CIK62
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The next 8 days are averaging 46degs.(39/54) or +10. Month to date is 37.3[+3.0]. Should be 41.0[+5.9] by the 20th. Reached 49 here yesterday at 4pm. Today: 46-49, wind sw. to s. to e. to ne. to n by tomorrow AM, increasing clouds, drizzle overnight---0.15", 38 tomorrow AM. Ridge Down for the Count? 38*(59%RH) here at 6am. 39* at 8am. 41* at 8:30am. 43* at 10am. 45* at 10:30am. 47* at 11am. Reached 48* at 11:30am. 44* at 9pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 46degs.(40/53) or +10. Month to date is 37.0[+2.7]. Should be 41.0[+5.9] by the 19th. Reached 58 here yesterday. Today: 43-46, wind nw. to w., p. sunny, 38 tomorrow AM. EURO TC's for the next 15 days are a complete train wreck with just the WPO Neg. for a shot. All others are the opposite of what we want. Going to be another Top 10 Warm February. There must be 10 of them with the ties since 1990. Best chance for BN Day is the 18th. 26 Days Down and still waiting: Ridge weakening and backing into the GOM where it better get flatten or else.......... 38*(48%RH) here at 6am. 37* at 7am. 38* at 9am. 41* at Noon. 45* at 2pm. 47* at 4pm. Reached 49* at 4pm. 44* at 5pm. 41* at 10pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 45degs.(40/51) or +9. Month to date is 35.2[+1.0]. Should be 39.8[+4.7] by the 18th. Reached 50 here yesterday. Today: Slowing falling T's from near 60, wind sw. to w-breezy, m. sunny, 35 tomorrow AM. The last week of the month is now Toasted Almonds and we get this for Week 1 in March. Keep pushing it forward boys and the headline will be........... Memorial Day Weekend is a Snow Out in the Northeast. lol 58*(75%RH) here at 6am{was 48* at midnight and 58* at 3am}. 59* at 7am. 57* at 8am. 56* at 9am. 56* at Noon. 55* at 1pm. 57* at 2pm. 57*/58* all PM. 53* at 6pm. 47* at 10pm.
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The next 8 days look +Double Digit. Avg. 46(40/52) or +10.
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The next 8 days are averaging 44degs.(39/50) or +8. Month to date is 33.5[-0.6]. Should be 38.8[+3.4] by the 17th. Reached 57 here yesterday at 4pm. No Cool Down on the Ens. Op is much better late. 0% till the 21st. and not much better thereafter: 43*(63%RH) here at 6am. 45* at 8am. 47* at 9am. 50* at 11am. 49* at Noon. 50* at 3pm. 48* at6pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 43degs.(38/49) or +7. Month to date is 31.7[-2.3]. Should be 36.7[+2.6] by the 16th. Reached 42 here yesterday at 4pm. Big Cool Down Coming: Fooled Ya. Can not get below freezing even. 39*(78%RH) here at 6am. 44* at 9am. 46* at 9:30am. 47* at 10am. 48* at Noon. 50* at 2pm. 52* at 2:30pm. 53* at 3pm. Reached 56* at 4pm. 54* at 5pm. 45* at 11pm.
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0% till Sunday/Monday then dead till the 18th, when some tail end period snow might happen. Basically FORGET SNOW for the City till week 3 when I am sure you all will be able to muster up some wet flakes to make at least one snowball. Here is your first BN Week: The 30-Day Period beginning Feb. 18 looks BN too. That damn Gulf Stream won't cool and you really need Arctic air to do battle with it for a biggie storm. Comes too late. Well at least March 1958 had 16" here. However not a good analog since it snowed nicely all season too.
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The next 8 days are averaging 40degs.(35/45) or +5. Reached 51 yesterday at 1pm. Today: 40-43, wind e. to s. to w., clouds late, steady near 40 overnight. Getting closer to the real thing---so fantasy outputs becoming more likely: No Ens. support for it. 33*(55%RH) here at 6am. 32* at 7am. 36* at 9am. 38* at 10am. 39* at Noon. 40* at 1pm. 41* at 2pm.
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This is the only 24 Hour Period that has any chance of leaving an inch+: The 20th +/- a day has a tiny chance too.
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The next 8 days are averaging 41degs.(36/47) or +6. Reached 47 here yesterday at 8pm. Today: 47-51, wind nw., p. sunny, 34 tomorrow AM. If the CFSv2 only Had a Brain: 42*(69%RH) here at 6am. 45* at 9am. 50* at 11am. 50* at Noon. 51* at 1pm. 49* at 2pm. 46* at 4pm. 43* at 8pm. 39* at 10pm.
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The next 8 days are averaging 40degs.(34/47) or +5. Reached 27 here yesterday. I got down to 5 for about two hours yesterday AM. Today: 44-46, wind sw., variable clouds, 40 tomorrow AM. Not many pages are going to be used here in the next 15 days talking about winter. Chance of Snow is Nil till first week of March---when it might be BN: 31*(59%RH) here at 6am{was 26 at midnight}. 32* at 7am. 34* at 9am. 40* at Noon. 42* at 1pm. 45* at 3pm. 46* at 6pm. 47* at 9pm. 45* at 10pm.
