72.2] by the 28th. 69* here at 6am, clear. 73* by Noon, cumulus to the west. Could become mostly cloudy by 2pm, but with no more than drizzle for a while. Been using ENS T's. GFSx down for 4 days now. GFS OP should come with a Warning about T's, at least in our part of the world. Highlight this run is a July 4th. Weekend all in the 100's! Behaved same way last year, I believe. ENS still has no 90's! It is averaging 81.5 or +8 for the rest of June. Hey!, and that is before the 100's even start. Get this: First 5 days of July are averaging 90, or +14!

The next 8 days are averaging 75degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +1.1[70 9]. Should be +1.4[72.2] by the 27th. 65* here at 6am, cloudy, no real fog. Just 71* here by 2pm. 74* by 6pm. 71* by 11pm. GFS OP again has 13 straight 90-Degree Days incoming starting Monday. ENS scaping 90 all the way too now.

Waiting for your first 90-Degree Day, hey? Well this is the BIG BOPPER speakin', I mean the BIG GFS-----How about 12 90's in a row starting Monday? These GFS OP's have been psycho for five weeks already. How is this model ever going to show snow around here with such a consistent positive error? Latest GFS OP for 18Z does the previous run one better with 13 straight 90's and throws two 100's in to boot.

HERE COMES "S A L": https://www.nymetroweather.com/2020/06/18/african-dust-expected-to-reach-us-coast-by-this-weekend/

The next 8 days are averaging 73degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is +1.2[70.9]. Should be +1.1[71.6] by the 26th. 66* here at 6am, foggy 1or 2 miles visibility. 70* by 10am, just cloudy. 72* by 2pm. 71* by 7pm, foggy at 1 mile visibility. 68* by 9pm, FOG<.0.2miles.

The next 8 days are averaging 73degs., or 0.5degs. AN. Month to date is +1.5[71.0]. Should be about +1.2[71.7] by the 24th. GFS ENS is just Normal for the rest of the month, say 73-----so June would end at about 72.0, or a little AN. 64* here at 6am, clear. 72* by 11am, but cloudy. 75* at Noon, some clearing. Back to72* by 2pm. (78* briefly near 3pm) 71* at 3pm. 66* by 8pm. 64* by 11pm, foggy all evening at about 1mile.

The next 8 days are averaging 73degs., or 0.5degs. AN. Month to date is +1.8[71.1]. Should be +1.4[71.8] by the 24th. 62* here at 6am., clear. 63* at 6:30am. 68* by 9am. 70* by 10:00am. Down to 67* by Noon. 69* by 2pm. GFS ENS has the second half of June at +2.0[75.0]. So we end up at 73 and about +2 for the month.

The next 8 days are averaging 72.5degs., or just Normal. Month to date is +2.2[71.4]. Should be +1.4[71.8] by the 23rd. 62* at 6am, clear. 68* by 10am, cirrus 69* about Noon. 65* at 2pm (but more sun now) 69* by 5pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 71degs., or 2degs. BN. Month to date is +3.0[72.0]. Should be about +1.1[71.6] by the 22nd. 56* here at 6am, clear. 64* by 11am. 66* by 2pm. I think it is virtually certain we will be celebrating the start of Summer with NYC's first 90-Degree Day on the 21st. or 22nd.

The 12Z GFS is back to its old antics and it ain't wearing no stinkin' masks during the ten day period of June 20-29. Average high of 91 for the period it proclaims, or 9 to 10 degrees AN. As usual, its ENS is just mellow-yellow. This theater keeps running the same movie at later and later times, with one splice in the film yesterday.

The next 8 days are averaging 68.5degs., or 3.5degs. BN Month to date is +3.5[72.4]. Should be about +0.7[70.8] by the 21st . 62* here at 6am and clear. 66* by Noon. All three main models agree now that something big will happen T-wise after the 18th.

The next 8 days are averaging 69degs., or 3degs. BN. Month to date is +3.3[72.0]. Should be about +0.6[70.8] by the 20th. What happened to the GFS? Was it tweaked overnight? It has lost all the 90's and 100's depicted in the last three weeks worth of runs! LOL 69* here at 6am, mostly clear. 70* at 7am. 74* by 9am. 75* by Noon. 81* by 3pm. 84* at 4:30pm. Another beach day here for me. There was a protest demonstration (noisy but peaceful) on boardwalk involving 200 marchers around 2:30pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 70degs., or 1.5degs. BN. Month to date is +2.9[71.5]. Should be +0.9[70.8] by the 19th. 66* here and overcast at 6am. 70* at 9am. 72* at 11am. back to 70* at Noon. 73* by 3pm 79* at 6pm. The whole country could be burning up during the last 12 days of the month according to the GFS and others.

Run after run the GFS keeps showing a massive heatwave here starting around the 18th. Is this a product of the new model core bias?