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CIK62

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Everything posted by CIK62

  1. Next 8 days are averaging 74degs., or 1.5degs. AN. Month to date is -0.7[68.8]. Should be just Normal 0.0[70.6], by the 25th.
  2. Probably this was noted somewhere in the forums already, but KWO-35 has found a new site atop the Empire State Building (using 750w)and has an un-modulated test signal now. KWO-35 left the air 19 months ago and may have full service back by September. Hope a hurricane warning isn't their first transmission. LOL
  3. Next 8 days averaging 73degs., or 0.5deg. AN. Month to date is -0.8[68.6]. Should be -0.3[70.1], by the 24th.
  4. Next 8 days averaging 73degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is -0.7[68.4]. Should be Near Normal, 0.0[70.0], by the 23rd. EURO Weeklies like June 28 through holiday weekend for some AN. More BN overall for next 6 weeks. Just having ridgeing will not give AN w/o good surface wind direction, however. But be ready for at least one 90* reading with this setup.
  5. Next 8 days averaging 73degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is -0.3[68.7]. Should be +0.2[70.3], by the 22nd. Still did not reach 61* by 7am, here. Made it to 70* by 2pm., but too many cumulus clouds and too breezy for beach.
  6. Next 8 days are averaging 72degs., or just Normal. Month to date is +0.5[69.4]. Should be +0.3[70.4], by the 21st. We are about to start the 80/80 period, meaning 80 straight days of highs at least 80*+, peaking near 85* on July 23. July 21 has been the most likely day for 100* in NYC.
  7. Next 8 days averaging 73.5degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +1.0[69.6]. Should be +1.4[71.2] by the 20th.
  8. Next 10 days means: EURO 78* GFS 86* But once again no support for 90*---certainly not the 5 in a row, the GFS throws at us---shown here:
  9. Wait for a TS born and bred over the Gulf Stream that sits/drifts on a stalled front for say 3 days. There is your double-digit month for some coastal city. What about the Connie/Diane duo-tagteam of 1955?
  10. Next 8 days averaging 73.5degs., or 3degs. AN . Month to date is +1.1[69.6]. Should be +1.9[71.3] by the 19th.
  11. Next 8 days averaging 70.5degs., or about 0.5deg. BN. Month to date is +1.8[70.1]. Should be about +0.7[70.3] by the 18th.
  12. GFS keeps pushing any 90's further into the month, from the 18th to the 23rd. now, during recent runs. This does not seem to support any 90's at all, during the next 15 days:
  13. Next 8 days averaging 69degs., or 2degs. BN. Month to date is +2.1[70.3]. Should be just Normal by the 17th. 0.0[69.6].
  14. Next 8 days averaging 70.5degs., or just about Normal. Month to date is +2.0[70.0]. This should make the first half of June +0.9.
  15. EURO does not even have an 80 degree day here for the next 15 days, while the GFS loves the 90's by late in the period. Predicting precipitation is harder than getting the temperature right. Next week is all potential. Who gets the best vertical lifting is what is important. This is a problem for the meso-scales and we are still outside their range.
  16. Next 8 days averaging 71degs., or 1deg AN. I reached near 85* yesterday, which may have been higher than the City.
  17. Next 8 days are averaging 73degs., or about 3.5degs. AN.
  18. Next 8 days averaging 73degs., or about 3degs AN. Finally reached 60* here at 8:30am. Low was near 58*. Ocean keeping me warmer now, uncharacteristically. Just an embarrassing 63* by Noon.
  19. Next 8 days are averaging 71degs., or about 1deg. AN. EURO is 20 degrees cooler than GFS by Day 9,10-----70's vs. 90's. Looks fairly ordinary after June 06:
  20. Coney Island escaped even a drop at about 5:45PM to 6:15PM, just a rumble of thunder with boiling dark clouds north of me. I could see sheets of rain to my north blot the NYC skyline (I am high up) and radar echo color code suddenly go red over an area of Flatbush etc. Had no idea it contained hail. Great video! But this was in the Bronx according to the board member, not Brooklyn. Regarding the SST 1 Year Anomaly Change shown above----Do you know why the experts are saying the MDR has decreased in T and this will prevent many systems from forming? It has warmed it seems, unless I don't know where the MDR is.
  21. Next 8 days are averaging 69.5degs., or 1deg. AN.
  22. May ended at -.02[62.2]. 19 rainy days and 2 Trace Days.
  23. First 8 days of June averaging 71.5degs., or about 3degs. AN.
  24. Last day of May averaging 73degs , or 6degs AN, but not enough to get May to AN. Month to date is -0.4[61.9]. May should end at -0.2[62.2]. Basically a mirror image month, -3.0, then near +3.0 second half. All 8 days are averaging 71degs., or 3degs. AN.
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