CIK62

The next 8 days are averaging 79degs., or 2.5degs. AN. Month to date is +2.8[79.1]. There will be little change to this by the 27th. A 79* high at NYC yesterday is a joke. I got near 88* by 3:30pm.

Which model has a DP of 80* for NYC? The Skew-T's are maxing out at 76* A low above 80* is more likely according to the models, isn't it?---on perhaps two days! Got to near 88* here (started in the mid-70's}, with that hazy sun, after 2pm. You needed to look at about 4 bays to see a total of 100 people however, on the wet sand.

Next 8 days averaging 79.5degs., or 3degs. AN. Month to date is +3.1[79.4]. This means basically no change over the next 8 days, or +3.1[79.4], by the 26th. GFS DP for 40.6W 74.0N does not exceed 75* on Sat. PM. I guess the member below is talking about Newark near 80* DP, or somewhere else nearby.

Next 8 days are averaging 81.5degs., or 5degs. AN Month to date is +2.9[79.2]. Should be +3.6[80.0], by the 25th. 77.3* here at 6am. 81.1* by 9am. 82.2* at 10am. 85.0* at 11am. Like yesterday, T is falling back at Noon, this time from 86*---proto CN clouds around.

Next 8 days averaging 83.5degs., or 7degs. AN. Month to date is +2.8[79.0]. Should be +4.2[80.5], by the 24th. GFS Meteogram still in a love affair with the 90's-----13 out of the next 16 days, with 3 100's for good measure. Yes we get a cooldown in 9 days, but it won't last. 76.4* here at 6am. 77.4* by 8am. 79.0*, at 9am. Finally overcame sea breeze?, and hit 80 0* at 10:45am. 83.6* by Noon.

Next 8 days averaging 83degs., or 6.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.0[79.2]. Should be +4.3[80.6], by the 23rd.

WARNING: START CARRYING A FLASHLIGHT AND WATER WHEREVER YOU GO, ESPECIALLY ELEVATORS. THERE IS GOING TO BE ANOTHER POWER FAILURE VIA THE GFS: Dig this, starting tomorrow............................ 91, 95, 96, 94, 102, 103, 103, 104, 100, 93 [that's +13degs. on the highs] and really no break until the 30th. EURO tops out at 99, briefly.

86.0* here at Noon. 87.4* by 1pm. 89.0* by 2pm, so much of area must be 90* already, since I am in a coastal spot. 90.5* by 3pm. Seem to have topped out at 91.7* at 3:30pm. I think July 26 will be a big clash of air masses day and then nature will spend the rest of the month taking back a warmest ever July or a Top Ten finish, we seem destined for now.

Next 8 days averaging 81degs., or 4.5degs. AN. Month to date is +2.8[78.9]. Should be +3.4[79.7] by the 22nd.

42 YEARS AGO tonight, at 9:31pm was the total power failure! It was the eve of the start of a 9 day heatwave.

The next 6-weeks on the EURO are hotter than a fireman's helmet or the Battalion Chief's face when he can't find his! Could end up with a July/Aug like 1955 or 1980.

Next 8 days up to an average of 81.6degs., or 5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.0[79.0]. Should be +3.8[80.0], by the 21st.

I use the GFSx. It has a normal cut now of 68 to 85. On the WeatherBell site the GFS T Graphic, it is virtually all 90's for the next 16. Last June 28 it showed all 90's and five 100's in a row, twice eclipsing the 106 degree All-Time-Record. Reality was a high of 96* during the period. It is as whacky as a Jack Nicholson character, and nurse Ratchet is busy preparing an especially efficacious elixir ot Thorizine and Lithium right now! lol

Next 8 days are averaging 81degs. now, or 4.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.1[79.0]. Should be +3.7[79.8], by the 20th. GFS is still basically all 90's for the next 16 days. EURO says it ain't gonna happen that way. Example: July 20-102* versus 76*!

Shhhh! Listen! Do You Want to Know a Secret? The GFS has 13 straight 90 Degree Days, including two 100's, starting tomorrow.

Next 8 days averaging 80degs., or 3.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.0[78.9]. Should be +3.3[79.4] by the 19th. 10 of the next 16 days are potentially 90 degree days.

Next 8 days averaging 80degs., or 3.5degs. AN. July is looking like a shoe-in for TTen, which is +3.1, especially with the heat that may come Week 3. Meanwhile analogs put Aug. at Normal and Sept.-Oct. BN. In fact a snowy Week 2 in Oct. looks doable. Our earliest Trace of Snow is Oct. 10. Seems 20 degs. BN on at least one day might happen. Last summer extended to about Oct. 10, (my preference) but unlikely for this summer att. 74.4* here at 6am. 77.0* by 8am. 81.8* by 11am, but with al ot of cumulus clouds. 86.0* by 1pm, still clouds, humidity is low.

The next 8 days continue to average 79degs., or about 2.5degs., AN.

Next 8 days still averaging the magic 79degs., or 2.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.7[79.6]. So a quick look at the first half of July puts it near +3.0[79.2].

Next 8 days still averaging 79degs., which is now just 2.5degs. AN.

Hot and dry incoming by mid-month. GFS has a swarm of 90's. If we can get to mid-July at the current +3, we could be on verge of a record month by the last week of the month. Why not? Everybody else is setting records. Let's Burn Too! But this does not seem to support any really spectacular temps.:

Next 8 days continue to average 79degs., or 3degs. AN. btw: EURO long range is +3 to +4 on the next 46 days. 76.6* here, at 6am with low level sea fog. 76.1* and less fog at 7am. 78.0* at 8am, trying for hazy blue, but still low fog---inside hygrometer was 80%---yuk.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=161&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=NYC&var=max_tmpf&dir=aoa&thres=90&month=jul&year=2019&dpi=100&_fmt=js&_cb=1 What happened to the data for about 20 years at Central Park, early 1980;s to 2000?

Next 8 days averaging 79degs., or 3degs. AN.

Let's not forget 1966 during this period. From June 20 to July 15 a total of 26 days---and 19 of them were in the 90's, with 4. 100's mixed in. 103 on July 03 in the Central Park, with 107! at LaG, topped the bunch. Was warmest summer to that time, I think. 37 days of at least 90 degrees. Aw! The Good Ole Days,---when I could almost tolerate that kind of continuous heat. Lol.