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Snow Less or Clue Less? It snowed on Jan. 18, 1998 (0.5") but not again for 63 days---March 22(5.0"). This time we would be in April. Sounds about right. Captain Reno has no map.
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All the Next 30 look similar. IT'S OVER unless there is an accidental snowstorm---just like the accidental single digit bookend days to the warmest winter period ever.
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The next 8 days are averaging 41degs.(34/48) or +6. Reached 35 here yesterday at 3am, in the teens daytime. Today: Rising T's from near 0 to 20 by sunset, 29 tomorrow AM, wind w.-breezy, p. sunny. NOW HERE COMES THE 70's: +5*(43%RH) here at 6am. 6* at 8am. 15* at Noon. 24* at 3pm. 26* at 4pm. Reached 27* at 4:30pm.
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Coney Island Job Box: 30*(50%RH) here at 6am{was 35 at 3am}. 27* at 7am. 25* at 8am. 24* at 10am. 23* at 11am. 24* again at Noon. 23* at 3pm. 20* at 5pm. 18* at 6pm. 14* at 9pm. 13* at 10pm. Figuring on +5 to +9 by tomorrow AM.
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The next 8 days are averaging 35degs.(28/42) or Near Normal. Reached 40 here yesterday at 4pm. Today: Falling T's from 27 to 20 by 7pm. to 8 tomorrow AM, wind nw-gusty, p. sunny. Latest GFS runs have been all over the place: Chance for an inch+ of snow is still anemic and is 0% till Feb. 11, above. 30*(50%RH) here at 6am{was 35 at 3am}. 27* at 7am. 25* at 8am. 24* at 10am. 23* at 11am. 24* again at Noon. 23* at 3pm. 20* at 5pm. 18* at 6pm. 14* at 9pm. 13* at 10pm.
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The GFS and the Controls for both are equally bad and virtually all identical. I am rooting for another No. 1. {+6.2} The cold start might kill any record but the cold does not arrive till March. Chance of a new No. 1 Warm February at 10% versus an ordinary chance of <1% because of what we know already versus a randomly chosen February. A Top Tenner at 60%.{+3.7} Week 4 looks like this: Cold is pushing south and east......but to what end?
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Hey! What are you waving at? The bus doesn't stop here anymore! In a real sense the bus may not stop here anymore. The MTA is getting rid of 1000's of Bus Stops City Wide. To speed up your ride while you walk 3 or 4 extra blocks to your new stop---missing the bus in the process.
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The next 8 days are averaging 35degs.(28/42)or +1. Reached 43 here yesterday at 4pm. Today: 38-41, wind w=breezy late., m. sunny, 25 tomorrow AM. Yep. The EURO is a hot one. Sneaky cold near the 11th. for some snow? 31*(69%RH) here at 6am. 35* at Noon. 37* at 1pm. Reached 40* at 4pm. 37* at 8pm.
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This ugly batch, or is that bitch?----averages a nasty 42degs.(37/47) or about +6 or +7. Note that 42.0 is the record for February and the month is on an upward tilt. If this is near an accurate picture of the first 17 days---the last 11 days would need to stay about +5 or less or we'll have another record month on the books. I think 9 out of the 12 warmest months are from the last 32 years now. The 12 coldest months have an average age of 123 years! And the GFS pitches another shutout:
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Latest CANSIPS offers some hope:
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The next 8 days are averaging 35degs.(28/42) or +1. Reached 48 here yesterday at 3am---40 daytime-2pm. Today: 35-38, wind n. to nw., cloudy early, clearing by 1pm., 29 tomorrow AM. Up the Creek with a new Streak Now? 29*(64%RH) here at 6am. Finally some snow cover-beach is white with thin covering, 0.1" on edge of my balcony, car tops white---but streets just wet. Probably happened from 4pm-6pm. 33* at 9pm. 34* at 10pm. 35* at Noon 36* at 1pm. 41* at 3pm. Reached 43* at 4pm. 37* at 7pm. 32* at 10pm.
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Week 1 Averaging 33(26/40) or-1. Week 2 Averaging 41(34/48) or +6. GFS correctly got Week 1 in January as about +15. Chance of snow tonight through tomorrow PM: Unfortunately, this does not change again till the 12th.
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The last day of January is averaging 39degs.(30/48) or +6. Month to date is 43.6[+9.9]. January will end at 43.8[+9.8]. First Place. Reached 55 here yesterday at 3pm. Today: Steady T's 37-40 falling to 30 by tomorrow AM, wind nw, mostly cloudy, drizzle, snow showers. Saturday looks like 7 to 12 for the low. EURO gave up finally on all those sub-zeros it was showing. Then a Read em and Weep warmup in Week 2: 38*(78%RH) here at 6am.{was 48* at 3am} 37* at 7am. 36* at 9am. 39* at Noon. 39* at 2pm---flurries. 40* at 3pm. 37* at 9pm.
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Chances for a Single Digit morning on Feb. 04:
