CIK62

The next 8 days are averaging 42degs.(37/48) or -1. Month to date is 41.9[+1.8]. Should be 41.9[+0.7] by the 21st. Reached 48 here yesterday at 3pm. Today: 42-44, wind e. to n., rain all day, 37 tomorrow AM. 42*(85%RH) here at 7am, rain. 44* at 9am. 46* at 10am. Reached 47* at Noon. 43* at 9pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 43degs.(38/48) or Normal. Month to date is 42.0[+2.0]. Should be 42.4[+1.1] by the 20th. Reached 46 here yesterday at 1am, 44 in the daytime. Today: 46-48, wind n. to e., clouding up late, 39 tomorrow AM. 35*(70%RH) here at 7am. 38* at 10am. 47* at Noon. Reached 48* at 2pm. 44* at 5pm. 42* at 10pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 42degs.(36/48) or -1. Month to date is 42.2[+2.3]. Should be 41.1[+0.9] by the 19th. Reached 48 here yesterday at Noon. Today: 41-43, rain till 1pm, wind ne., 35 tomorrow AM. 42*(85%RH) here at 6am{was 46 at 1am} 40* at 7am. 39* at 8am. 38* at 9am. 37* at 9:30am. 42* at Noon. 44* at 2pm. 42* at 6pm. 39* at 10pm.

Finishing out of the money on this one too.

The next 8 days are averaging 40degs.(35/46) or -3. Reached 53 here yesterday at 4:30pm. Today: 44-47, wind ne. to se., clouding up, rain by 5pm, 38 tomorrow AM and breezy. It is over folks: 38*(58%RH) here at 6am{was 37 at 5am} 41* at 8am. 43* at 9am. 47* at 10:30am. 48* at Noon. 46* at 1pm. 43* at 5pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 39degs.(33/45) or -4. Month to date is 42.4[+2.8]. Should be 40.7[-0.6] by the 17th. Reached 49 here yesterday. Today: 47-49, wind n. to ne., variable clouds, 35 tomorrow AM. 34*(64%RH) here at 6am. 40* at 10am. 45* at Noon. 47* at 1pm. Reached 53* at 4:30pm. 43° at 9pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 38degs.(32/43) or about -5. Reached 47 here yesterday. Today: 46-48, wind nw.-breezy, m. sunny, 33 tomorrow AM. 31*(59%RH) here at 6am. 34* at 9am. 37* at 10am. 41* at Noon. 44* at 2pm. Reached 49* at 4:30pm. 40* at 9pm. 38* at 10pm. Anyone know which NYC March this was? When March Could Be March Didn't Need No Stinkin' GFS! March 5 2.0" March 7 T March 15 1.8" March 16 0.8" March 17 3.0" March 19 8* March 21 0.8" March 22 9.0" March 23 T

EURO continues as an Ass Wipe. How to go from 20" to No Inches in one easy Wipe.

The next 8 days are averaging 39degs.(33/45) or -3/-4. Reached 54 here yesterday. Today: 43-45, wind nw.-breezy, partial clearing, 30 tomorrow AM. Big Storm---Now New Date: The EURO is becoming an Ass Wipe of a model. 35*(73%RH) here at 6am, snow flurries, streets wet, car tops white{was 34 at 5:30am and 47 back at midnight} 40* at 10am. 42* at 11am. 43* at 1pm. Reached 47* at 3pm. 40* at 6pm.

