CIK62

Too Late to Turn Back Now:

We're in the Money---You Can Bet Your Snow Boots Honey.....................Short Stocks not the GFS: Of more immediate concern between midnight and tomorrow morning:

Those higher gusts seem to involve inland areas more now. Rain is about 0.6". Meanwhile this overly optimistic Next 16:

The next 8 days are averaging 43degs.(34/51) or +7. Month to date is 35.8[+1.1]. Should be 38.2[+3.0]. by the 25th. Reached 47 yesterday at midnight. Suddenly GFS has 6" of snow before month is over and during the first week of March cannot even reach 40 degrees eke! Models play a strange game of Poker. Today: 55-60, wind s. and breezy-then gusty late,40+mph at JFK., cloudy, rain by 9pm. 51*(77%RH) here at 6am. 52* at 7am. 58* at 9pm. Down to 52* at Noon. Spent the afternoon between 49-53. 48* at 8pm, some ground fog. Back up to 55* at 10pm.

GFS borrowing a turbine. Looks similar to 06Z:

The next 8 days are averaging 41degs.(33/50) or +5. Month to date is 35.6[+0.9]. Should be 37.5[+2.3] by the 24th. Yesterday: Reached 34* here. Today: 44-47, wind s. to w., variable clouds, 43-48 by tomorrow AM. 31*(64%RH) here at 6am.{was 29* at midnight} 35* at 9pm. 40* at Noon. 42* at 2pm. 45* at 11pm. Wind-Rain Thurs. night. About 0.6" by Friday Noon. Latest gusts on the GFS:

Still looking good on the CFS Extended:

The next 8 days are averaging 39degs.(31/47) or +4. Month to date is 36.5[+1.9]. Should be 37.4[+2.5] by the 23rd. Reached 27 here yesterday. Today: 27-30, wind w. to s. late, m. clear, T steady overnight, 27 by tomorrow AM Chance of at least 1" of snow during the next 16 days is under 50%. 18*(48%RH) here at 6am. 20* at 9am. 25* at Noon. 27* at 1pm. Reached 34* around 4pm. 29* at 6pm.

THE MONTH OF MARCH "CFS Extended STYLE":

The next 8 days are averaging 37degs.(29/45) or +2. Month to date is 36.0[+2.8]. Should be 36.4[+2.5] by the 22nd. Reached 44 yesterday back at midnight. 31-35 during the PM. 18*(48%RH) here at 6am.{was 26 at midnight} 17* at 7am. 22* at Noon. Reached 27* at 4:30pm. 25* at 6pm. 22* at 10pm.

YOU KNOW ITS BAD WHEN THE MOST EXCITING UPCOMING WINTER EVENT IS A POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNING ON FRIDAY. THAT COULD HAPPEN AT ANY TIME OF THE YEAR. WE WANT A BLIZZARD!

The next 8 days are averaging 37degs.(30/44) or +2. Month to date is 38.1[+3.7]. Should be 36.9[+3.0] by the 21st. WINTER TO DATE: 74 Days>> +1.2 Storm on Friday to our nw.(Montreal)(980mb), in combination with a 1044mb. high in the mid-Atlantic-----will give us high winds++, from the south that day. Reached 60 here yesterday. Today: 35 to 32 till 3pm with wet snow, 2"?, wind n., clearing by tomorrow AM and down to 21. 35*(82%RH) here at 6am,{was 44*at midnight} wet snow---cartops white, streets just wet. Finally 32* at 4:30pm.

CFSv2 ON THE MONEY? IT KEEPS COMING UP GREEN:

The next 8 days are averaging 40degs.(32/47) or +5. Month to date is 37.0[+2.7]. Should be 38.2[+3.7] by the 20th. WARNING SHOT AGAIN---The CFSv2 looks scary cold everywhere for the next 30 to 45 days. Texas gets the worst of it---so lucky for all it is not January being talked about. March 8-11 looked............{fill in} lol! Now B.t.R.: Reached 53 at midnight yesterday after just reaching 48 during the daylight. Today: 53-56 early, dropping late to 36 by tomorrow AM, cloudy with breaks. 53*(47%RH) here at 6am. 58* at 1pm. Fell back to 56* but was: 60* at 3pm. 48* at 9pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 40degs.(33/48) or +5. Month to date is 35.9[+1.6]. Should be. 37.7[+3.1] by the 19th. Ground white or up to 2" snow Sunday/Monday on the strength of low T/high ratio? Reached 54 here yesterday. Today: 55, m. clear, few clouds, wind s. 44*(48%RH) here at 6am. 42* at 7am. 47* at Noon. Only reached 48* at 5pm. Up to 53* at 11pm.

SOME HOPE?...... OR JUST A ROPE A' DOPE......with an emphasis on the Dope. The Control for this is completely opposite, however:

The next 8 days are averaging 37degs.(29/44) or +2. The next 16 have a winter is over look. WARNING SHOT: CFSv2 still has not caved and looks frigid thru March---except for first days of March---hee, hee, heee!---it's a trick. Month to date is 34.8[+0.6]. Should be 35.8[+1.3] by the 18th. Just a snowstorm of the mind Sunday/Monday, I am afraid. GEFS with just a 50% chance of at least 1" snow for the next 16 days---and it is all from Sunday/Monday. Reached 43 here yesterday. Today: 48-51, wind w., breezy at times, cloudy---clearing by PM, 40 by tomorrow AM. 40*(80%RH) here at 6am. 48* at Noon. 52* at 1pm. 55* at 4pm.

WHEN EVERYTHING JIBES WE GET THIS:

The next 8 days are averaging 34degs.(27/40) or -1. Volatile pattern which may not work out. Month to date is 34.5[+0.5]. Should be 34.2[-0.3] by the 17th. Reached 42 here yesterday. Today: 43-46, wind w. to s., m.clear and cloudy tonight, 40 tomorrow AM. 70% chance of at least an 1" by Tuesday PM----was 50% yesterday. 31*(61%RH) here at 6am. Reached 43* at4pm.

EVEN GIVEN THE FULL 16 DAYS, THE GEFS CAN NOT EVEN GUARANTEE A 1" MIN. FOR US:

CHANCE OF AT LEAST 1" from the GEFS:

The next 8 days are averaging 37degs.(29/44) or +3. Month to date is 33.9[-0.1]. Should be 35.5[+1.6] by the 16th. Reached 40 here yesterday. For the Super Bowl Sunday event, the GFS/EURO say---take your boat 300 miles east and prepare to shovel the deck clear. Today: 43-45, wind w., breezy, cloudy-clearing early, 32 by tomorrow AM. 37*(92%RH) here at 6am. 44* at Noon. 40* at 4pm and clouded up. 36* at 8pm.

CFSext. still not worried about the last 10 days of February:

The next 8 days are averaging 36degs.(29/43) or +2. Reached 38 here yesterday. Today: 37-40, rain till 3pm, wind e. to n., 35 tomorrow AM. Only real snow chance 13th.-17th. 36*(74%RH) here at 6am. 35* at 7am.{was 34* at 2am.}. 39* at Noon.

The next 8 days break the string and are going AN apparently: 37(30/44) or +3. Reached 29 here yesterday PM and back at midnight too. Today: 30-32, wind e.,s. to e., m.clear but cloudier late, little T change overnight, 30 by AM tomorrow. Small snow chance, say 13th.-17th. 20*(53%RH) here at 6am. 24* at 9am. 28* at Noon. Reached 37* at 4:30pm. 32* at 6pm. up to 34* at 10pm.