CIK62

The race for 70 begins. And Then.............

October ended at 62.0[+4.1], 5th Place. Rain was 5.26", about 1" AN. The first 8 days of November are averaging 50degs.(46/54), or -1. Back to the 60's by mid-month? The GFS with 9 straight 60's----"Nice Winter We Are Not Having".......stan laurel. Reached 66* here yesterday. Today: 60-63, wind w., breezy, m. sunny, 47 by tomorrow AM. 53*(82%RH) here at 6am. 55* at 9am. 57* at 10am. 58* at Noon. 59* at 3pm. Reached 61* at 4pm.

The last day of October is averaging 60degs.(55/65), or +7. Nov. 01-07 50(45/54), or -1. Month to date is 62.1[+4.0]. October will end at 62.0[+4.1]. Reached 65 here yesterday. Today: 62-66, wind ese., p. cloudy. 57*(98%RH) here at 6am, street wet. 56* at 8am, clearing up. Was a Bum Steer---rain and 57* at 9am. 59* at Noon. 62* at 2pm. 65* at 3pm. Reached 66* at 4pm. 60* at 8pm.

EURO WEEKLY MEAN FOR THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER: (Week 1-2 BN, Week 3 AN, Week 4 Normal----gets you to:

CI just got clipped by a heavy shower near 8:30am:

The last 2 days of October are averaging 61degs.(57/65), or +8. Month to date is 62.2[+3.9]. October should end at 62.1[+4.2]. Reached 61 again here yesterday. Today: 60-64, wind e., m. cloudy, some breaks, rain late. EURO Nov. 01-07 is 46(40/52), or -5. 62*(96%RH) here at 6am. 64* at Noon. 65* at 2pm. 61* at 6pm. 60* at 9pm.

This apparently was the worst of it in the immediate area. Back around 9:30pm:

Early Call on November's first 10 days on the GFS OP: 43/54 or about -2 or -3 and Dry.

HEADLINE: Gale Warning issued October 29 at 8:54AM EDT until October 30 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS New York City - Upton DESCRIPTION: ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...East winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and waves 4 to 7 feet. * WHERE...New York Harbor, including Raritan Bay and Sandy Hook Bay. * WHEN...From late this afternoon until 6 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. INSTRUCTIONS: Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. Issued By: NWS New York City - Upton (Long Island and New York City)

The last 3 days of October are averaging 57degs.(53/61), or +4. Month to date is 62.6[+4.1]. October should end near 62.0[+4.1]. Reached 61 here yesterday. Today: 57-61, High T comes late, wind ene. and gusty, rain after dark, 0.5"-1.5" through Sunday. GFS LR got warmer and the EURO is cooler---But Not COOL. In fact, both models < ....>! 51*(77%RH) here at 6am. 54* at 9am. 55* at 10am. 59* at Noon. 61* at 1pm. 57*at 7pm. 55* at 10pm.

Goodbye for the 60's after Sunday. They try to return by mid-month however, on many members. We will be lucky if the lower heights can push passed us and into the Atlantic by Nov. 3rd. Nov. 07 looks like the bottom, and in Albany wet snow may occur then.

The last 4 days of October are averaging 56degs.(52/60), or +2. Month to date is 63.0[+4.4]. October should end at 62.1[+4.2]. Reached 61 here yesterday. Today: 58-62, wind ne., P. Sunny. Another 1" on Fri/Sat. to go with the 3.69" earlier in the week. First 30's for city somewhere during Nov. 4-12? 51*(71%RH) here at 6am. 56* at 11am 58* at Noon. 59* at 1pm. Reached 61* at 4pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 58degs.(54/62), or +4. Month to date is 63.2[+4.4]. October should end at 62.4[+4.5]. Reached 66 yesterday---but that was at Midnight---64 during the day. Central Park had 3.30"+0.23" the day before. Today: 58-62, wind nw. and gusty till sunset, cloudy. 58*(85%RH) here at 6am. 60* at Noon. 61* at 3pm.

The last 6 days of October are averaging 59degs.(55/63), or +5. Month to date is 63.4[+4.4]. October should end near 62.5[+4.5]. Reached 70 here yesterday. Missed the rains up to midnight. Today: 60-65, wind ene. and becoming gusty by 2pm., another 2" of rain for remainder of day, I guess. 60*(98%RH) here at 6am. {was 58 at 4am} 63* at 7am. 64* at 7:30am. Back to 60* at 9am. 59* at Noon.

LOOKS LIKE I COULD GET 50MPH(bottom) GUSTS HERE IN CI TUES MIDNITE INTO WED, while Cape Cod is murderlized around then by the GFS.

The last 7 days of October are averaging 59degs.(54/63), or +5. Month to date is 63.4[+4.2]. October should end at 62.4[+4.4]. Reached 61 here yesterday. Today: 67-71, wind s. to e., cloudy, rain around sunset. A total of 5" showing on all models before month is over. 64*(90%RH) here at 6am{up from 59 at midnite}. 69* at Noon. 70* at 12:30pm.

KWO-35 does not even mention the wind in the Part 2 saga on Friday/Saturday, while models show a few hours of 40-60mph gusts then. This is the peak of the wind action. They say we will barely get to 30mph. on Mon/Tues too, which could be right.

The worst 24hr.period I could find:

The last 8 days of October are averaging 58degs.(53/64), or +4. Month to date is 63.8[+4.5]. October should end near 62.3[+4.3]. Reached 63 here yesterday. Today: 58-62, wind w. to s. sky clear to p. cloudy later. The rain for the rest of the month from the two potential storms is 4"-6" on the EURO/GFS and under 2" for the CMC. We are way BN after 3 months of +10"., just 0.52" so far. 51*(80%RH) here at 6am. 50* at 7am. 52* at 9am. 58* at Noon. 56* at 1pm........but up to 61* at 3pm.

EURO has 8" incoming by month's end. GFS,CMC,ICON more like 2"-3" total. A week ago, I believe, the GFS had a run with 8"---and of course lost it.

The next 8 days are averaging 59degs.(54/65)., or +5. Month to date is 64.3[+4.8]. Could be 62.9[+4.9] by the 31st. Reached 71 here yesterday. Today: 57-61, wind n., cloudy, some drizzle. 54*(58%RH) here at 6am. 53* at 7am, drizzle----saw a truncated rainbow near sw horizon from me. 56* at Noon. 61* at 3pm. Reached 63* at 4pm.

LATEST EURO CONTROL FOR NOVEMBER AND BELOW THE ONE FROM JUST 3 DAYS AGO. THE CONTROL IS OUT OF CONTROL.

The next 8 days are averaging 60degs.(54/67), or +6. Month to date is 64.3[+4.6]. Could be 63.2[+5.0] by the 30th. Only reached 69* here yesterday with the sea breeze. Today: 67-70, wind w. to n. to ne. P. cloudy/M. cloudy. 63*(78%RH) here at 6am. 62* at 7am. 63* at 9am. 66* at Noon. 69* at 3pm. 70* at 3:30pm. Reached 71* around 4:30pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 60degs.(55/64), or +5. Month to date 64.3[+4.4]. Could be 63.0[+4.5] by the 29th. Went from 58 to 77 here yesterday. Today: 73-77, Wind w. to sw., p. sunny. 60*(75%RH) here at 6am. 66* at Noon. Only 69* at 3pm, cool sea breeze.