CIK62

The next 8 days are averaging 83degs., or 7degs. AN. TROPICAL STORM W A R N I N G IN EFFECT! Looks mostly like a 6 to 9 hour affair of SE>S>SW winds of up to 60mph gusts. This is from 1pm-10pm tomorrow afternoon. Rain is up to 2" for the City, from Tues AM to Wed AM. 79*(65%RH) here at 6am, scattered overcast. 86*(62%RH) by 4pm.

Are you sure about that 88*DP on Aug. 19, 1997? The 2M High T that day was not even 88*. Maybe a different year? ISLIP was 59/75 that day.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH for TUESDAY! Up to 6" in places. SREF still says NYC will have trouble reaching 1.5". Got to go west for the higher totals, minus an isolated convective event within the city.

The next 8 days are averaging 83degs., or 6.5degs. AN. [GFS has been off by +5 from reality]. 75*(93%RH) here at 6am, thin overcast. Isiais: Looks like 1" to 4" (least to the E) around here on Tues. Winds 30 knots+ for a while. Goes by fast it seems---- central NJ to Cape Cod in 6 hours.

KWO-35 did not sound very scary about wind or rains here on Tues, in the this morning's broadcasts. Aren't we in for up to 1" of rain not directly connected to storm? Then maybe 3"-4" more by Wed. AM?. Wind gusts at least 30 knots+? EURO has a total of 5.3" by Wed AM.

The first 8 days of August are averaging 83degs., or about 6.5degs. AN. The idiot GFS has +5 bias, I have found. 74*(84%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 75*(83%RH) at 7am. 79*(78%RH} by Noon. 80*(75%RH) at 1pm.

The last day of July is averaging just 77degs., assuming the sun does not appear early. Month to date is +3.6[80.2]. July should end at +3.4[80.0]. 72*(93%RH) here at 6am., gloomy with moderate rain. 75*(86%RH), just cloudy by Noon.

Maybe Cat. 1, but a 175 mile miss apparently: BUT AVERAGE THIS POSITION WITH THE CMC, and we could have a problem here:

The last 2 days of July are averaging 80.5degs., or 3degs. AN. Month to date is +3.5[80.1] and should end there. As far as the tropical system is concerned, the GFS is the furthest east of us and the CMC the western most. EURO gives 20% chance of hurricane winds near Cape May, but not here. The GFS-Para which started it all, has dropped out of the race. 77*(70%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 82*(66%RH) by 10am. 82*(72%RH) by Noon *was 83* earlier. 84*(73%RH) at 1pm.

The last 3 days of July are averaging 87degs., or 9.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.4[80.0]. July should end near +4.1[80.7]. Feel like betting on a BN (ASO)? You'll have to put up $4.00 to win $1.00. Going into the summer the odds were worse, you needed to wager $4.50. I think August itself will be near Normal with a + bias. But Alas, the odds on a BN winter are just $1.40:1.00 as of now. 80.0*(65%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 82*(62%RH) by 9am.

The last four days of July are averaging 87degs., or 9.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.1[79.7]. July should end near +4.1[80.6]. GFS-Para refuses to play second fiddle to the CMC when it comes to this possible tropical blowup. The GFS has no organization at this point any more. 79*(79%RH) here at 6am, scuzzy sky. 82*(75%RH) by 9am. 85*(65%RH) at 10am. 86*(66%RH) by Noon.

Really no Rush to Judgement here in CI so far today: 77*(67%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. Just 79* by 9am. 83* by 10am. 87* by 11am. 88*(46%RH) at Noon. Actually down to 86* at 1pm. 87*(53%RH) at 2pm. 91*(41%RH) by 4pm. 92*(46%RH) at 5pm.

The last 5 days of July are averaging 87degs., or 9.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.0[79.5]. July should end at +4.0[80.5]. 77*(67%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. Just 79* by 9am. 83* by 10am. 87* by 11am.

The last 6 days of July are averaging 86degs., or 8.5degs. AN. Month to date is +2.8[79.3]. July should end at +4.0[80.6]. HI today should be > 95, say 93*+T & 40%+ RH.------maybe > 103 tomorrow. An aside: Will NYC have another Hurricane Belle -1976, timing looks similar. 75*(97%RH) here at 6am, dirty sky. 79*(92%RH) by 9am. 84*(79%RH) by Noon. 85* by 12:30pm. 87* by 1:30pm. 88*(56%RH) at 2pm. 89* by 2:10pm. 90*(50%RH) at 2:30pm. 91*(46%RH) at 3pm. 92*(45%RH) at 4pm. Reached 94* during 5pm-6pm time frame.

