CIK62

The next 8 days are averaging 54degs.(46/62), or +8.0. Month to date is 41.3[+0.3]. Should be 44.8[+2.5] by the 30th. Now its King EURO with 5" of snow, where the GFS had 14" yesterday. GFS remains under heavy sedation. eke. 45*(71%RH) here at 6am 50* by 10am. Down to 48* at 11am and back to 50* by Noon. 51* by 2pm. 52* by 3pm. 55* at 4pm. 57* by 5pm.

For a quick guess on cloud cover look for 700mb RH>70%. This would have some clouds on Wed., and on Thurs./Fri. for sure. Also next week at this time again. btw: T's for the rest of the month on the GFS are 53degs.(45/61), or about +7.0.

The next 8 days are averaging 54degs.(45/63), or +10.0. Month to date is 40.6[-0.1]. Should be 44.4[+2.8] by the 29th. The GFS has 14" OF SNOW ON THE 29TH.!! If this is the new GFS, it is going to have a short life span. Lobotomy is indicated. The 06Z has no snow and little rain. 2.2" is now less than 1.0". Mystery solved. Yesterday 59* in the City but just 50* here briefly. Same today I think, 61*/50*. 44*(50%RH) here at 6am. (was 43* at 1am.) 48* by 9am. 51* at 10am. been 52* since 10:30am., now still at Noon. { City is 59*, LGA just 53*. } Still stuck at 52* by 2pm. 53* at 3pm. 54* at 4pm. 56* at 5pm. 50* by 8pm. 48* by 9pm. This was the source for the snow. Looks more like a needle mishap or the initial P-Wave of a major earthquake:

The next 8 days are averaging 51degs.(43/59), or about +6.0. Month to date is -0.3[40.3]. Should be +1.9[44.4] by the 28th. No precipitation for another 5 days. May come with 30mph wind + any gusts. 35degs.(42%RH) here at 6am. (was 40* at midnight) 40* by 10am. 45* by Noon. 46* by 12:30pm, but 45* by 1pm. 50* by 3pm. 46* by 8pm.

EURO WEEKLIES FOR APRIL--------A Big Bore. May to start wet and cool? W1 DRY AN T'S W2 DRY AN T'S W3 WETTER AN TO NORMAL W4 WET NORMAL The days in and around April 01 have the highest chance of the year for measurable precipitation at 41%-----but not this year apparently.

The next 8 days are averaging 50degs.(42/57), or +5.0. No precipitation till next Wed/Thur. GEM still has lowest T's. Ensembles have peak T's near the 25th, 30th----and a low out by April 3. 34*(35%RH) here at 6am. 33* at 7am. (was 44* back at midnight) 32* by 8am. 37* by 2pm. 40* by 3pm. 42* by 4pm. 43* by 5pm. 44* at 5:30pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 47degs.(39/55), or about +3.0. Month to date is 40.2[0.0]. The rest of the month is averaging 50.5(42/59). March would end at 44.8[+2.3], with these figures. Snow is gone from all but the GFS for Friday AM. Starting the 23rd. the GFS is all 60's for the high T's and nothing lower than 40*. Earliest drop off in the 850mb T's is the 30th., so one day in the 30's might be pulled off then. 44*(88*RH) here at 6am. 47* by Noon. 45* at 8pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 45degs.(37/52), or about +1.0. All the main models have an inch or two of tail end snow Friday AM, a setup which usually fails anyway. After that, AN T's and no precipitation for a week. 37*(85%RH) here at 6am. 40* by 10am. 44* by Noon. 47* at 1:30pm. 45* at 4pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 45degs.(37/53), or about +1.0. A Trace of Snow still showing on all main models. Crazy daily T swings of 30+ degrees for several days on EURO looks suspect.(24>59,27>67,30>66) Cafe Wha? 32* (33%RH)here at 6am. (34* at midnight) 35* by 10am. 37* by 4pm. 39* by 9pm and ground is wet.

The next 8 days are averaging 40degs.(33/48), or about -3.0 to -4 0. All models have a Trace of Snow coming up. GFS goes AN about the 21st. and wants to stay there for the rest of the month. (45/61) from 3/21-3/30. 25*(35%RH) here at 6am. 24* at 7am. ( was 32* at midnight) 28* by Noon. 30* at 1pm. 32* at 2pm. 37* by 4pm. 40* by 5:30pm. 36* by 9pm.

50mph Gusts may remain offshore except near Sandy Hook area and east coast of LI.

The next 8 days are averaging 41degs.,(33/49), or about -3 0. Just a Trace of Snow showing on the CMC/EURO. Strong nw. winds this PM and evening. 42*(37%RH) at 7am.[DST]. 46* by 10am. 51* by 1pm. 52* by 4pm. 46* by 5pm. 41* by 6pm. 33* by 11pm.

