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CIK62

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  1. UP UP And AWAY.............with my beautiful Thermometer: Gonna be the hottest start to any year ever with this nonsense. +17 by Jan. 06??????? Of Note: From: 10pm Friday to 1pm Tuesday<<<<<<32 continuously. From Dec.29 to Jan. 05 and beyond?>>>>>32 continuously. The Ens. is +11 here. Op is +17.
  2. Looks awful along 74W(and a lot more than that) starting about the 28th thru Jan. 05 minimum: Even if EURO Weeklies are right, the first 7-10 days of January are going to be a 'throw away'. YOU BURN ME UP.........................................................................................................
  3. The next 8 days are averaging 31degs.(25/38) or -3. Month to date is 40.6[Normal]. Should be 37.8[-0.9] by the 28th. Reached 37 here yesterday. Today: 36-39, wind nw., p. sunny, 30 tomorrow AM. The maximum wind gusts here: Wind picks up late Thursday and quiets down Saturday night. About 2" of rain during this period. T should drop quickly from 57 to 16 in a matter of hours(Friday afternoon-evening) 33*(64%RH) here at 6am(since midnight actually). 33* at 9pm. 35* at 11am. 36* at Noon. Reached 39* at 3pm. 38* at 5pm. 33* at 9pm.
  4. Add 10 for the EURO and 15 for the GFS.........but is the CMC right? Multiple single digit runs. A 6 day average of 16!
  5. Look where you have to be Jan. 02, AM to have even a slight chance at <20*. Our only chances here are the 25th, 26th AM periods. (not shown) Now as far wind from the failed snowstorm are concerned, they are peaking here, then quickly dropping to 30+:
  6. The next 8 days are averaging 36degs.(30/43) or +2. Month to date is 40.9[+0.2]. Should be 39.4[+0.7] by the 27th. Reached 39 here yesterday. Today: 36-39, wind w. to nw.-breezy, m. sunny, 30 tomorrow AM. 32*(75%RH) here at 6am. 31* at 7am. 32* at 9am. 35* at Noon. 37* at 2pm. 36* at 3pm. 35* at 4pm.
  7. Again let me stress that it seems to me everyone of these wind gust posts I have made, have failed to live up to the billing they had. I live near the open ocean and should have noted some of these past gusts---but they have failed since the summer I'd say. So for the record here are the gusts out of the southeast---hence no snow.....................
  8. THIS................ becomes THIS and seems Normal overall for the 10 days.
  9. The next 8 days are averaging 37degs.(31/43) or +2. Month to date is 41.2[+0.3]. Should be 39.8[+0.8] by the 26th. Reached 43 here yesterday. Today: 37-40, wind w., variable clouds, 31 tomorrow AM. Read 'Em and Weep: A muted cold spell and no snow, then toasted marsh mellows for all............ Use sunglasses to view for your own safety: 35*(80%) here at 6am. 36* at 9am. 37* at Noon. 38* at 1pm. Reached 39* at 3pm. 35* at 9pm.
  10. 50+ might creep in here on NYD and give the CI Polar Bears an easy go of it. 70+ is just as likely as our 50+ by the time you get down to the Cape Hatteras area. Not shown. Worse than that I am afraid. The Rossby Wave output, for what it is worth, has never shown the Christmas freeze and now I see it does not even have the BN back to coast in a meaningful way anymore in January. Don't be surprised if Christmas cold goes bye bye.
  11. The next 8 days are averaging 35degs.(31/40)or Normal Reached 48 here yesterday. Today: 40-43, wind w.-breezy early, p. sunny, 32 tomorrow AM. Forget the snow and emphasize the T.............. Rossby Waves are a train wreck till Jan. 10 as I showed earlier. Trouble is they did not have the BN period which might occur first----before the furnace. 38*(83%RH) here at 6am. 39* at 8am. 40* at 10am. 42* at Noon. 43* at 1pm. 41* at 3pm. 39* at 9pm.
  12. HELP ME----I'M FALLING. The EURO even goes to 60 before the Arctic? surge arrives. Neither has any 10 Day snow. The GFS is 32 with a lot of snow at the same time.time:
  13. The next 8 days are averaging 35degs.(31/38) or Normal. Month to date is 41.3[+0.1]. Should be 39.1[Normal] by the 24th. Reached 46 here yesterday. Nurse: NO CHANGE DOCTOR Doctor: UNPLUG THE PATIENT......................... Today: T falling to 38, wind ne. to n. to w.-breezy early, cloudy, rain till 8pm, 35 tomorrow AM. 46*(92%RH) here at 6am. 47* at 8am. 47*/48* at Noon. 39* at 4pm. Back up to 41* at 9pm.
