CIK62

The last 8 days of September are averaging 74degs. Make it 69degs., or +3.5. Month to date is -1.0[68.4]. September should end at +0.6[68.6]. The Tropics: 43.9N 62.9W-Teddy turns into Nova Scotia Lox within hours. 60*(51%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 59* at 6:30am. 68* by 11am. 71* by Noon. 73* at 1pm, equal to yesterday's high here but rather breezy again. 80* by 4pm.

Reached 73* here. Might try a late season trip to the beach here if winds are light tomorrow. Today's gusts stired up a brush/debris fire at Bay 44th. St. and the BP. As hinted to by the EURO with its favorable BN pressures along EC and back to the eastern GOM we have this:

The next 8 days are averaging 72degs. Make it 67degs., or +1.5. All Ensembles have no 80's, the GFS OP has 7 incoming! lol. 53*(55%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 52* at 6:30am. 51* at 7am. 55* by 9am. 56* at 9:15am. 57* at 9:30am. 58* at 9:45am. 59* at 10am. The Tropics: 28.7N 96.7W-inland, no huff or puff-just rain, 38.5N 63.2W-no Teddy Bear is he-but no one to bother.

I thought this return to full power happened some time ago. I have had a good locked signal for months in CI. There was a period where my own position/antenna made a difference. Concerning the range, the antenna height and its gain is what counts. Nearby structures and those along signal path play a role too---thus all the testing. Theoretically, power must increase by 4X to make a significant difference---to 4,000 watts here.

The next 8 days are averaging 70degs. Make it 65degs., or -1.0. 53*(53%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 52* at 6:30am. 64* by 3pm. 66* by4pm. The Tropics: 27.9N 95.2W, 30.1N 63.3W.

The next 8 days are averaging 69degs. Make it 64degs., or -2.5. 53*(48%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 52* at 6:30am. 64* by 3pm. The Tropics: 26.7N 92.7W-I might do some damage yet. 28.0N 62.0W-hotel rates in Bermuda are too high, I'll skip by to the east, 15N 42W-die already.

The next 8 days are averaging 67degs. Make it 62degs., or -5.0. 52*!(44%RH) here at 6:00am, m. clear. 51* at 6:30am 56* by 11am. 60* by 2pm. 63* by 3pm. 64*(30%RH) by 3:30pm. No precipitation till the 29th +/- a day, or any model. EURO now ups the T's for the next 10 days, while the GFS backs them down. Tropics quieting down: 26N 93W, 25N 59W-still getting stronger, but I am just a strawman, 13N 37W-going nowhere?

Here is a statistic that someone might lookup: What is the most days ever in NYC between measurable snow events? Seems all measurable snow ended last Jan. 18! If we get a late start this season could we not set the record? An unrelated item here about Governour's Island becoming a center to study climate change: https://brooklyneagle.com/articles/2020/09/17/governors-island-could-be-future-hub-for-nyc-climate-solutions/

The next 8 days are averaging 67degs. Make it 62degs, or -5.0. This GFS run again looks unbridled starting the 23rd.----with 7 80's, 1 90, and 3 more lows in the 70's! The Tropics: 36.5N 76.0W-Sally leftovers entering the Atlantic, 22.5N. 94.0W-the Wanderer, 21.5N 55.0W-Oh the games I played with Sally that u did not read about, finally 12N 31W. 64*(82%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 68* by 1pm. 71* by 5pm. 84* by 9pm

The next 8 days are averaging 66degs. Make it 61degs., or -6. 65*(85%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 71*(78%RH) by Noon. 74* by 2pm. The Tropics: 21N 94W(new), 32N 86W(I did my dirty work), 19N 52W, 10N 26W.

GFS up to its old tricks again as it shows 10-straight days in the 80's and up to 93*, starting the 23rd. Its ensemble has no 80's. It is still devoid of precipitation. 9/27 changes by +30 from yesterday's 12Z to today's 12Z. Asking for a BN Sept. or Oct. during the last 10 years has been futile, just 1 BN month out of 20----and that by just 0.1 degrees!.

The next 8 days are averaging 65degs. Make it 60degs., or -8. 59*(73%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 71* by 4pm. The Tropics: 30.2N 87.7W( I have arrived), 42N 49W, 16N 49W, 22N, 34W, and New at 9N 23W.

The next 8 dys are averaging 65degs. Make it 60degs., or about -8. 55*!!!(50%RH) here at 6am, clear of clouds-but not really clear due to smoke from West Coasts fires? 60* by 10am. 63* by Noon. GFS remains w/o rain around here for 8 days at least. It probably would take more than the last 10 runs added together, to reach the normal 2.1" for a 16 day period. The Tropics: 19N 30W, 14N 46W, 37N 61W, 28.3N 88.2W(I always get where I am going).