The last 7 days of July are averaging 86.5degs., or 8.5degs. AN. Month to date is +2.8[79.3]. July should end near +4.3[80.9]. 06Z GFS pops a hurricane out of nowhere for CH on 8/06. 74*(96%RH) here at 6am, hazy blue. 77*(91%RH) by 9am. 80*(80%RH) by Noon.

The last 8 days of July are averaging 86.5degs., or 8.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.0[79.4]. July should end near +4.5[81.2]. The last 8 days need only average 81.5 to have July end at 80.0. So the nutty GFS could be off by +5.0, and we still would end at 80.0. 75*(88%RH) here at 6am, thin overcast, drizzle. Heavy rain/TS from 11:00am to 12:30pm. Just 77*(88%RH) by 3pm. Managed 80* for a while near 5pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 86.5degs., or 8.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.0[79.4]. Should be about +4.5[81.3] by the 31st. 74*(91%RH) here at 6am, scattered overcast. 76*(90%RH) by 9am. 83*(80%RH) by 3pm. 86*(77%RH) at 4pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 86degs., or 8degs. AN. Month to date is +2.3[79.3]. Should be about +4.3[81.1] by the 30th. 79*(80%RH) here at 6am. 82*(82%RH) by 9am. 84*(83%RH) by Noon. 87*(78%RH) by 4pm. t

The next 8 days are averaging 87degs., or 9degs. AN. Month to date is +2.7[79.1]. Should be about +4.5[81.4] by the 29th. For reference: Normal July 76.5 No. 1 81.4 No. 10 79.6 82*(53%RH) here at 6am, scattered cirrus. 84* at 8:00am but back to 82* by 10:00am. Still 82*(61%RH) Heat Index = 85* by Noon. Was on beach from 1pm-4pm, was mostly 83*-84*, but reached 86*(65%RH) by 4pm.

The GFS for the next 16 days has so many 90's you need a Four Year College Degree to count that high. Almost no Rain to go with it. They belong together anyhow. Puts the remainder of July [11 days] at 80/97 = 88.5 or +10.5. 95* (42%RH) Heat Index =100* here at 5pm.

JUST GOT TO 90*(60%RH) Heat Index = 100* at 1:15pm, here in CI. 91*(59%RH) Heat Index =102* by 1:30pm. 92*(55%RH) Heat Index =102* by 2:00pm. 94*(38%RH) Heat Index = 96* by 4:00pm. btw: My Low for day the was 79.5* at 6:30am.

The next 8 days are averaging 85degs., or 7degs. AN. Month to date is +2.3[78.7]. Should be about +3.7[80.6] by the 28th. Hey! even the EURO is hotter than a picnic charcoal for the next 10 days. 80*(92%RH) HeatIndex=87* here at 6am, scattered cirrus. 83*(86%RH) at 9am, Heat Index=93*. 86(72%RH)Heat Index=96* at 10am. 87*(65%RH)Heat Index=96* by Noon.

The next 8 days are averaging 85degs., or 7degs. AN. Month to date is +1.9[78.3]. Should be about +3.5[80.4] by the 27th. 77*(83%RH) here at 6am, M. clear, haze. 78*(85%RH)by 9am. 80*(80%RH) at 10am. 84*(72%RH) by Noon. 84*(81%RH) at 2pm., more clouds. Just 82*---84* the last two hours with RH about 80%. The WeatherBug Station in CI is buggy and must catch the sun everyday because it is at 92----simply Bull. 82*(83%RH) at 5pm.

I don't get it. Here in CI I am stuck at 80* (actually down 1* since 11am) with a minor sea breeze the only possible reason. I have two thermometers and both are the same,-----I was warmer at Midnight, 12 hours ago! Either everyone else will be coming down in T soon, or I will suddenly shoot upwards. I will be reading my thermometers remotely from beach.

The next 8 days are averaging 86.5degs., or 8.5degs. AN. Month to date is +1.8[78.1]. Should be about +3.9[80.8] by the 26th. The last 14 days of July are averaging a mere 84/96 = 90, or +12! 77*(83%RH) here at 6am., hazy blue. 79*(76%RH) by 9am. 80* by 10:30am. 81*(75%RH) at 11am. Actually down to 80* again here in CI at Noon!