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CIK62

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Everything posted by CIK62

  1. The next 8 days are averaging 85.5degs., or 7.5degs. AN. Month to date is +1.9[78.2]. Should be +3.8[80.6] by the 25th. 71*(83%RH) here at 6am, overcast. 76*(92%RH) by Noon. Sun came out by 3:30pm, 83*(80%RH) by 4pm.
  2. The same relative weekend period last year witnessed 99, 99 at JFK, but 95,95 at Central Park----I believe. Only LGA had 100. Personally, I associated best with JFK with 98, 99 here in CI. A 98, 98 is somewhat possible this weekend. Take your pick: For the 5 days starting Saturday: GFS ENS has an average High T of 92, and the OP is 98. NOW FOR THE JOKER of the DECK, I mean model>>>>>>>>>>>>>Back on the July 4th.---06Z output, the GFS pegged today to become the hottest day in NYC history with a prediction of 88/108! Pick another card man! lol.
  3. The next 8 days are averaging 86degs., or 8degs. AN. Month to date is +2.3[78.5]. Should be +4.3[81.1] by the 24th. 71*(72%RH)here at 6am, scattered clouds. 75*(65%RH) by Noon.
  4. 80*(60%RH) here at 5pm. The last 16 days of July according to the GFS is: 78/94 = 86 or +8. 7 'Lows' in the 80's and 4 100's seals the deal. Don't sweat it.
  5. The next 8 days are averaging 83.5degs., or 5.5degs. AN. Month to date is +2.5[78.7]. Should be +3.6[80.5] by the 23rd. 75*(71%RH) at 6am, scattered clouds. 76* by Noon.
  6. Got to 88*(35%RH) here at 5pm. The next 17 days on the hot or hotter GFS is: 77/93 = 85 or +7. Some lows in the 80's and some highs 100's to take us there. Good Luck. At least it says Day 17 might average BN!
  7. The next 8 days are averaging 84.5degs., or 6.5degs. AN. Month to date is +2.7[78.8]. Should be +4.2[80.9] by the 22nd. 73*(67%RH) here at 6am. 80*(51%RH) by Noon.
  8. The next 8 days are averaging 82.5degs., or 4.5degs. AN. The 8 days after this are averaging an unbelievable 89degs., or about 11degs. AN. Month to date is +2.8[78.8]. Should be about +3.5[80.3] by the 21st. 74*(80%RH) at 6am, cirrus. 84% by 3pm.
  9. The next 8 days are averaging 82degs., or 4degs. AN. Month to date is 78.8[+2.9]. Should be 80.1[+3.4] by the 20th. 74*(75%RH) here at 6am-m. clear. 81*(58%), fair weather cumulus, by Noon. Was on beach here in CI, largest crowd so far this wacky season. 88*(38%RH) by 4pm.
  10. I am curious which location in NYC===your data is official for. I assume Central Park. Because I once downloaded the daily records to an Excel file and I see there that July 01, 02 are listed as 75,78----for the lows. Their period of June 28-==July 05 1872 constituted a spectacular (for the time frame) heatwave of 8 days
  11. The next 8 days are averaging 81.5degs., or +3.5degs. 74* here at 6am(93%RH), cirrus cover. 75* at 7am. 80*(91%RH)by Noon. 82* at 7:30pm was the high. The next 17 days on the GFS: 78/93 = 85.5>>>> +7.5. If this model only knew what was happening in the stratosphere, where it was warming and where it was cooling----it might produce a coherent LR forecast somewhere along the line. It has been showing 100's since June 04, I believe, in its LR outputs.
  12. The next 8 days are averaging 84.5degs., or +6.5degs. Rain from Fay: GFS,EURO about 2", CMC 3". The next 17 days according to Hoyle, OOPS! I mean the GFS is: 79/96 = 87.5 or +9.5. Takes us to the 26th. 78* here(90%RH) (1013.0mb)at 6am, dark overcast. 79*(86%)(1011.7mb) at 9am, no rain yet. Rain started about 9:30am. 77*(1009.9mb) at Noon. 76* (1006.0) at 3pm. 76*(1002.3mb) at 6pm.
  13. The next 8 days are averaging 85degs., or about 7degs. AN. GFS has 8 100's starting July 16. No comment. At least Dallas/Fort Worth beats us with 16 straight 100's. They once actually had 43 straight happen. Latest NAM drops from 3" to just 0.5" for tomorrow. Keep up the good work boys, you are due for a 'raise'------to the window sill and OUT! lol. 75* here at 6am(95%RH)hazy blue. 75* FOG<0.1 at 7am. Fog lifted by 9am, 76*---but not really clear.