The next 8 days are averaging 67degs. Make it 62degs., or about -6. 70*(75%RH) here at 6am, thin overcast. 76*(46%RH) by 2pm. 77*(40%RH) by 4pm. Tropical systems near: 28N, 87W (I can do the Twist) 32.5N, 64.7W(in Bermudan waters Oh! so clear and bulging) 13N 41W, 18N 28W..

Cool and dry for the next 15 days to be the watchword around here. Also, latest GFS shifts rains from Sally to the east of New Orleans, and reduces the precipitation there by a factor of 10X from this morning.

The next 8 days are averaging 68degs. Make it 63degs., or -5.5. This agrees with the EURO for the next 8. We could be -0.4 by the 21st. 66*(77%RH) at 6am, overcast. 71*(81%RH) by 10am. The Tropics: 27N 85W(watch me work), 29N 61W, 26N 47W( a twerp), 11N 36W. Maybe quieter after this last one. All the models look incapable of dealing with all these multiple vorticities.

The next 8 days are averaging 71degs. Make it 66degs., or -3. 64*(72%RH) here at 6am, 63* at 6:30am-m. clear. 69* by Noon. 72* by 3pm. In the Tropics: 25N 82W (new) and getting meaner, 27N 57W, 22N 44W-being absorbed-u r Not of the Body, 12N 31W. Trough far enough east to protect us from any TS harm the next 16 days? No rain till the 22nd? Every model says so. So it looks that way.

The next 8 days are averaging 71.5degs. Making this 66.5degs., or 2.5degs. BN. 73*(88%RH) here at 6am, scattered thin overcast. 76* by 1pm. The GFS even with its +bias is bent on a 55* low near Sept. 15 and again a week later. Fish Storms are near: 23N 52W, 20N 39W, and possible new action starting near 12N 23W. [This one keeps turning north earlier and earlier each run and now looks like another stinkin' fish storm] For reference, Bermuda is at: 32.3N 64.8W, so the first point is about 1,000 miles se of Bermuda.

The next 8 days are averaging 73degs., or 3.5degs. AN. Make it -1.5. 74*(97%RH) here at 6am, rain and gloomy sky. The Fish Storms are at: 21N 49W, 18N 35W. A possible Donna like system is just emerging the African coast and could with its tag team buddy (emerging 3 days later) threaten the EC during the 23rd-30th period. Jeepers! Just noticed they would be named Ted & Sally!! Well it is something to monitor.

Based on Earthquake History chart from SACRUS above, the quake I felt in August 2003 while resting on the beach was 3.8, not 3.5 and located 60 miles due east---near PA., not nearby NJ. The 2011 quake was felt only by people who were seated. I felt nothing because I was finishing an active game of handball at that moment. My group on the beach had felt it and further noted all cell phone access was jammed. Only the non-synchronous messaging was working with a big queuing delay. Seismic waves on the EC travel further, but cause less damage, I believe. At any rate, there is a 'CAROL-1960' like tracked hurricane---supposedly near the 23-24. JB likes it that way!

The next 8 days are averaging 74degs., or 4.5degs. AN. Make it -0.5. 72*(89%RH) here at 6am, overcast. System nearest US has lost its footprint. The snake eyes are at: 19N 46W, 17N 30W. Did not feel the eartquake. I did feel a similar one 3.5, in the same general area while lying on the beach shortly after the August 2003 Power Outage.

The next 8 days are averaging 76degs., or 6degs. AN. Make it +1. 70*(86%RH) here at 6am, m. clear, some clouds. 75*(80%RH) by 9am. 78*(74%RH) by 4pm. The three systems this morning: 29N 69W, 18N 43W, 16N 25W. The latter two seem stronger today compared to yesterday. Only the ICON model has the first one affecting us Sunday.

I think we are headed for another BN ---Nov and AN ---Dec type couplet. Hope this is not correct. Dec.2020 looks to challenge 2015, BLAH!

The next 8 days are averaging 78.5degs., or 8degs. AN. Make it +3. 69*(79%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 76* by 1pm. Just one rain event of note during the next 15 Days, and that is 1" on this Sunday. This could be the ICON's potential EC spinup. The GFS has no circulation. Hurricanes remains at bay? This AM there are three suspicious spots for TS development: 29N 67W 16N 43W 16N 21W. As for additional 70* minimum days, the GFS has 7, until you subtract that +5 bias, and then there is just 1 more during the next 15 days.

The next 8 days are averaging 79degs., or 8.5degs. AN. Make it +3.5. Only Sept. 12th. is showing as a 90-Degree Day possibility on two of the last four runs, GFS. 68*(70%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 70*(65%RH) by 10am. Too many waves out there for their own good. The consolidated Cat. 4 of yesterday's 12Z GFS has not reappeared yet.