CIK62

Even given the full 16 days, 1" total is not even at 100%: The same for 12":

This run it was the CMC with the Hail Mary. Great football action as the numericals pass and fumble the ball among each other.

The next 8 days are averaging 26degs.(20/32) or -7. Month to date is 31.8[-2.1]. Should be 31.2[-3.4] by the 31st. Reached 34 here yesterday. Today: 33-36, wind w. to n., variable skies to overcast late. End of month storm gone? All models with the snow into New England and Maine now. 25*(48%RH) here at 6am. 30* at 10am. 32* at Noon. 38* at 4pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 26degs. (21/32], or -7. Month to date is 32.3[-1.6]. Should be 30.8[-2.9] by the 30th. Reached 23 here yesterday. Today: 27-30, wind n. and light, m. clear. GFS has the end of month storm again. 15*(48%RH) here at 6am. 19* at 9am. 24* at Noon.....but suddenly 27* at 12:30pm. 34* at 4pm. 28* at 8pm.

Some GEFS Members start hitting 60 by the second week of February. SD gives winter till the 10th. The Sun-Angle-Boys will join the fray soon too. But of course we still have that CFSv2 I posted yesterday. That climate model messed up December I believe---but got January right. Our end of month storm has shifted 500 miles to the west from two runs ago and is Sigma -4 overhead---unfortunately with the warm sector on board--- cause it shows no snow and a lot of rain:

The next 8 days are averaging 26degs.(21/30) or -7. Month to date is 33.0[-0.9]. Should be 31.0[-2.6] by the 29th. Reached 44 yesterday (at midnight) and T fell during the day to 24 this midnight. Today: 23-25, wind n., cloudy, then clearing. No tangible 10-Day snows, just BN T's till early February. 17*(46%RH) here at 6am. 16* at 7am. 19* at Noon. 23* at 2pm. 24* at 3:30pm. 22* at 9pm.

CFSv2 not getting enough attention with its February forecast? WARMUP? What, Me Worry? but yes, the end of month blizzard is already OTS

THE BIG KISSOFF ----- BEFORE THE BIG WARMUP ----- in February??? 20" and 35mph winds+any gusts. Never gonna hold up till the 29th/30th. Gone Already? We hardly knew you. Above derived from 12Z but already useless.................. 18Z

The next 8 days are averaging 29degs.(24/33) or -4. Month to date is 32.9[-1.1]. Should be 31.6[-2.0] by the 28th. Reached 49 here yesterday. Today: Falling T's to 19 by tomorrow AM. Precip. till 2pm when T may have reached 32---so little white. Next 10 days BN and dry? Jan. 30 with 15"+ is next, and only, date to follow? 41*(85%RH5) here at 6am,Rain{was 46* at midnite} 40* at 7am, snow line back by Morristown now. 39* at 8am, snow approaching Newark area. 36* at 9am and snow into most of SI. Approaching Jersey City vicinity. 35* and wet snow here at 10am. 33* and wet snow, not sticking anywhere at 11am, moderate snow over and maybe 3hrs. of nothing to go. Just about over at Noon, still 33*, no snow coverage. Went back up to 35 and finally reached 32 at 6pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 29degs.(23/34) or -4. Month to date is 32.6[-1.4]. Should be 31.5[-2.2] by the 27th. Reached 38 here yesterday. Today: 45-47, wind s. and breezy, then w., m. cloudy, breaks. NBM has all its 10 day precip. on Thurs., so a boring, but BN, 10 day stint coming up. 33*(60%RH) here at 6am{was 32 at 3am}. 34* at 7am. 37* at 9am. 41* at 11am. 44* at 1pm. Reached 49* at 3:30pm.

EURO goes south ( again) for the weekend and has little white stuff at any point in its (realistic) time frame for us. So it went from being w. to overhead to e. of us. SNOW IS WHAT YOU THOUGHT YOU SAW...........QUOTE THE RAVEN---NEVERMORE!

The next 8 days are averaging 29degs.(24/33) or -4. Month to date is 32.6[-1.5]. Should be 31.5[-2.3]by the 26th. Reached 44 yesterday in early AM and fell to 37 during the PM. Today: 35-37, wind w. and breezy, variable skies. EURO still with 10" on the weekend as the best snow bid in the next 10 days. Weeklies looked -6 for the next 30 days and 20"+ of snow. 32*(56%RH) here at 6am.{was 31* at 4am}. 38* by 4pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 30degs.(25/35) or -3. Month to date is 32.3[-1.8]. Should be 31.5[-2.2] by the 25th. Reached 40 by midnight, from 12 at 6:30am. Today: Low 40's early, falling slowly to 27 tomorrow AM, drizzle early, cloudy, wind e. changing to w., breezy. Snow outlook not looking good for next 10 days. EURO with 4" on Saturday is the best. 45*(85%RH) here at 6am.{was 46* at 5am}. 44* at 6:30am. 42* at 8am. 40* at 9am. 38* at 11am. 34* at 9pm.

