CIK62

Next major snow events should take place during this period. The BN 850's last into Week 1 of February. SE Ridge seems to start kicking up a fuss in the southeast during Week 1 of February---but perhaps a good northeast snow cover will keep the lid on the pot.

Now the wait till the next event, which may be this un-phased snow shower. or perphaps a better looking setup two days later. At any rate a long wait may be at hand.

The next 8 days are averaging 29degs.(24/33), or -4>>>-6 nowadays. Reached 40* here yesterday. Today: 33-35, wind n. to nw. and breezy, Snow till Noon, 23 tomorrow AM. No more snow for 7-10 days? 29*(99%RH) here at 6am{was 36 at Midnight and did not get to 32 till 3:30AM.}, Mod./Heavy Snow. 30* at 9am and sunny. 33* at 11am. 34* at 1pm. 30* at 6pm.

Been stuck at 36 for hours. Seems some evaporational cooling is going to be needed at the surface---and this could cut totals, I suppose. At any rate here is the National Blend of Models interpretation:

The next 8 days are averaging 29degs.(23/34) or -4>>>-6 nowadays. Reached 47 here yesterday. Today: 40 down to 34, wind w to ne., up to 4" of Snow from Midnight to Noon. 37*(73%RH) here at 6am. 40* at 2pm.

YOU CAN FOOL AROUND HERE WITH VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS ON AMOUNTS OR PROBABILITIES. https://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf/wwd_accum_probs.php?ftype=probabilities&fpd=48&ptype=snow

ONE RUN AGO: AND NOW:

The next 8 days are averaging 32degs.(27/36), or -1>>>-3 nowadays. Reached 37 yesterday, 3:30pm. Today: 42-46, wind w., overcast, drizzle. 2"-4" Snow Thurs. night---Fri. 35*(75%RH) here at 6am.{was 32 at midnite}. 40* at 11am. 47* at 4pm.

GIVES THIS---WHICH SHOULD KEEP US IN THE RUNNING SOMEWHAT:

IS THIS THE BUTTER OR THE BANTER?

The next 8 days are averaging 31degs.(25/36) or -2>>>-4 nowadays. Reached 39 last midnight and 23 this midnight. Just saw flurries around 1:30pm yesterday, no white anywhere. 20*(55%RH) here at 6am. 30* at Noon. 37* at 3:30pm. 34* at 6pm. Today: Rising steadily from 20 this AM to 36 tomorrow AM, m. clear then cloudy late, wind n. to sw. 4" Thurs. night?

I am at 31*(45%RH) and have not seen any snow yet in CI. Visibility is 10+ Miles.

The next 8 days are averaging 33degs.(28/38) or just Normal>>>-2 nowadays. Reached 60 here yesterday. Today: 34 down to 23 by tomorrow AM, wind nne. and breezy, snow 2" south from 10am-4pm. 34*(58%RH) here at 6am. 33* at 7am. 32* at 8am. 28* at 4pm. Never more than snow flurries, no white anywhere. 24* at 10am.

WHO DO THEY GET TO CLEAR THIS STUFF IN DC DEMS OR REPUBLICANS? i just dropped out of politics HeeHeeHee!

The next 8 days are averaging 36degs.(32/40), or +3>>>+1 nowadays. Reached 56 yesterday with fog and drizzle going on and off. Today: 54 early, falling in PM to 30 by AM tomorrow, cloudy, wind w. to n, picking up. 53*(99%RH) here at 6am, Fog <0.25mi. 54* at 9am and earlier. Fog lifted 10am. 55* at 11am. 56* at Noon. 57* at 12:30pm. 58* at 1pm. 60* at 2:30pm. 51* at 6pm. 44* at 8pm. 40* at 9pm.

December ended at 43.8[+4.7] nowadays, but +7.9 from my 1960's Almanacs for NYC. The first 8 days of January are averaging 39degs.[35/44],or +5(+3 nowadays) HNY2022---you can start your summer planning today. First run of the year: 51*(99%RH) here at 6am(Fog<0.25mi.) 52* at 9am, fog lifting, but drizzle continues. 55* at Noon. A few hundred people showed up for the Polar Bear Dip. 56* at 1pm.

The last day of December is averaging 49degs.(45/53), or +15>>>+12 nowadays. Month to date is 43.5[+4.3]. December will end at 43.7[+4.6]. Today: 53-55, wind w. to s., rain by early Sat. AM. First 7 days of January are already 38/50 = 44, or +10>>>+8 nowadays. 50*(95%RH) here at 6am.{was 49* at 3am}. 52* at 11am.

The GEFS Control with it's perennial Coldest Day in History output. Jan. 30, this time.

The last 2 days of December are averaging 47degs.(44/50), or +14>>>+11 nowadays. Month to date is 43.4[+4.1]. December should end at 44.0[+4.9]. Reached 49 here yesterday. Today: 48-50, wind mostly s., cloudy. 46*(93%RH) here at 6am.

The last 3 days of December are averaging 47degs.(44/50) or +13>>>+10 nowadays. Month to date is 43.4[+4.0]. December should end near 43.7[+4.6]. Reached 49 here yesterday. Today: 48-50, e. wind, cloudy, drizzle early. NY'sD 58-62. Somewhat colder by Jan. 03, or an illusion. GFS has 7 50's in the next 16 days. GEFS has no BN 5-Day Periods. No evidence we can even beat the current season low of 25---yet some call this a better setup. Wait till the sun-angle boys get into the act. And January looks AN+ as month is winding down so a tan will be emerging. This is a 10-Day winter----but which 10 days? 44*(90%RH) here at 6am{was 48 at midnite}. Near 49* for a lot PM.

The next 6 days 41/49 = 44 or +11(+8 nowadays I suppose.)

The las t 4 days of December are averaging 45degs.(41/49),or +11>>>+8 nowadays. Month to date is 43.5[+4.0]. December should end near. 43.7[+4.6]. Reached 41 here yesterday. Today: 48-50, wind n. to e., cloudy, breaks then rain late. Some accidental cold Jan. 03,04,05 and again Jan. 09......?????, Remember Dec. 20 was once when real cold was to start? 40*(99%RH) here at 6am. 46* at Noon.

This GFS run takes it down 20 to 30 degrees from earlier runs:

The last 5 days of December are averaging 42(39/46), or +8>>>+5 nowadays. Month to date is 43.8[+4.1]. December should end near 43.5[+4.4]. Reached 53 here yesterday{midnite},49 daytime. Today: 35-37 daytime, rising overnight to 44 by morning, wind n. to s., clouding up, rain overnight. 37*(57%RH) here at 6am. 40* at 11am.

The last 6 days of December are averaging 42degs.(38/47),or +8>>>+5 nowadays. Month to date is 43.7[+3.9]. December should end at 43.3[+4.2]. Reached 53 here yesterday. Today: 47-49, wind nw. and breezy, m. clear. First 10 days of January maybe as low as 25/35 = 30, but the runs are completely erratic. 47*(67%RH) here at 6am. 45* at 8am. 50* at 2pm.