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CIK62

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Everything posted by CIK62

  1. CIK62
    After clipping western Cuba: The HMON is farther west and weaker after visiting the Yucatan area.
  2. CIK62
    Somewhere between Yucatan and western Cuba as entry point to the GOM.
  3. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 63degs.(55/70) or -3. Month to date is 72.9[+2.0]. Should be 69.2[+1.4] by the 30th. Reached 76 here yesterday. Today: 74-80 early, wind s. to sw. to n., variable clouds,pm rain?, low 50's by tomorrow AM. 71*(94%RH) at 7am.-TS missed to the north. 74* at 9am. 75* at 10am. Reached 77* at 11:30am. 64* by 2pm. 63* at 3pm. Back up to 70* at 5pm. 72* at 5:30pm. Back down to 63* by 9pm. 60* at 11pm.
  4. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 66degs.(57/72) or -1. Month to date is 73.0[+2.0]. Should be 71.0[+1.1] by the 29th. Reached 79 here yesterday. Today: 75-80, wind w., variable skies, 68 tomorrow AM-raining by 8am. 67*(75%RH) here at 7am. 69* at 9am. 71*/70* at Noon. 72* at 2pm. Reached 76* at 3pm. 72* at 7pm.
  5. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 67degs.(60/75) or +1. Month to date is 73.0[+1.8]. Should be 71.3[+1.6] by the 28th. Reached 84 here yesterday. Today: 78-83, wind w.-nw--breezy, variable clouds, 65 tomorrow AM. Sat. Oct. 01 >>>>> 40-60mph winds from the e./se and 3" Rain ??? 69*(93%RH) here at 7am. 70* at 9am. 73* at Noon. 77* at 3pm. Reached 79* at 5pm.
  6. CIK62
    Starting off October on the wrong foot? Remember the SOR is back at 1983 levels. This system could mean oil rig shutdowns.
  7. CIK62
    Not so good for Bermuda. A rough Thursday night. 175km *0.62 = 110mph wind before gusts. Rain would be 5".
  8. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 69degs.(61/77) or +2. Month to date is 72.8[+1.4]. Should be 71.6[+1.6] by the 27th. Reached 84 here yesterday. Today: 82-86, wind w., clouding up, rain by 6pm?, 67 tomorrow AM. 70*(85%RH) here at 7am. 71* at 9am. 77* at Noon. 80* at 1pm. Reached 84* at 4pm. Quick Rain at 5:30pm. 72* at 6pm.
  9. CIK62
    Yep. Get ready for a see-saw T Regime during the next 15 days. Today's 14C+ 850mb T and 5700m THK becomes the 0C and 5445m THK around the 23rd and then back up to 19C! 850mb T and 5700m THK again for the first days of October. Supposedly results in this: It was 93 in early October 2019.
  10. CIK62
    Real tight with the GEFS. EURO has several members to the west of average.
  11. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 77degs.(62/77) or +3. Month to date is 72.6[+1.1]. Should be 71.8[+1.7] by the 26th. Reached 76 here yesterday. Today: 81-86, wind e. to se., some clouds, 70 tomorrow AM. 67*(92%RH) here at 7am. 69* at 9am. 70* at 10am. 74* at Noon. 80* at 3pm. 82* at 4pm. Reached 84* at 5pm.
  12. CIK62
    Almost GONE: EURO Wind Swath shows path. Some wind here Friday PM. Not so good for Bermuda next Friday: 150km *0.62 or about 90mph, before any gusts.
  13. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 73degs.(64/82) or +5. Month to date is 72.8[+1.1]. Should be 72.8[+2.8] by the 25th. Reached 79 here yesterday. Today: 73-78, wind e. to s. to sw., clearing skies, 66 tomorrow AM. 66*(65%RH) here at 7am. 69* at 9am. 70* at 11am. 71* at Noon. 72* at 2pm. 73* at 3pm. 74* at 3:30pm. Reached 76* at 5pm. 71* at 8pm.
  14. CIK62
    Just 2:1 in favor of an AN winter here as of now. I think it was about 4.3:1 in favor of AN last year. It actually shows a BN winter in the NW states that border with Canada. Now how often, if ever, is there a BN-3-Month Outlook that shows up as BN. KEEP FOR FUTURE REFERENCE. Hope Santa does not need an AC to keep his reindeer cool as they approach NYC> LOL
  15. CIK62
    EURO keeps Fiona on board and in play 10 days from now: Up the coast looks like path of least resistance? More members to the west and a slowed down system. Trapped or blocked perhaps? Still no circulation at 500mb.
