CIK62

Next 8 days averaging 55degs., or about 6degs. AN. We have to wait till April 13, for any BN T's. EURO Weeklies are BN into early May, starting mid-April. Precipitation returns to Normal during May

Next 8 days averaging 54degs., or about 5degs. AN.

Seems odd that the lowest RH would occur near the date of the most likely day for precipitation around here, namely April 01 @41% chance of >=0.01". Oct. 15 is @23% on the frequency chart. At any rate, my indoor RH is 23% now {no heat, windows open}, but it has gone lower during any winter indoors-wise. Some old style hygrometers need to be re-calibrated after a winter of dry indoor air, due to a 'hysteresis chemical effect' of the sensor. That is to say, if this kind of sensor has been sitting at under 40% in an apartment for months, it will not be accurate if suddenly thrust into an 80% RH environment!

Next 8 days averaging 53degs., or 4degs. AN.

Next 8 days averaging 53degs., or about 4degs. AN.

Stratosphere seems to be warming for the last two or three weeks. What does that do when we are outside the 'cold season'? Anyone know? These non-winter warmings do not seem to figure in forecasting, since I don't hear it mentioned out of season. I am guessing the reason is a smaller N---S T gradient in summer to start with at surface.

March ended at -0.8[41.7].

Next 8 days averaging 51degs., or about 2degs., AN. CVSv2 has backed off on the anomaly/prob. of AN during the last days worth of March's runs. From +4 to +2. Prob. of AN 75% to 60%. But it has no mathematical validity anyway. About 55%-60% of our months are AN at any rate, when pitted against the 1981-2010 datum.

First week of April averaging about 50degs., or 1-2degs. AN.

Last day of March averaging 48degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is -0.9[41.4]. March should end at -0.9[41.6]. All 8 days averaging 51degs., or about 2degs. AN.

Last two days of March averaging 56degs. or about 9degs. AN. Month to date is -1.4[40.7]. March should end at -0.8[41.7]. All 8 days averaging 52degs., or about 3/4degs. AN.

Last 4 days of March are averaging 52.3degs., or 6degs. AN. Month to date is -1.8[40.1]. March should end at -0.9[41.6]. All 8 days averaging 48degs., or 1deg. AN. Forecasters lucky April 3 system is not a TS. Model outputs are all over the place.

Last 5 days of March averaging 51.5degs., or about 6degs. AN. Month to date is -1.6[40.0]. March should end at -0.7[41.8]. All 8 days averaging 49degs., or about 3degs. AN.

Last 6 days of March averaging 51degs., or 5/6degs. AN. Month to date is -1.5[40.0]. March should end at -0.3[42.2]. All 8 days averaging 50degs., or about 4degs. AN. Some April Fool's white cover/trace for some? Temperatures from the RRWT, [Re-curring Rossby Wave Train] for the two days immediately before and after the date given: April 3 N+, April 7 N+, April 12 BN, April 17 BN, April 22 N, April 27 N, May 2 BN. Overall on the Next 30 Days, BN. We will see if this model does better than it did during the winter. I had to give up on it then.

Last 7 days of March averaging 49.4degs., or about 4degs. AN. Month to date is -1.7[39.6]. March should end at -0.6[41.9]. All 8 days about the same.

Next 8 days averaging 49degs., or 4degs. AN. Month to date is -2.0[39.2]. March should end near -0.6[41.7].

GFS T's for 1st. Week of April look high, compared to CMC and FV3. The RRWT is still BN broadly on the, Next 30 Days---most of April. CFSv2 is way AN for April. November for one, was to be a furnace, and was for 8 days. There is little statistical support for any of these models, or any others. For my part, the models should shut up--- unless they see a real BN chance. There are more AN months if scored with the 1981-2010 period, which is out of date. Global Warming is a moving target till further notice. We can not change the T's, just the datum they are measured against.

FERRY SUSPENSION Due to the Wind Gusts: Notification issued 03-23-2019 at 7:47 AM. Due to high winds, NYC Ferry service to the Bay Ridge Landing is suspended until further notice. Consider alternate routes and allow for additional travel time. For more information, please visit NYC Ferry: www.ferry.nyc/service-alerts

Next 8 days averaging 45degs., or just Normal. Month to date is -1.9[39.1]. Should be -1.4[40.7] by the 31st.

Next 8 days averaging 44degs., or about 1deg. BN. Month to date -2.0[38.9]. Should be -1.7[40.3] by the 29th.

Just saw this photo on some site called Today in Photos: Two days late. March 19, 1992 Connecticut Snowfall Anyone remember it? What happened in NYC that day with this, if anything? [Thank You Stormlover74 for your post below]

Next 8 days are averaging 44degs., or 1deg. BN. Month to date is -2.0[38.7]. Should be -1.7[40.2] by the 29th. All models are Snowless and Clueless near the 27th. now.

Starts tomorrow morning near 8am, ends late Fri. evening when it will be much colder/flurries? Looks like there will be breaks in this long period of precipitation too. Not much falls Fri. PM.

Next 8 days are averaging 44degs., maybe 1deg. BN. Month to date is -2.2[38.3]. Should be -1.7[40.0] by the 28th. Models are a Trace to 4" near 27th. CMC leads. The ridge causing those record highs in PNW is not as anomalous as the last 5 days of March 1998 on EC, is it?

Question. How do you turn 16" of Snow into 2" of Rain in 12 hours? Answer. Ask the CMC.