CIK62

Last 6 days of April averaging 55degs., or about 2degs. BN!!!. Month to date is +4.0[56.1]. Looks like April drops to 6th. Place with a finish now of +2.8[55.8]. I warned days ago the GFS/CMC were cooling for the end of the month. This is what statistically you should get as you get near the end, while being near a record, or Top 10-----not like the idiocy of Dec. 2015. 51* here at 6am.

The remainder of April averaging 57degs., or just Normal. Month to date is +3.9[55.8]. April should end at +3.0[56.1]. This is a tie for Fourth Place. I favored lower T's since we seem to be going backwards as we limp to the finish line, so nearby 3rd. Place still possible.

Really warmed in last two hours from 57* to 66* at 11pm.

Next 8 days are averaging 59degs., or 3degs. AN. Month to date is +3.6[55.3]. April should end near +3.4[56.3]. This is good for 3rd. Place by a nose. Today looks good for 75* City and 70* by me, as wind shifts to the S late in day, along with high clouds entering the picture, maybe. Up several degrees already to 62* by 10am. 63* at 11am and for those interested, the NY Aquarium Parking Lot is already full, with cars waiting on Surf Ave. 64* at Noon with a heavier backlog into NYA. 67* at 1pm, still a wait for the NYA. As I suspected, high clouds and wind shift have reversed the temperature rise, 64.5* at 2pm but still a logjam at NYA. 63.5* at 3pm, then sun returned, but temperature did not really respond. Still 63.5* at 4pm but waiting is over at NYA----no new customers allowed after 4pm, LOL

Hurricane buffs might be interested in this: >>>>>>"Florida knew Hurricane Michael was bad. Now, scientists reveal just how strong it was" (Source: Miami Herald and others, 4/19/19) With just a little over a month to the start of hurricane season, scientists have upgraded last year’s beast — Hurricane Michael — from a Category 4 to a rare Category 5. Michael, which devastated Florida’s Mexico Beach when it made landfall on Oct. 10, becomes the first hurricane to make landfall in the United States as a Cat 5 since Hurricane Andrew brought “destruction at dawn” to South Miami-Dade in August 1992. This figure, released Friday, represents a 5 mph increase over the operational estimate and nudges Michael into the Category 5 platform on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale at the time of its landfall. Michael was responsible for 16 deaths and caused about $25 billion in damage to the U.S. Cuba also was hit by Category 2 winds from Michael. Michael is only the fourth hurricane to hit the U.S. as a Category 5, according to the hurricane center. Before Andrew there was Hurricane Camille in 1969, which made landfall at Pass Christian, Mississippi, on Aug. 18, 1969, three days after hitting Cuba as a Category 2. The Labor Day Hurricane in September 1935, which hit the Florida Keys and particularly wreaked havoc on Islamorada, was the first since records were kept to land in the U.S. as a Cat 5. Michael is also the strongest hurricane landfall on record in the Florida Panhandle, the hurricane center reported. The hurricane center’s new analysis also revealed that Michael’s atmospheric pressure, a reliable measure of a storm’s intensity, was at 919 millibars at landfall in Mexico Beach. Meteorologists note that the lower a storm’s central pressure, the higher its winds. Michael’s central pressure at landfall is the third lowest on record for a U. S. hurricane since records began in 1900 — trailing only Camille, which went as low as 900 millibars, and the Labor Day Hurricane of 1935 at 892 millibars. Andrew in 1992, by comparison, recorded 922 millibars at its lowest reading.

Next 8 days are averaging 60degs., or about 4degs. AN. Month to date is +3.7[55.2]. Should be about +3.8[56.6] by the 29th. This would be good for a Third Place finish.

Next 8 days are averaging 60degs., or 5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.6[55.0]. Should be +4.0[56.4], by the 29th. Headed for a second or third place finish on the all-time list.

Next 8 days averaging 61degs., or about 6degs. AN. Month to date is +3.6[54.6]. Should be +4.2[56.5], by the 28th. BN at very end of the month should block any chance of finishing at #1 (GFS,CMC). Remainder of April needs to be >+7.1, for the record, but just >+4.4, for 2nd. spot. Yesterday's 80* is a shocker, as it held here under 65*, even with periods of sun.

Next 8 days averaging about 62degs., or about 8degs. AN. Month to date is +2.9[53.9]. Should be +4.5[56.5] by the 27th. 60* at 6am, here. No BN days for the rest of the month is possible. We could back-in to 1st. Place, for the month.

