CIK62

The next 8 days are averaging 57degs.(49/65), or about +5.0. Range has increased due to higher highs and less rain coming, I suppose. All models have under an inch for the 4/10-4/15 period now. Today the whole period from 4/15 to 4/22 looks to have BN T's. 850mb T's stay sub 0*C at that time. 50*(63%RH) here at 6am. 54* by 8am. 57* by 10am, but back to 55* at 11am. 57* by 3pm. 62* at 5pm. 52* by 11pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 55degs.(49/60), or about +3.0. Models have just 1.0" to 1.5" now from the 10th to the 15th. The 13th---20th. looks BN. I made 71*(21%RH) yesterday, but I am 1500' from the ocean. 54*(40%RH) here at 6am, thin broken overcast. 55*(35%RH) at 7am. 60* by Noon, brightening skies. Variable 57* to 60* during Noon to 3pm. 59* here at 4pm and 71* in NYC. 55* by 8pm.

DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS EXCEEDED 60 DEGREES IN MANY SPOTS AT 5PM.

NEWARK AT 4PM: MOST RECENT DATA: 4pm edt 6-APR-21 NEWARK INTL ARPT, NJ ( 30') LAT=40.70N LON= 74.17W STA TMP DP RH WD WS G PRS ALT PCPN CLOUD LEVELS HGT TYP VIS WX EWR 11am 59 18 20 360 11 154 2999 250 SCT 10 12pm 63 15 15 310 12 145 2996 CLR 10 1220 63 13 14 320 10 19 2995 250 SCT 10 1pm 65 13 13 310 10 21 138 2994 250 SCT 10 2pm 68 10 10 300 14 19 129 2991 250 SCT 10 3pm 69 8 9 300 9 21 121 2989 CLR 10 4pm 71 3 6 310 14 24 116 2988 250 SCT 10 EWR 6 temps: high= 71 at 4pm low= 59 at 11am mean= 65.8 precip= 0.0

The next 8 days are averaging 54degs.(49/58), or +3.0. The narrow range must be due to the upcoming cloud cover 4/10-15. 81 on the 13th. is now 53. All models with 2"-3" between the 10th-15th. Fell short of 70 yesterday with 69*. 48*(42%RH) here at 6am. 50* by 9am. 52*(34%RH) at 10am. 57*(27%RH) by Noon. 61*(25%RH) by 2pm. 67*(22%RH) at 4pm. 68* at 4:15pm. 70*(22%RH) at 5pm. 71*(21%RH) at 5:45pm. 62*(25%RH) by 11pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 54degs (47/61), or +3.0. EURO/CMC are bone dry for the next 10 days now and the GFS is holding on to the rain for the 10th. Next T convulsion is pushed to the 13th(80's?), then quickly back to 60 in a day or two. 48*(47%RH) here at 6am. 51* by 9am. 58* by Noon. 65*(25%RH) by 3pm. 67*(23%RH) at 4pm. 69*(23%RH) at 5pm. 60* by 10pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 52degs.,(46/58)., or about +2.0 or more. Continues dry till the 10th. GFS Ens. has no 70's from Boston to D.C for the next 15 days. Keeps us dry till the 10th., and Boston till the 15th.,w/o a 60-degree day there. 52* by 11am. 46*(52%RH) here at 6am., thin overcast. 47* at 7am. 50* by 10am. 52* by Noon. 58* by 4pm. Reached 60* about 5:30pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 52degs.(44/60), or about +2.0 (I had 28/39 yesterday) 33*(43%RH) here at 6am. 32* at 6:30am. 35* by 9am. 40* by Noon. 42* by 1pm. 45* at 2pm. 50* by 3:30pm. 54* around 5:30pm. 46* by 7pm. T rises quickly this AM and stays in and around normal till after the 10th. Dry till that same time too. btw: 1967 had virtually every summer season weekend as a rainout, or a threat to rain, and kept crowds away. It was compared to the 1903? rainouts business disaster in CI.

The next 8 days are averaging 47degs.(40/54), or about -2.0. 31*(47%RH) here at 6am. (was 39* at midnight) 29* at 7am. 28* at 7:30am. Just got back to 32* at exactly 11am. 35* by 3pm. Reached 39* near 6pm. Still looking dry for at least a week. 850mb T's are going to be near normal 4/04-11, say +1C.

NYC Out of the Woods in two months? Yeah, and right into the Deepest Part of the Lake. THE SEVEN DAY TRAVELING AVERAGE IS NOW BACK TO THE SEVEN DAY LEVEL OF JANUARY 18, when few New Yorkers had been vaccinated. WHY IS THIS? Comments please.

March ended at 45.8[+3.3]. The first 8 days of April are averaging 48degs.(40/56), or about -1.0. Looks like a boring two weeks coming up with little rain or T breakouts either way. The first 15 days are averaging 49degs.(42/55), about -2.0----lower than indicated in late March for this period. *** 44%(84%RH) here at 6am. (was 56* at 2am) 42* at 11am. 45* by 1pm. 47* at 2pm. 51* near 5pm. 48* at 6pm. ***Monthly Forecast in trouble here? Does show a progressive se. cooling as March headed for the finish.

Those 7-Day Traveling Averages for new cases in NYC has doubled from about 7,000{March 4-10} to near 15,000{March 25-31}. This is a solid increase of 3% per day compounded. Vaccinations do not seem to be working. Take off your mask and you could die with or without the shots.

