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CIK62

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Everything posted by CIK62

  1. The last 8 days of May are averaging 65degs.(56/73), or -1.0. Month to date is 63.3[+1.2]. May should end near 63.8[+0.6]. Only part of Holiday Weekend looks like it can be salvaged.[Latest GFS looks wet at anytime you pick during Holiday now.] GFS continues with May 26th. at 90 degrees. Other models now under 90. Next hot period should kick in June 04 and may last awhile. Made it to 90 here by 4:30pm yesterday. Was still 89 at 6pm. {Was 73* at Midnight} 64*(51%RH), at 6am. scattered thin overcast . 62*/63* at 9am. 58* at 10pm.
  2. FINAL OFFICIAL OUTLOOK FOR SUMMER 2021
  3. We have some clouds to get through. Could be a break soon, then another area of cloudiness may pass by from nw to se. Day should end clear. I have 82*(52%RH) at Noon
  4. The next 8 days are averaging 69degs.(58/78), or +3.0. Month to date is 62.6[+0.6]. Should be 64.3[+1.2] by the 31st. May 26 still showing in the 90's. Holiday period seems BN/Nor. and wet. 67 to 75 for highs, 1" rain. Reached 88* by me yesterday. JFK (93*) Thermometer must be too near the tarmac. lol. I usually track better with JFK. 72*(70%RH) here at 6am, thin overcast. 75* by 9am, m. clear now. 82* by Noon, cumulus clouds. Made it to 90* at 4:30pm. 82* at 9pm.
  5. Too hot for you today? T's crater for the whole Holiday Weekend maybe, along with our first real rain event (more than 1.5")in a while(May 9th.): Meanwhile we have reality:
  6. It looked like this a short time ago. Heat has keyed into NJ, when viewed in a larger coverage map, not shown here. I am at 82* at 11:30am, and I am 1500" from the ocean.
  7. The next 8 days are averaging 70degs.(60/80), or +4.0 Month to date is 61.9[+0.1]. Should be 64.1[+1.2] by the 29th. May 26th continues at 90,{another T PopDrop}---, probably 20 straight runs. No rain for another 5 days, despite TS chances before that. 64*[65%RH) here at 6am, thin overcast. 73* by 9am and more importantly, the RH has hardly moved down(60%RH) now. 77* by 10am. 80*(48%RH) at 11am. 86*(39%RH) by 1pm. 88*(33%RH) at 3pm----4pm.
  8. The next 8 days are averaging 73degs.(63/83), or +7.0. Three 90's are possible. Month to date is 61.6[-0.2]. Should be 64.9[+1.9] by the 29th. No model has rain till next Thurs. 59*(77%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 61* by 9am. 63* at Noon.
  9. The main models have an average high for the weekend of 89.5. The EURO above has Zippo rain to go along with the above.
  10. Why are you talking about heat over the Holiday? 850mb T and 500mb heights fall sharply for the end of May and return June 01.
  11. The next 8 days are averaging 71degs.(61/81), or about +4.5. Month to date is 61.3[-0.3]. Should be about 64.1[+1.1] by the 28th. May 26 continues at 90 for another run----a good dozen in a row. I will hold the GFS to it. Again no rain to speak of. 62*(60%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 65* by 9am. 67* by 3pm. 70* at 4pm.
  12. Weak sea breeze effect so far, it seems 12:30pm..........
  13. The next 8 days are averaging 69degs.(60/78), or about +3.5. Month to date is 60.5[-1.0]. Should be about 63.1[+0.4] by the 27th. The 26th consistently showing on all models as a Lone Wolf type 90-Degree Day. Still not much rain to talk about. 64*(60%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 71* by 9am! 79* by Noon.
  14. The next 8 days are averaging 68degs.(62/75), or about +4.0. After peaking a few days ago----this 8 day avg. has been lowering. Rain is now highest(not high really) on the GFS which ruins this Fri. to Mon. period. Models unreliable post 5/26. Month to date is 59.9[-1.5]. Should be 62.5[+0.3] by the 26th. 59*(62%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 62* by 9am. 70* by Noon. 76* by 3pm. 77* at 4pm. Reached 79*/80* near 6pm. 68* at 11pm.