Next 8 days are averaging 62degs., or 8degs. AN. Month to date is +3.0[53.8]. Should be +4.6[56.4], by the 26th. Mean = 53.0. Warmest = 57.9. +4.9 Is this going to be the warmest April ever--- W/O an 80 degree day, yet? The low temps. are ridiculous. With the 12 warmest days of the month yet to go, we have already exceeded the normal low of the whole month.

Next 8 days are averaging 61degs., or about 7degs. AN (The Mins. appear to be +10) Month to date is +3.1[53.7]. Should be +4.4[55.9], by the 25th. Seems to me, if we finish with a flurry(not from the sky of course) of AN, we could have the warmest April ever. Mean > 53.0 Warmest Ever > 57.9, or +4.9

Next 8 days averaging 59degs., or about 5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.1[53.6]. Should be +3.8[55.5] by the 23rd. EURO WEEKLIES are AN for next two weeks, then take on a useless, mottled appearance, for May. I guess this boils down to near Normal for May. The RRWT agrees for May. On a more certain note, it was 43* with a bright clear sky at 6am. here. Up 10 degrees to 53* by 11am. 55* by Noon.

Next 8 days averaging about 58degs., or about 5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.2[53.5]. Should be about +3.6[54.9] by the 23rd.

Predicting AN T's versus the 1981-2010 norms is a silly exercise. Global Warming is a moving target, but the 30-Year Norm is out-of-date and static. Just show me where in the hemisphere and when, the T's are expected to be BN. Of course most areas will be AN, this is the case for the last 400 months plus. The temperatures will be what they will be---only the datum we score them against can be altered.

Next 8 days averaging 59degs., or 6degs. AN. Month to date is +2.4[52.5]. Should be about +3.8[55.0] by the 22nd. Temps. in upper 50's the last hour (6am-7am) with dense fog. [ V <300' in CI.] Really started to be foggy yesterday by 4pm. FOG ADVISORY: This is an important message from NY Alert HEADLINE: Dense Fog Advisory issued April 14 at 6:47AM EDT until April 14 at 9:00AM EDT by NWS New York City - Upton DESCRIPTION: ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Dense Fog Advisory, which is in effect until 9 AM EDT this morning. * VISIBILITIES...One quarter mile or less at times. * TIMING...Through early this morning. * IMPACTS...Limited visibilities will make travel very difficult. INSTRUCTIONS: A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to one quarter mile or less. If driving, slow down, use your fog lamps or low beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you in case a sudden stop is needed. Issued By: NWS New York City - Upton (Long Island and New York City) GALE WATCH also: This is an important message from NY Alert Issued To: New York Harbor HEADLINE: Gale Watch issued April 14 at 6:21AM EDT until April 16 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS New York City - Upton DESCRIPTION: ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Gale Watch, which is in effect from Monday evening through late Monday night. * WINDS AND SEAS...Southwest winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt tonight into Monday morning, becoming northwest late Monday and Monday night 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 2 to 4 feet. INSTRUCTIONS: A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft. Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions. A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to 47 kt has significantly increased, but the specific timing and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider altering their plans. Issued By: NWS New York City - Upton (Long Island and New York City) ----------

Next 8 days averaging 58degs., or 6degs. AN. Month to date is +1.2[51.2]. Should be +3.0[53.9] by the 21st.

Next 8 days averaging 59degs., or about 7degs. AN. Month to date is +0.9[50.6]. Should be about +3.4[54.1], by the 20th. None of the next 8 days are BN.

Next 8 days averaging 57degs., or 5degs. AN. Month to date is +1.5[51.0]. Should be about +3.3[53.6] by the 19th.

Next 8 days averaging 57degs., or about 6degs. AN. Month to date is +1.4[50.8]. Looks like it will be about +3.5[53.5] by the 18th.

Next 8 days averaging 54degs., or 3degs. AN.

72* still in Coney Island, 9:20pm Watched people walking over the BB in just T-shirts, sometimes moving faster than my car could, on the way home!

Just [10:10am] hit 60* here under murky skies. Up from 50* at 6am.

Next 8 days averaging 55degs., or about 5degs. AN.

Next 8 days averaging 56degs., or about 6degs. AN.

Next 8 days averaging 57 degs., or about 8degs AN. Looks like the current -2.1 anomaly for the month, will reverse to about +4.1, by the 14th.