  14. The next 8 days are averaging 84degs., or 6degs. AN. Target July 17 to be 100. 2 of 3 models are in the hundreds. Earlier I mentioned the GFS had July 16 zeroed in as the hottest day in NYC history at >>>> 88/108----a double record. The next 17 days on the GFS are >>>>> 78/95 = 86.5 = +9.5. This would put July at about +7.7[84.3] by the 25th. Not likely. GFS is 2.5" with 35mph winds on Friday AM. 75* here at 6am, (93%RH) thin overcast.
  15. The next 8 days are averaging 83degs., or about 5degs. AN. July 7-11 AN, July 11-14 NORMAL or less?, July 15-22 AN++ > then back to NORMAL late. 73* at 6am, overcast. 75* at 7am, brighter skies. 79* and 80%RH by Noon. 81* and 77% by 3pm, cloudy, breaks.
  16. Was on beach here in CI till 3pm. T got to 87* here. Pitch black now but hardly raining so far and little thunder heard, 4:19pm-----77*
  17. The next 8 days are averaging 79.5degs., or 2.5degs. AN. The next 15 days on the GFS is now a more tamed 76/92>>>>>84.0 = +6.0 77* here at 6am, m. clear.(74%RH). 82* by Noon.
  18. The next 8 days are averaging 80.5degs., or about 4degs. AN. JUST FOR THE RECORD: The GFS for the next 16 days is: 78.5/94.5 >>>> 86.5 = +8.5. This takes us up to July 21. 72* here at 6am with thin overcast after some rain. 74* by 9am, mostly clear. Just 78* by Noon, 85% RH. 82* by 2pm,67%. Stayed this way for two hours, still 82* at 4pm. Reached 86* at about 7:30pm, after sea breeze quit.
  19. The next 8 days are averaging 79.5degs., or about 3degs. AN. The GFS continues its positive bias in a big way-----the cut for the next 15 days is 79/96 >>> 87.5 = +10. It includes the hottest day in our history for July 16 of: 88/108!!!. For one month the GFS has included a 100-Degree Day or more than one, late in the run, today's starts at Day 10. 71* here at 6am, moderate overcast. 77* by Noon, m. clear. 79* by 4pm.
  20. The next 8 days are averaging 81degs., or 5.5degs. AN. GFS for the next 15 days is 84.5, +7.5. 80* here at 6am!!!, hazy blue. It was 84* at midnight. 83* by 9am, but mostly overcast already. 87* by Noon with thin overcast + sun. 88* at 12:20pm. 89* at 12:40pm. Still holding 1 hour later at 89*/50%>>>Heat Iindex=92*. Hit 90* at 4:30pm, up from 87*. HI>>>94* Back to 80* by 7pm.
  21. The next 8 days are averaging 78.5degs., or about 2.5degs. AN. The cut during the next 15 days on the GFS is 76/93 or 84.5 = +7.5. 69* here at 6am, clear. 70* at 6:30am. 75* by 10am. 77* by Noon. Just 85* here, near beach by 3:30pm. 81* at 4pm. When that wind starts to come from the SW>W>NW I too will roast as I did back on Oct. 02 at 93* here with hot dust devils blowing in my face while on the beach that day. Got to 90* here but at 7:30pm.
  22. Heavy rain finally reaches CI at 1:07pm. Been a study in slow motion.
  23. June ended at +2.3[73.7]. The first 8 days of July are averaging 77degs., or about 1.5degs. AN. GFS pegs the first half of July at 83.5, or +7. July 12 hottest mean ever at 94?!. Presented w/o comment and solely for your entertainment or suffering. 71* here at 6am, thin overcast. 73* by 10am, cumulus west. 74* by 1pm, then rain and down to 70*. Had all sun after about 2:30pm and T back up to 78* by 4pm.
  24. The last day of June is averaging 76degs. ,or 1deg. AN. Month to date is +2.4[73.7]. June should end at +2.3[73.7]. 70* here at 6am., scattered cirrus. 74* by Noon, cloudy. 78* by 2pm, clouds, breaks 75*-78* by 5pm, plain lite shower. The first 10 days of July are averaging 84, or +8. 13 90-Degree Days, including 3 100's incoming during the first half of July says the GFS!!! Wack-A-Do
  25. 6:40pm to 7:00pm. Sweeping rain on North wind of 20-30mph in CI. T from 90 to 74 in a few minutes. Report of hail in Marine Park.
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