  15. The next 8 days are averaging 69degs.(61/79), or +5.0. Month to date is 59.4[-1.8]. Should be 62.6[+0.5] by the 25th. 59*(61%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 65* by Noon, but variable through morning. Still bouncing near 65* by 3pm.
  16. The next 8 days are averaging 70degs.(61/79) or about +6.0. This was a cooler GFS run. The other two main models still have 90's+ during May 20-24. Little rain continues as a theme for the next 10. Last week of May BN and wet? Month to date is 58.9[-2.2]. Should be 62.7[+0.7] by the 24th. 58*(57%RH) by 6am., scattered overcast. 60* by 9am. 62* at 10am. Reached 68* at 7pm. Overcast, boring weather day. 59* by 10pm.
  17. These appeared in the last hour. Probably will slide by City, just to the west. I am getting the screw on the T 63* versus 78* in City at 1pm.
  18. It's Coming. No Rain + Heat Stroke. All models have a 90+ and all have just 0.10" on the next 10 days, not enough for 1 day even. The next 8 days are averaging 72degs.(61/82), or +9.0. These 'next 8 days' average went from 57 a week ago, to today's 72. Month to date is 58.4[-2.6]. Should be 63.4[+1.6] by the 23rd. BDCF only salvation. 57*(48%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 61* by 9am. 62* by Noon----There is that sea breeze again...........76* in the City now----I am being cheated. 63* at 1pm.........78* in the City now. 65* by 3pm. 67* by 4pm. 70* at 4:30pm. 71* at 5pm. 65* by 10pm.
  19. Just to show that the GFS is not the only model shunning its daily Lithium intake, I present the GEM for your delight or fright: The ENS for this does not even reach 80 for all 15 days of its run. Back Door CF's could ruin any 80+++ anyway. The last two days I have been screwed here with the sea breeze, but on Wed. I beat the City.
  20. The next 8 days are averaging 68degs.(57/78), or about +5 0. Less than 0.50" rain over the next 10 days. Month to date is 57.9[-2.9]. Should be 61.7[0.0]Normal, by the 22nd. 55*(48%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 61* by 9am. 63* by Noon. 65* at 1am. 66* by 3pm. 67* at 4pm-----cool sea breeze the culprit. Reached 71* from 6pm to 7:30pm. 61* by Midnight.
  21. FWIW Today's version of the T's for the next 15: The ENS. barely makes 80 on one day.
  22. The next 8 days are averaging 64degs.(55/73), or about +1.0. Month to date is 57.7[-3.1]. Should be about 60.2[-1.5] by the 21st. The new flip your T lid date is being pushed further out with today's runs. Made it to 70 yesterday, but wind spoiled it a bit. 53*(44%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 63/62* by Noon. 64* by 3pm. 65/64* at 4pm.
  23. GFS Clown Model Outputting continues. The other models are also lost on a Coney Island Dark Ride.
  24. The next 8 days are averaging 63degs.(53/73), or about +1.0. 80's back again for the 19th.{18th. to 22nd.,look AN} on the GFS. EURO is dry for the next 10 days. GFS, CMC have an inch or more, starting Saturday. 47*(48%RH) here at 6am., m. clear. 57* by Noon. 59* by 1pm. 65* by 3pm. Reached 70*(26%RH) at 5:15pm.
  25. The next 8 days are averaging 62degs.(52/72) or just Normal. Month to date is 57.7[-2.8]. Should be about 59.7[-1.6] by the 19th. None of the models is quite making it to 80 over the next 10-15 days. Not much rain showing either for at least a week. After a minor peak near the 18th/19th, the T may take it on the chin again near the 21st.......... 51*(52%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 52* at 7am. 59* by Noon. 65* by 3pm, but m. cloudy. 58* by 9pm.
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