CIK62

The next 8 days are averaging 81degs.(74/88), or +6. Starting Tues., chances of rain are higher than the average 30% thru Sat. at least. Models can not decide where the TS remnants are going however, so stand by for a Page 1 Replate. Grace set to be stronger than Fred and on about the 22nd, be where Fred will be on the 16th. Fred remnants end up in Ohio Valley in 5 days? Summer to date is +0.20{74 Days}[75.3 to date] 77*(84%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 80* by 9am. 82* at 10am. 84*(64%RH) by Noon. 88*(58%RH) by 2pm. 89* at 3pm. 91*(52%RH) at 4pm HI = 98. 92*(50%RH) at 4:30pm. Only reached 88 here yesterday.

July was Earth's hottest month on record (Source: The Hill, 8/13/21) July 2021 was the planet’s hottest month ever recorded, according to data released Friday by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). NOAA’s numbers indicate the earth’s combined land and ocean-surface temperature was 1.67 degrees Fahrenheit above the 20th century average of 60.4 degrees. The temperature was 0.02 degrees above the previous hottest month, July 2016, after 2019 and 2020 matched the 2016 record. The Northern Hemisphere, meanwhile, saw an all-time high July land-surface-only temperature at 2.77 degrees above average. The previous record, July 2012, was 2.14 degrees above average. Asia also saw its single hottest July on record, according to NOAA, while Europe tied its second-highest, July 2010. Arctic sea ice coverage, meanwhile, was at its fourth-lowest level for July in the 43 years NOAA has kept records. July 2012, 2019 and 2020 were the only years Arctic sea ice was smaller. However, Antarctic sea ice saw its largest extent since 2015 and the overall eighth-highest extent on record. “In this case, first place is the worst place to be,” NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad said in a statement. “July is typically the world’s warmest month of the year, but July 2021 outdid itself as the hottest July and month ever recorded. This new record adds to the disturbing and disruptive path that climate change has set for the globe.” Based on both the latest data and numbers from June, 2021 will likely end up one of the 10 warmest recorded years, according to NOAA, citing a projection from the National Centers for Environmental Information. The data’s release comes days after a long-awaited report from the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which issued a dire warning on global temperatures. The report projected average global temperatures 1.5 degrees higher than the pre-industrial baseline by 2040, past the previously established point the U.N. agency said would result in major impacts on weather, biodiversity and food availability.

The next 8 days are averaging 83degs.(75/91), or +8. No rain till hurricane hits on the 26th LOL 80*(73%RH) here at 6am!!!, m. clear. Only 84* by Noon and seemingly going nowhere so far. 85*(65%RH) at 1pm HI = 91. 87*(62%RH) at 2pm. 88*(60%RH) at 3pm/4pm. 86* at 5pm. Reached 95 here yesterday at 6pm. Was still 90 at 8pm.

Topped out at 95*(52%RH) at 6pm. here in CI, HI =107* The sea breeze worked wonders here till 3:30pm.

THERE ARE WARNINGS IN NW NEW JERSEY FOR THIS BEASTLY LINE. NYSIO APPROACHING 30,000 MW @3:30PM. I just reached 89*(67%RH) in CI at 3:30pm, with sea breeze helping hold off 90 so far. Flash: I spoke too soon........91*(60%RH) here at 4pm. HI is 102*. 93*(58%RH) at 4:30pm, HI = 106*

The next 8 days are averaging 83degs.(74/92). Today will see peak T's for the this heat outburst. 90* to 100*. Wind W, except S late at JFK. 75*(92%RH) here at 6am, overcast. Still 75* at 7am, but hazy blue now. 82*(80%RH) by Noon. 86*(75%RH) by 2pm. 88*(70%RH) by 3pm. 89*(67%RH) at 3:30pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 82degs.(73/92), or +6. No Categorical Rain today, and T 87---91 in NYC. Dry period starts Sunday, but still a little AN T's. 73*(97%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 80* (86%RH )by Noon 87* at 5pm.

Direct your complaints to the government agency responsible for the GFS. I take a Pass. Our tax dollars are not improving this model at all. As an aside: The Government keeps providing that Tidal Flood Insurance so millionaires can rebuild their cottages on stilts down at Kitty Hawk etc. That is where your $$$$$ went.

The next 8 days are averaging 85degs.(75/95), or +9. +2sd(about 10F), on the hottest days of the 8 only. 5900m to 5930m. 73*(95%RH) here at 6am, scattered overcast. 75* by 9am. 78* by Noon. 81*(84%RH) by 3pm. 82* at 4pm. Reached 85* at 6pm, shortly before TS/Rain started at 7:20pm.

This is the GFS ENS., so some of the extremes might be muted out, but no BN days here:

The next 8 days are averaging 81degs.(74/92), or +5. Seems like too much cloudiness during this period, to permit these highs. 70*(96%RH) here at 6am, FOG<1mi., drizzle. 69*/70* at 7am, fog mostly lifted. 80* by 1pm. 81* by 5m. Multiple tropical points of interest. Models will have to simplify by consolidating them.

The nutty GFS in Central Park is 68-99, but for JFK it is only 70-82 during this period. God Bless the sea breeze, I suppose.

The next 8 days are averaging 82degs.(74/90), or +6. 69*(90%RH) here at 6am, variable overcast, drizzle. 70* by 9am, some clearing. Never did clear up. Reached 75* at 11:30am. 69* by 6pm. Was 67* all evening with drizzle.

The next 8 days are averaging 84degs.(75/92), or +8. This is from the GFS ENS. There is little rain. 72*(85%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 74* by 9am. 80*(75%RH) by 2pm.

No BN days here. The rain associated with this is mostly Wed---Sun.

10-Day HW to start today? Will depend upon wind direction/ cloud cover each day. BN air may be 'Absorbed' by mid-month. It is...... Not of the Body. Lol and thank you Star Trek. The next 8 days are averaging 83degs.(74/92), or +7. 70*(82%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 73* by 9am. 76* by Noon. {JFK=80*, EWR=88*} On beach all PM, and sea breeze kept it below 80*. Now it is 80* at 5pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 80degs.(71/90), or +4. 69*(83%RH) here at 6am, overcast. While the idiotic GFS highs of yesterday are gone, the ENS. is still AN for the next 15 days straight. Rain is Normal to BN. GFS still can not coherently show any back-to-back runs with that potential tropical circulation, which first showed up on August 01 for one run and only sporadically since.

The next 8 days are averaging 82degs.(73/91), or +6. 71*(67%RH) here at 6am, overcast. 76* at Noon and probably the high. SREF with 1.7" in the City this PM-night?

I will do the Next 8 Days after I recover. WARNING>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>And This Is Not Dallas..................

Record long HW an outside possiblity according to the GFS ENS:

The next 8 days are averaging 80degs.(71/90), or +4. The GFS ENS. is basically all 90's starting the 6th. Other models much lower. Little rain during next 10 days on any model, it seems. 70*(90%RH) here at 6am, overcast. 83* was high here.

First run of the month for the GFS. Looks like a Sperm Cell chasing the Egg----the US Coast lol. Has not repeated yet:

The next 8 days are averaging 77degs.(70/85), or about Normal. 63*(87%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 80* by 4pm. Reached 83* near 6pm. Still no repeat of the Cat.2 shown on the very first GFS run of the month. Discontinuous HW still slated for August 6---15+ ???