By the time this output shows a Precipitation Type S-------there is about 2 hours of precipitating left to go and the T is probably 37. KNYC NEW YORK CITY GFS LAMP 0130 UTC 3/07/2023 UTC 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 TMP 47 46 45 43 42 41 40 39 37 36 36 36 37 38 40 41 42 42 42 41 39 38 37 36 35 DPT 13 14 14 15 15 16 17 18 17 17 17 16 15 14 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 WDR 29 30 31 31 31 33 33 35 34 34 34 34 34 34 33 33 32 32 32 32 32 33 33 34 34 WSP 06 05 06 05 05 04 04 03 04 06 06 07 08 07 10 12 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 14 WGS NG NG NG NG NG NG NG NG NG NG NG NG 14 14 18 20 22 22 22 22 22 22 21 21 22 PPO 2 3 8 27 35 38 41 44 36 28 20 13 9 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 PCO N N N N N N Y Y N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N P01 0 7 18 36 43 55 69 58 24 21 14 4 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 5 6 5 5 PC1 N N N Y Y Y Y Y N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N P06 90 6 12 LP1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LC1 N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N CP1 0 0 0 2 7 17 14 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 CC1 N N N N N L L N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N POZ 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 POS 18 22 23 26 28 42 57 73 74 74 74 72 73 77 76 74 73 69 65 60 66 71 75 81 88 TYP R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S CLD BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV FW CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW CL CL CIG 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 CCG 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 VIS 7 7 7 7 7 5 3 4 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 CVS 7 7 7 7 7 5 3 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N

About a 5 hour event. Closer call on the NAM:

The next 8 days are averaging 42degs.(36/48) or Normal. Reached 53 yesterday at 3pm. Today: 49-51, wind nw., p. sunny, 37 tomorrow AM. Well at least it is at 100%: 40*(58%RH) at 6am. 41* at 7am. 44* at 9am. 46* at 10am. 48* at 11am. 50* at Noon. 51* at 1pm. Reached 54* at 4pm. 50* at 6pm. 48* at 9pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 42degs.(35/49) or near Normal. Reached 47 here yesterday at 2pm. Today: 49-52, wind w. to n.-breezy, m. sunny, 38 tomorrow AM. With 0" on the GFS and CMC and its own EPS just 50% on at least an inch---the EURO gives this: It is Mocking You! 39*(69%RH) here at 6am{was 38 at 3am} 41* at 7am. 44* at 10am. 50* at Noon. 52* at 2pm. Reached 53* at 3pm.

We looked better days ago. 60% chance of at least 1" and we are talking about snowstorms.

The next 8 days are averaging 39degs.(31/47) or -2.*** Reached 49 here yesterday at Noon. Today: 43-46, wind e. to n.-breezy, cloudy all day, 37 tomorrow AM. 41*(92%RH) at 6am{was 46 at 3am}.) 40* at 9am. Reached 47* at 1pm. 44* at 6pm. ***For the record, the 30-Year Normal for March in the 60's was 40.5 and not today's 43.0. In addition, as always, the daily Normal is rising 1 degree every 4 days or so.

Look out below: EC March 10-13................

The next 8 days are averaging 40degs.(34/46) or Normal. Reached 54 here yesterday at 4pm. Today: 42-45, wind e., clouding up, rain by 7pm, rain-gusty winds overnight, 41 tomorrow AM. Minor Tidal Flooding Sandy Hook et al-1AM, +3'. Wind gusts at 40mph. 38*(60%RH) here at 6am. 43* at 9am. 47* at 10am. 49* at Noon. 47* at 1pm. 46* at 1:30pm. 44* at 3pm. 43* at 3:30pm. 42* at 5pm.

Waiting for 3" with only a 50% chance we will get even the first inch. Needs to shift south by too much to expect. GEFS is the same.

The next 8 days are averaging 41degs.(35/46) or +1. Reached 45 here yesterday at 2pm. Today: 51-53, wind w. to nw.-breezy late, cloudy, clearing late, 37 tomorrow AM. We'll get tired of the 30's-40's after this. I would rather just see a 5-7 day outbreak in the 20's with a KU. This looks meant to mess up spring and produce nothing winter-like in return: 42*(94%RH) here at 6am(foggy-drizzle){was 41* at 5am} 43* at 8am. 45* at 10am. 48* at Noon. 51* at 1pm. Reached 54* at 3pm. 52* at 6pm.

February ended at 41.1[+5.2]. 3rd. Place. D,J,F >>> 41.0[+4.7] The first 8 days of March are averaging 40degs.(34/46) or just Normal. Reached 39 here yesterday at 1:30pm. Today: 44-46, wind n. to se., p. sunny, cloudy late, rain overnight, 44 tomorrow AM. 36*(77%RH) here at 6am. 40* at 9am. 42* at 10am. 44* at Noon.