  16. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 74degs.((65/83) or +6. There is almost No Rain for the next 15 days. Month to date is 73.3[+1.4]. Should be 73.5[+3.0] by the 24th. Reached 77 here yesterday. Today: 74-78, wind n. to ne., m. sunny-clouds late, 65 tomorrow AM. FIONA turns RightOnRed......GWTW it would seem. 61*(54%RH) at 7am. 63* at 9am. 66* at Noon. 69* at 2pm. 73* at 3pm. 76* at 3:30pm. 77*(38%RH) at 4pm. Reached 79* at 5pm. 70* at 10pm.
  17. CIK62
    Hope something survives this trajectory to really get going. It looks like all the paths are doing some kind of topology study of all the islands. HMON does have it self=destructing. HWRF has it going strong.
  18. CIK62
    While the GFS' FIONA tries to become the Duchess of Earl by following her lover OTS, the EURO and the further west CMC are like this in 10 days from now: Many more iterations to come.
  19. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 75degs.(66/84) or +7. Month to date is 73.6[+1.6]. Should be 74.1[+3.5] by the 23rd. Reached 81 here yesterday. Today: 73-78, wind nw.-breezy, m. sunny, 59 tomorrow AM. 65*(54%RH) at 7am. 64* at 8am. 65* at 9am. 68* at Noon. 70* at 2pm. 72* at 3pm. 73* at 3:30pm. 75* at 4pm. 76*(30%RH) at 5pm. 77*(28%RH) at 5:30pm. 70* at 8pm.
  20. CIK62
    That's more like it. This is a fast mover. This is the 24 Hour Rain, but it really falls in just 12 Hours:
  21. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 74degs.(66/83) or +5. Month to date is 73.8[+1.6]. Should be 73.9[+2.9] by the 22nd. Reached 86 here yesterday. Yes, but the ENS. just has general BN pressure along the whole EC at that time. In the running, I guess: Today: 78-84, wind nw.-breezy, m. sunny, 64 tomorrow AM. 64*(74%RH) here at 7am. 66* at 9am. 70* at 11am. 79* at 3pm. 80* at 3:30pm. Reached 81* at 5pm. 77* at 8pm.
  22. CIK62
    There was a TORNADO WARNING till 5am. Anyone note anything? CI was mentioned, but I slept through whatever it was. The next 8 days are averaging 75degs.(67/84) or +6. Month to date is 73.8[+1.5]. Should be 74.3[+3.3] by the 21st. HW from the 18-26? Little new rains after today for the duration. EURO loaded up with 90's too. What's Up? The T....You Idiot. Reached 84 here yesterday. Today: 77-83, wind w., clearing late, 65 tomorrow. 72*(95%RH) here at 7am. 76* at 9am. 78* at 10am. 79* at Noon. 80* at 1pm. 82*(78%RH) at 3pm, feels like 88*. 85*(74%RH) at 5pm, feels like 94*. Reached 86*(62%RH) at 5:30pm, feels like 92*. 75*(45%RH) at 9pm.
  23. CIK62
    CALL THIS---GIVING THE GFS A 'RUN' FOR ITS MONEY: (no rain after tomorrow all the way to boot) Today's damages by me: {{{69*(99%RH) here at 7am, variable fog. 71* at 8am and most fog gone. 73* at 10am with breaks in the clouds. 76* at Noon. 79* at 3pm. 81*(74%RH) at 4pm, feels like 85. 84*(70%RH) at 5pm, feels like 91. }}}
  24. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 75(67/83) or +6. Reached 76 here yesterday. Today: 77-82, wind mostly n., cloudy, rain after 6pm?, 70 tomorrow AM. 69*(99%RH) here at 7am, variable fog. 71* at 8am and most fog gone. 73* at 10am with breaks in the clouds. 76* at Noon. 79* at 3pm. 81*(74%RH) at 4pm, feels like 85. 84*(70%RH) at 5pm, feels like 91. During the Major Crime Incident this AM{woman drowned her 3 kids apparently---at W. 35th St.} a score of FD/PD/EMS units were running around Surf Ave.---in and out of the fog.
  25. CIK62
    The next 8 days are averaging 73degs.(65/81) or about +3. Reached 81 here yesterday. Today: 72-78, wind e., overcast, rain by 2pm., 68 tomorrow AM. Coastal NJ cut in half on this run. NYC still near 1". 72*(80%RH) here at 7am. 74* at 9pm. Reached 76* at 1pm. 71* at 7pm and decent rain.
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