The last day of March is averaging 57degs.(45/61), or +7.0. Month to date is 45.4[+3.1]. March should end at 45.7[+3.2]. The first 10 days of April are averaging 53degs.(45/61)., or about +4.0. 48*(99%RH) here are at 6am. 49* at 7am, cloudy. 53* by Noon. 55* by 3pm.------66* in the City! 56* at 4:30pm. 54* at 10pm, variable

The last 2 days of March are averaging 54degs.(46/61), or +7.0. Month to date is 45.2(+3.1) March should end at 45.7(+3.2). First 10 days of April are averaging 53degs.(44/61), or +4.0. 46*(47%RH) here at 6am. 47* by 9am. 49* by Noon 50* at 1pm. 52* by 3pm. 53* at 4pm. 48* by 9pm.

The last 3 days of March are averaging 51degs.(44/59), or about +4.0. Month to date is 45.0[+3.1]. March should end at about 45.6[+3.1]. First 10 days of April are now averaging 58degs.(49/67), or +8.0. Big heatwave coming too. Just yesterday this +8.0 was a -1.0. U Can W.Y.A. + These. 45*(50%RH) here at 6am breezy.. (was 55* at midnight). 47* by 11am. 48* by 1pm. 57* by 6pm. 50* by 11am.

Seems the worse was around 9:30am and a little later. May have been some lightning se. of me then. I did not hear any thunder. Not raining since 12:30pm, now 1:30pm AT 9:30 AM:

The last 4 days of March are averaging 54degs.(46/63). Month to date is 44.7[+2.9]. March should end at 45.9[+3.4]. First 10 days of April are averaging 48degs.(40/57), or about -1.0. This has been going downward. EURO has a Trace of Snow----but now it is on the 4th. Models have been useless with this aspect of forecasting. 50*(90%RH) here at 6am. 52* at 7am. Been up and down in the low 50's for hours, now at 1pm 51* and FOG <0.2mi. Was near 57* for most of evening.

The last 5 days of March are averaging 54degs.(46/62), or +7.0. Month to date is 44.1[+2.5]. March should end near 45.7[+3.2]. GFS still with some snow on April 01. A -15C 850mb T is likely near this time. After the 4th., model spread too great to be useful. 51*(61%RH) here at 6am. (was 57* at midnight) 50* at 7am. 52* by 9am. 56* by 11am. Down to 54* at 11:30am. 55* by Noon. 57* by 1pm. 58* by 2pm, but down to 56* at 2:30pm. 53* at 5pm.

How it looked at or near the peak T's at 4pm. I reached 78* at 3:45pm. My low was 49* at 4am. I thought I heard Jones Beach was still in the 50's when NYC hit 80+. March 1990 went like this 45/60, 43/85, 43/68, 42/77, 55/82, 53/72........started Mar. 12. It snowed on April 07, 1990 and the next 80-Degree Day was April 23. March 1998 went 56/83, 63/80. 62/81, 59/82, 66/86. Started 3/27. I think the next 80-Degree Day was May 15.

Looking like this at Noon. I was 62* at Noon. I have 65* with sun at 12:30pm.

The last 6 days of March are averaging 55degs.(46/65), or +8.0. Wind and T should peak near 3pm-4pm at 25mph+ and 76* under variable skies, and back to the 50's by 10pm. GFS/EURO still 'duking it out' over the snow chances. It is back on the GFS---off on the EURO. CMC has been an observer only---wait till the hurricane season starts for its headfakes. March to date is 43.2[+1.7]. March should end at 45.4[+2.9]. 50*(99%RH) here at 6am, some ground fog. 52* at 7am. FOG <0.2 since 7am. 52* still at 8am. 50* briefly at 9:30am. 59* at 11am, fog gone, just cloudy. 62* by Noon and some sun. 70* by 2pm. Reached 78* with 30%RH at 3:45pm. 70* by 7pm. 65* by 8pm. 60* by 10pm.

The first 7 days of April were averaging 35/49 = 42 on the 0Z..............the 12Z has it 44/65 = 54. This is called an improved GFS?. EURO is back with some snow on April Fool's Day night. Joke is on the User, however. As I predicted with the HRRR, T would peak about 2pm and fall back. I got to 63* and fell back to 56*. I even got the fog back!

The last 7 days of March are averaging 54degs.(46/63), about +7.0. Month to date is 42.6[+1.2]. March should end at 45.2[+2.7]. The first week of April looks cold at 42degs.(35/49), or about -6.0. This represents a failure to communicate with EURO Weeklies, the 8-14 and the GEFS. 51*(98%RH) here at 6am, FOG <0.2. 53* FOG now <0.5 at 8am. 54* at 9am and back to FOG <0.2. 56* at 11am and FOG as dense as ever. Fog lifted Noon to 12:30pm, at 58*/59*. 62* by 1pm. 63* at 1:30pm. As predicted, T down to 58* by 2:30pm and some fog back in. HRRR says coast gets to 60* by 2pm, then may fall back.

The last 8 days of March are averaging 54degs.(45/63), or +8.0. Month to date is 42.2[+1.0]. March should end at 45.2[+2.7]. 50*(86%RH) here at 6am. 54* by 9am. 57* by 11am. 53* at 5pm (rain started back at 2pm).

The next 8 days are averaging 52degs.(44/60), or +6.0. Month to date is 41.6[+0.6]. Should be 44.4[+2.2] by the 31st. EURO still has a Trace on the 30th. Nutty T swings possible on the GFS going into April. 45*(98%RH) here at 6am. Distant fog. 44* at 7am. 48* by 10am with hazy skies. 51* at 11am, but back to 49* at Noon. 53* at 2pm. 54* at 3pm, sea fog. 57* at 4pm. 58* near 6pm. 52* at 7pm.