The last day of February is averaging 36degs.(33/40) or -3. Month to date is 41.3[+5.5]. February should end at 41.1[+5.2]. Possibly No.3 and the tenth February to make the Top Ten in the last 34 years. Reached 43 here yesterday. Today: 39-41, wind e. to n., rain till Noon, clearing late, 32 tomorrow AM. 35*(83%RH) here at 6am. 36* at 8am. 38* at 10am. 40*-37* from Noon to 8pm.

COBB SNOW METHOD TOTAL FOR klga{GFS} IS 0" AND MAYBE 0.5" FOR kewr(Not Shown) I think this is what you will see on the ground when precipitation ends. A wasted 0.75" to 1.00" liquid. 230227/2300Z 11 12012KT 38.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 230228/0000Z 12 13012KT 37.1F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.007 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 45| 0| 55 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 230228/0100Z 13 12011KT 34.1F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.090 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.10 67| 0| 33 230228/0200Z 14 11009KT 33.3F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.078 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.17 73| 0| 27 230228/0300Z 15 11010KT 33.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.102 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.28 67| 0| 33 230228/0400Z 16 10013KT 32.8F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.121 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.40 79| 0| 21 230228/0500Z 17 10014KT 32.8F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.065 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.46 79| 0| 21 230228/0600Z 18 10013KT 32.6F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.107 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.57 82| 0| 18 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 230228/0700Z 19 09011KT 33.0F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.124 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.69 64| 0| 36 230228/0800Z 20 08013KT 33.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.058 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.75 62| 0| 38 230228/0900Z 21 08012KT 33.2F DZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.059 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.81 0| 0|100 230228/1000Z 22 07012KT 33.3F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.035 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.85 60| 0| 40 230228/1100Z 23 07012KT 33.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.86 0| 0|100 230228/1200Z 24 07011KT 33.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.86 0| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 230228/1300Z 25 07009KT 33.5F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.008 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.86 0| 0|100 230228/1400Z 26 06008KT 33.7F DZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.87 0| 0|100 230228/1500Z 27 07008KT 33.9F DZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.88 0| 0|100 230228/1600Z 28 06007KT 34.2F DZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.006 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.89 0| 0|100 230228/1700Z 29 04006KT 34.6F DZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.008 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.90 0| 0|100 230228/1800Z 30 02005KT 34.6F DZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.006 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.90 0| 0|100 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 230228/1900Z 31 36005KT 34.2F DZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.007 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.91 0| 0|100 230228/2000Z 32 34005KT 33.7F DZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.008 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.92 0| 0|100 230228/2100Z 33 33004KT 33.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.92 0|

BEST VIEWING TIME for NYC (snow falling and accumulating) ............ For NYC this looks like a self-cleaning storm and nothing will be left. Say 10pm-5am Tuesday night. Really. The Freezing Level barely goes below 300' and quickly scoots up to 1,000'+ Tuesday.

The last 2 days of February are averaging 36degs.(32/40) or -2. Month to date is 41.4[+5.7]. February will end at 41.0[+5.1]. Reached 52 here yesterday. Today: 40-42, wind nw. to e.-breezy, clouding up, rain/snow by 7pm., 38 tomorrow AM. 35*(53%RH) here at 6am. 38* at 8am. 40* at 9am. 42* at Noon. Reached 43* at 3pm. 39* at 6pm. 37* at 9am, wet snow.

The CRITICAL THICKNESS conditions are never met during the time there is precipitation going on and that's that. Maybe on the roof of 300'+ building in NYC something will be left Tuesday AM. Any ratio involving 500mb is too high for snow to be left behind. Snow ratio could be 3:1 in the City. Right now all the CRs are being met---but alas there is no precipitation happening. The reason Models show any snow is that the 850mb T is low enough to generate it---it does not tell you if it can make it to the ground. Of course in slam dunk storms the 10:1 ratio works fine and can even be increased.