WIND ALERT. 50MPH GUSTs FROM THE NW. PEAKS ABOUT THIS TIME TOMORROW. There could be a repeat of this on Friday, but with SW gusts instead.

The next 8 days are averaging 41degs.(33/49), or -3.0. The GFS back to No Snow. Another 70+ outbreak around the 24th. EURO has 3" between 16th---19th. CMC has 6" on the 19th and lowest T's overall. 34*(35%RH) here at 6am. 33* at 6:30am. (was 53* back at midnight!) 35* by 9am. 40* by Noon. 47* by 3pm. 49* by 4pm. 50* by 5pm. 43* by 11pm.

Notice coastal areas stayed out of the ocean air today. My highs here were 64,51,60,(68 today} )

The next 8 days are averaging 43degs.(36/49), or about Even. GFS is back with 6" of Snow total, say the 16th and 19th. Other models are a Trace. EURO/GFS T's are both lower---taking the cue from the CMC which was colder looking for days already. But 70*+ by the 24th and still variable. 60*(56%RH) here at 6am. 59* at 7am. (basically 60* since midnight) 62*/63* by Noon. 64* by 2pm. 65* by 2:15pm. 66* at 2:30pm. 67* at 2:45pm. 68* at 3pm. 65* by 6pm. 60* by 8pm. 56* by 10:30pm.

Near the peak T's today, the distribution of warm air looked like this: I never got passed 60* and JFK got stuck in the 50's.

All three models have Traces of Snow during the next 10 days. 12Z's. The GFS says we do not reach 50* between March 20-27. About to reach 60* here apparently ---- by 3pm. Still cool breezes here like yesterday however. I got to 64* on Tues. [just 51* yesterday] So unlikely to pass that today. Got 60* by 3pm. NJ ranging 65* to 75* at this time. Back to 59* at 4pm. The nutty CI Station atop PS 288, I think, is 66*. Don't you believe it------they have a solar problem----T too high on sunny PM's. The high T's today were varied Newark 75*, NYC 71*, LGA 67*, JFK 56* all by 4pm

The next 8 days are averaging 46degs.(38/54), or about +4.0. EURO out on a limb with 6" of Snow on the 16th. Other models just a Trace. CMC still with lowest T's the next 10 days. 47*(86%RH) here at 6am. 48* at 7am. (was 44* at 5am) 50* by 9am. 53* by 11am. 55* by Noon. Fell back to 54* briefly. 58* by 2pm.[was 61* att on Tues, ended at 64*) 60* at 3pm. 54*---56* at 6am.

The next 8 days are averaging 46degs.(38/53), or about +4.0. EURO still with a Trace in a week. GFS has 3" on the 23rd----fother for the new GFS by then. CMC is the coldest the next 10 days, but No Snow. 46*(48%RH) here at 6am. 47* at 7am. (down from 50* at midnight) 50* by 10am. Back to 48* by Noon. 50* by 3pm. 51* by 4pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 47degs.(38/55), or about +4.0 or more. The GFS has eliminated all snow or rain it had ever shown for the the next two weeks, and soon will eliminate itself. EURO has an 1" a week from now. Another warmup the 18th/19th and cool down the 21st. upcoming. 39*(53%RH) here at 6am. (was 39* all night except 40* at 1am) 41* by 7am. 45* by 9am. 46* by 9:30am. 50* by 10:45am. 53* by 11:30am. 56* by Noon. 60* by 1pm. 61* by 2pm. Reached 64* at 4pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 44degs.(36/52), or +2.0. Month to date is 34.4[-4.4]. Should be 38.9[about -2.0] by the 16th. All the Snow is gone again. So is most other precipitation too. I told you the GFS was just adding to its Epitaph of Errors. RIP v16. Here Lies the GFS............. To Predict the Weather it Did Its Best. 28*(45%RH) here at 6am. 27* at 7am. 29* by 9am. 32* by 11am. 35* by Noon. 40* by 2:30pm. 43* at 3pm. 47* reached near 5pm. 40* by 8pm.

GFS is making a small portion of almost 2" of rain, into some snow that is self-cleaned away by the storm itself. Two days ago it was 15" on the 19th. Now the 19th. has a high of 64*. For another laugh see below. But at any rate: An even better run here, but remember this is just 2 runs out of the last 5 with snow. Give me two more snowy runs to become a believer.

The next 8 days are averaging 45degs.(37/54), or about +4.0. Some snow (on the 15th. this time) is showing up. About a 5-day warmup precedes it. The usual 'roll the dice' (GFS)to get the LR T's., goes from a high of 29* to 64* in two runs---for the 19th. 29*(50%RH) here at 6am. 31* by 10am. 38* by 2pm. 43* by 4pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 44degs.(36/52), or +2.0. 32degs.(52%RH) here at 6am. 34* by Noon. All that snow/cold for the 18th. is gone and T's are 20 degrees higher then, than two runs ago. GFS going out in its vogue and milieu.