  14. Hip-Hip-Hooray. Look who just found out about the Christmas Party: It's Ensemble is almost 100% now for at least 1" before the year ends. Lol We might want to start hyping single digits near Christmas, instead of the snow. Some chance here for single digits Christmas AM:
  15. The next 8 days are averaging 35degs.(31/38) or Normal {I use the 1960's averages, so reduce by 3.2degs.! And congratulations---we are having a December which would might be considered Normal for the 1960's--- at least for part of the month} We will never get any snow here this month at this rate: 0% before the 23rd. Has remained constant for days. EURO has 7" on the 23rd---not the Ens., however. After some 1st Inning problems, the GFS pitches a Shutout: Month to date is 41.5[+0.2]. Should be 39.1[+0.1] by the 23rd. Reached 39 here yesterday. Today: Rising to low 40's, wind e.-breezy, rain/mix? starting at 1pm and continuing to tomorrow, 42 tomorrow AM. 37*(70%RH) here at 6am. {was 35* at 1am.} 40* at 9am. 42* at Noon. 45* at 3pm. 46* at 7pm.
  16. A Wee-Bit closer to 1"? Imagine having to cheer for 1" in this pattern. But keeps showing up like this for days.
  17. The next 8 days are averaging 35degs.(31/38) or -1. Chance for at least 1" of snow still going nowhere: It is 0% here till the 22nd. Good News for Christmas, T wise however, >>> Avg. 16degs.(12/20)! Month to date is 42.0[+0.6]. Should be 39.3[+0.2] by the 23rd. Reached 39 here yesterday. Today: 36-39, wind nw. to ne.-breezy early, m. sunny, 34 tomorrow AM. 32*(60%RH) here at 7am. 31* at 8am. 34* at Noon. 36* at 1pm. 37* at 2pm Reached 39* at 3pm. 38* at 5pm. 36^ at 10pm.
  18. Area with at least some % of exceeding 12". We don't even rate in the 1".
  19. HAPPY NEW YEAR FROM ROSSBY: gets worse before................. ............WE'RE SORRY UPS LOST YOUR X-MAS PACKAGE---PLEASE ACCEPT A SUBSTITUTE:
  20. Snowfall % continues to disappoint around here for the next 15 days: T's OK and at least one sub 20 reading,( Dec. 21-28) looks good.
  21. The next 8 days are averaging 36degs.(32/39) or Normal. Month to date is 42.8[+1.2]. Should be 40.1[+0.7] by the 21st. Reached 37 here yesterday. Today: 36-39, wind nw., m.sunny, 28 tomorrow AM. 27*(70%RH) here at 6am. 30* at 10am. 33* at Noon. Reached 39* at 3pm. 36* at 9pm.
  22. While constantly claiming for weeks we will be 10 BN each upcoming Week, Month, 45-Day Period---the CFS just keeps at it: Analog forecasting is not the way to go this season, I guess...................Do they ever update this thing?
  23. The next 8 days are averaging 36degs.(32/41) or Normal. Starting Dec. 22 AM and continuing to the end of the run, there is a chance of a sub 20 T reading. % peaks Christmas AM? Chances for snow continue to disappoint. Chance of 1"+ over the next 15 days. Chance is 0% before the 20th. Reached 46 here yesterday at 1:30pm. Today: 38-41, wind n. to nw-breezy, p. cloudy, 28 tomorrow AM. 35*(85%RH) here at 6am. 34* at 7am. 38* at 11am. 39* at 2pm. 37* at 3pm. 32* at 9pm.
  24. For the record---as of today---here is the % of a T=32 or less on Christmas morning. Minnesota and N. Dakota probably will have the lowest US T's, but seemed to be colder prior to the holiday:
  25. Running 'Out of the Money' Chance for at least 1" in the next 15 days is going nowhere either----still 50/50..............but chance of a T <= 20 has increased for the time around Christmas. HEY! While we wait for snow action this season............relive some past events since 1950. Check out this date in 1960 to see what can happen snow wise early in the season: https://thestarryeye.typepad.com/weather/2014/11/each-winters-snowstorms-1970-2014.html
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