Wind gust and timing have not really changed much for two days:

The next 8 days are averaging 29degs.(22/36) or -4. Reached 21 yesterday. Today: Rising T's to 32 by time any precipitation starts (7pm) and near 40 by tomorrow AM. Wind e. with gusts to 40-50mph near 4am, Monday. 13*(50%RH) here at 6am. 12* at 6:30am. 16* at 9am. 20* at 10:45am. 25* at Noon. 27* at 1pm. 28* at 3pm. 33* by 7:30pm after about 90 mins. of virga/snow. 38* at 10pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 27degs.(20/33) or -6. Reached 43 here yesterday. Today: 23-25, wind n. and breezy early, skies variable, about 10 tomorrow AM. EURO has 70mph gusts for me at 4am, Monday. GFS is 50mph. Only model with snow for the next 10 days is the CMC. 14*(50%RH) here at 6am.{was 24 at midnite}. 13* at 7am. 17* at Noon. 22* at 3pm.

This passes by in a flash, but gets us past 50mph gusts, especially by my location. Too fast to the north to really work on pushing the ocean inland.

The next 8 days are averaging 33degs.(27/40), or just Normal. Reached 48 here yesterday. Today: 42-44 early, then dropping to 15 by tomorrow AM, cloudy early then clearing, wind n. and breezy. Sunday/Mon storm a bust? (for the snow), just wind and rain. CMC has insisted T goes from near 0 to 50+ in a short period Sun.---Mon., for days now.(easterly gale will do that) Good chance for 50mph+ gusts between 9pm Sunday-6am Monday. 42*(80%RH) here at 6am---actually since midnite. 43* at 9am. 39* at 5pm 35* at 6pm. 29* at 10pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 33degs.(27/39), or just Normal. Reached 41 yesterday. Today: 44-47, wind e. to s. to n., variable skies. Sunday/Monday storm still rain mostly in City. Jet streak gusts{from east to south} to 50mph in City early Mon. hours. To 80mph at Montauk Pt. Friday will be breezy{north} too, prior to above. 37*(65%RH) here at 6am. 36* at 7am. 41* at 10am. 47* at Noon. 45* at 1pm. Back up to 48* at 3pm.

Wind Gusts according to the EURO during worst of it: Passes by quickly.

The next 8 days are averaging 30degs.(24/37) or -3. Reached 25 yesterday{midnite} and 21 during the day. Today: 37-40, wind w, m. clear. Sun./Mon storm looks like rain/wind deal here. 25*(66%RH) here at 6am{21 at midnite}. 30* at 9am. 32* at 10am. 36* at Noon, 38* at 1pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 25degs.(20/31) or -8>>>-9 nowadays. Reached 40 yesterday{at midnite} and 32 during the day. Today: T steady near 20, then rising a little overnight, wind n to nw and breezy early, m. clear. GFS Has the MEATS & Cold Cuts---other models just the Cold Cuts---over the next 10 days. GFS has coldest T in 79 years on Jan. 26. 18*(45%RH) here at 6am.{was 25 at midnite} 17* at 8am. 16* at 10am. 21* at 2pm

The next 8 days are averaging 27degs.(21/32) or -6>>>-8 nowadays. Reached 41 yesterday. Today: Falling T's, 32 down to 17 tomorrow AM, wind wnw. and breezy. Variable clouds. EURO lost its Sunday storm and now the GFS has something---musical chairs? CMC is 20". 32*(50%RH) here at 6am.{was 40 at midnite} 30* at 7am. 29* at 9am. 30* at Noon. 32* at 2pm. 28* at 6pm. 27* at 8pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 27degs.(21/32) or -6>>>-8 nowadays. Month to date is 36.0[+1.4]. Should be 31.5[-2.5] by the 17th. Reached 35 yesterday. Today: 39-42, wind w. and breezy, cloudy, rain by 3pm, 22 by tomorrow AM. EURO has the Snow next Sunday. GFS has the cold, but is zippo till about the 20th. 32*(80%RH) here at 6am.{was 30 overnite} 34* at 7am.

The next 8 days are averaging 30degs.(25/34) or -3>>>-5 nowadays. Highest T is 37 for next 16 days. Reached 36 yesterday(midnite) and 34 during the day. Today: 30-32, wind w., m. clear. 22*(57%RH) here at 6am. 30* at 2pm.